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WSJ: Factory towns are now solid GOP
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:29 PM Author: Insanely creepy personal credit line The swing is drastic. Amongst counties where manufacturing makes up at least 25% of jobs, HW Bush won 438 and Clinton won 424, in 1992. In 2016, Trump won 306, and Clinton won 17.
Clinton also underperformed Michael Dukakis 1988 in rural areas and small towns.
However, I do think the tariffs will have a devastating impact on these areas.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/americas-manufacturing-towns-once-solidly-blue-are-now-a-gop-haven-1532013368?emailToken=a07b8aced69aa008ce520fca879fba11NslgzMeQZzjAtRrMYZF5kL6Ur/Xf+2WrQ5gH2+MwftHUcrgCQLimABZKrTPlp9oLfnzllsxouAko5UPAECb0kG8MlK81lwedm7obGfUWyJcjSXaktXRzFU9JzuRrbF5G&reflink=article_copyURL_share |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:22 PM Author: Lemon Stage Knife http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2 https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp |
Date: July 21st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: scarlet sickened institution travel guidebook Have you been to some of these towns? Some are doing okay, but a lot of them are impoverished shells of what they once were. Populated with only the sick and dying and desperate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472536) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:48 PM Author: Insanely creepy personal credit line There is not a single Trump county that I would live in. They are all shitholes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472540) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:51 PM Author: Hot gaping hospital and people wonder why they voted for drastic change aimed (however unbelievably) at improving their lot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472548) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:52 PM Author: Insanely creepy personal credit line Manufacturing jobs are not coming back.
Trump tariffs are hurting the working class by raising prices on goods.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:58 PM Author: Hot gaping hospital non-responsive jjc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472564) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:02 PM Author: Trip school cafeteria ah, there was a certain tone deaf lack of grip on reality i couldn't quite place. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472574) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:06 PM Author: Hot gaping hospital there are other clues but lately any unsolicited lamenting of the horror of "the tariffs" is a dead giveaway. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472591) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 10:03 PM Author: free-loading kitchen Cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472957) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 10:00 PM Author: blathering area becky You're forgetting one part of that equation dingus - protectionist policies like mainly tariffs...... what are they protecting.....? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472946) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:52 PM Author: Cocky friendly grandma http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4015640&mc=94&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472554) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:24 PM Author: Multi-colored insecure library lmao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472645) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:41 PM Author: Vibrant Macaca Orchestra Pit LMAO what a weird little fucker. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472736) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 10:04 PM Author: free-loading kitchen Truly mentally ill (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472959) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:07 PM Author: out-of-control forum clown Morris County, New Jersey is pretty nice. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472592) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:51 PM Author: Twisted odious cumskin box office The Hamptons are also in a Trump county. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472763) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 9:28 PM Author: Sable bipolar university You sound Asian. There are plenty of Trump counties that are. Ice places to live. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472851) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:48 PM Author: plum geriatric site therapy 862 factory towns in 1992.
323 factory towns in 2018. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:58 PM Author: Irradiated haunting striped hyena This is the real headline. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472562) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:38 PM Author: Chrome electric new version We are very much done (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472732) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 9:57 PM Author: mauve fragrant pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472940) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:50 PM Author: jet erotic stag film Meanwhile every rich Republican suburb going the other way. Odd case. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472547) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:52 PM Author: Insanely creepy personal credit line Correct. Hillary won the affluent counties where the winners live. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472555) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:53 PM Author: Cocky friendly grandma http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4015640&mc=94&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472556) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:59 PM Author: Insanely creepy personal credit line Point? I voted for Trump and support his presidency. He is wrong on tariffs, manufacturing, and Russia, though. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472568) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:06 PM Author: awkward preventive strike trump is wrong on tariffs and manufacturing but right on russia (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472589) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:09 PM Author: Insanely creepy personal credit line Does Trump have a long-term strategic rationale for sucking Putin's cock and ripping on his own intelligence agencies, like a little beta bitch? I suppose one can argue that Trump wants to isolate Russia from China, so we don't see a united China-Russia front. But it's laughable to think that Trump is a smart strategic thinker on par with Nixon. LJL. The most likely reason is that Trump has a hard-on for tyrants and thinks admitting to Russian election interference is equivalent to admitting to collusion. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472603) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:12 PM Author: dashing kink-friendly selfie temple he should suck the cock of the intelligence agencies that keep trying to undermine his rule and get him out of office since day 1 and even before, when he started running? meanwhile, russia helps him get elected.
hmmm, real tough choice on whoms cock to suck. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:16 PM Author: Insanely creepy personal credit line Admitting to basic facts, that Russia did interfere in the 2016 election, rather than suck on Putin's cock on the world stage and undermining American prestige, is what he should have done. And no, this would not have resulted in war with Russia. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472619) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:22 PM Author: dashing kink-friendly selfie temple so kick in the ass the people that helped you and the people that are trying to fuck you over hate, and suck the dick of the people that are trying to boot you out and undermined you from when you started running by spying on you and helping hillary at every step?
hmmm... |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:32 PM Author: Insanely creepy personal credit line Why did Putin want Trump to win? Out of the goodness of his heart? LJL. It's because Putin knows that Trump is an easily manipulated beta cuck. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472697) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:33 PM Author: dashing kink-friendly selfie temple lol, trump is a beta cuck? not jeb or rubio or ted?
hmmm. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 9:13 PM Author: Insanely creepy personal credit line None of those men would rip on their own intelligence agencies and suck on Putin's cock. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472812) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 9:14 PM Author: Multi-colored insecure library Saw sila earlier tonight. Was disappointed with the experience. She has a great body: nice tan, toned stomach, awesome butt. The boobs were way too hard though; it felt like i was touching rocks. But more importantly, it was not GFE at all. She did NOT deep-french kiss me, and after a few minutes she would ask, "so which position do you want to do next?" It felt too much like a business transaction in which she was just trying to get it out of the way. And then the talk after we finished was awkward and contrived. Not to sound arrogant, but as an ivy league alum, i just don't have much in common with her, so the after-sex conversation felt weird. Overall, sila is a 8 in the looks department, but the experience was no higher than a 6. I'm quite frankly shocked that her reviews on eroticreview are so high. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 10:07 PM Author: blathering area becky Why did Putin want Trump to win? It's why he wanted Hillary to lose - read up on Russia U.S. relations during Hillary's Libya fiasco and you'll see exactly why Putin wanted not Hillary to win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472972) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 9:18 PM Author: violet concupiscible pervert antidepressant drug This is a Trump's line of thinking (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472825) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:29 PM Author: Multi-colored insecure library Saw sila earlier tonight. Was disappointed with the experience. She has a great body: nice tan, toned stomach, awesome butt. The boobs were way too hard though; it felt like i was touching rocks. But more importantly, it was not GFE at all. She did NOT deep-french kiss me, and after a few minutes she would ask, "so which position do you want to do next?" It felt too much like a business transaction in which she was just trying to get it out of the way. And then the talk after we finished was awkward and contrived. Not to sound arrogant, but as an ivy league alum, i just don't have much in common with her, so the after-sex conversation felt weird. Overall, sila is a 8 in the looks department, but the experience was no higher than a 6. I'm quite frankly shocked that her reviews on eroticreview are so high. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:39 PM Author: Jade heady gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472733) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 10:04 PM Author: blathering area becky I've explained this to you many times, and you should look up Simpson's paradox - there is a reason why you use geographical regions in your income correlations with voting..... Because on an individual level the correlation is reversed, higher income tends to vote more GOP, lower income overwhelmingly tends to vote more Dem.
Simpson's paradox is when individual-level trends reverse when aggregate up to group levels, so the correlation is "opposite". |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:17 PM Author: wonderful alcoholic corner death wish The total population in those combined 300 counties has to be less than the population of Philly though.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:24 PM Author: awkward preventive strike electoral-college pwned? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472646) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:38 PM Author: frisky philosopher-king Yes.
Apparently 2018 will be a national plebiscite this time though, so Dems' outsize lead in Las Putas County, California will help the 48th Congressional District go REALLY blue now. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:42 PM Author: copper abnormal home internal respiration OP is Chink. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472738) |