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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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grizzly bearded stag film
  07/21/18
0%
marvelous church building
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Anal center
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
nighttime national dragon
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Aphrodisiac high-end patrolman
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
olive place of business faggot firefighter
  07/21/18
jfc
Zippy carmine university
  07/21/18
90%
geriatric crawly chad home
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Sticky mood church
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
milky stimulating address
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Fantasy-prone theater stage toaster
  07/21/18
...
Bronze mind-boggling hall
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Aphrodisiac high-end patrolman
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Pearl goal in life
  07/21/18
45%
Shivering Mexican Party Of The First Part
  07/21/18
75%
Pea-brained Bat-shit-crazy Gay Wizard Police Squad
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
boyish mint people who are hurt degenerate
  07/21/18
...
narrow-minded sapphire lodge electric furnace
  07/21/18
80%
Pearl goal in life
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: grizzly bearded stag film



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: marvelous church building

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Anal center

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: nighttime national dragon

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Aphrodisiac high-end patrolman

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: olive place of business faggot firefighter

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Zippy carmine university

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: geriatric crawly chad home

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Sticky mood church

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: milky stimulating address

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Fantasy-prone theater stage toaster

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Bronze mind-boggling hall



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Aphrodisiac high-end patrolman

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Pearl goal in life

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Shivering Mexican Party Of The First Part

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Pea-brained Bat-shit-crazy Gay Wizard Police Squad

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: boyish mint people who are hurt degenerate

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: narrow-minded sapphire lodge electric furnace



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Pearl goal in life

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)