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WSJ: Factory towns are now solid GOP
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:29 PM Author: Overrated hall The swing is drastic. Amongst counties where manufacturing makes up at least 25% of jobs, HW Bush won 438 and Clinton won 424, in 1992. In 2016, Trump won 306, and Clinton won 17.
Clinton also underperformed Michael Dukakis 1988 in rural areas and small towns.
However, I do think the tariffs will have a devastating impact on these areas.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/americas-manufacturing-towns-once-solidly-blue-are-now-a-gop-haven-1532013368?emailToken=a07b8aced69aa008ce520fca879fba11NslgzMeQZzjAtRrMYZF5kL6Ur/Xf+2WrQ5gH2+MwftHUcrgCQLimABZKrTPlp9oLfnzllsxouAko5UPAECb0kG8MlK81lwedm7obGfUWyJcjSXaktXRzFU9JzuRrbF5G&reflink=article_copyURL_share |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:22 PM Author: Apoplectic scourge upon the earth http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2 https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp |
Date: July 21st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: Soul-stirring Prole Gunner Have you been to some of these towns? Some are doing okay, but a lot of them are impoverished shells of what they once were. Populated with only the sick and dying and desperate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472536) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:48 PM Author: Overrated hall There is not a single Trump county that I would live in. They are all shitholes. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472540) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:51 PM Author: well-lubricated iridescent stage sandwich and people wonder why they voted for drastic change aimed (however unbelievably) at improving their lot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472548) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:52 PM Author: Overrated hall Manufacturing jobs are not coming back.
Trump tariffs are hurting the working class by raising prices on goods.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:58 PM Author: well-lubricated iridescent stage sandwich non-responsive jjc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472564) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:02 PM Author: Emerald mind-boggling stage ah, there was a certain tone deaf lack of grip on reality i couldn't quite place. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472574) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:06 PM Author: well-lubricated iridescent stage sandwich there are other clues but lately any unsolicited lamenting of the horror of "the tariffs" is a dead giveaway. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472591) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 10:03 PM Author: Avocado concupiscible people who are hurt abode Cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472957) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 10:00 PM Author: irate stead therapy You're forgetting one part of that equation dingus - protectionist policies like mainly tariffs...... what are they protecting.....? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472946) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:52 PM Author: stirring crackhouse pocket flask http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4015640&mc=94&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472554) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:24 PM Author: henna national lettuce lmao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472645) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:41 PM Author: fuchsia casino french chef LMAO what a weird little fucker. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472736) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 10:04 PM Author: Avocado concupiscible people who are hurt abode Truly mentally ill (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472959) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:07 PM Author: Electric Magical Partner Morris County, New Jersey is pretty nice. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472592) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:51 PM Author: opaque galvanic deer antler The Hamptons are also in a Trump county. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472763) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 9:28 PM Author: Olive windowlicker keepsake machete You sound Asian. There are plenty of Trump counties that are. Ice places to live. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472851) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:48 PM Author: Nighttime Floppy Ceo Address 862 factory towns in 1992.
323 factory towns in 2018. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:58 PM Author: sinister stubborn range filthpig This is the real headline. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472562) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:38 PM Author: adulterous trip school rigor We are very much done (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472732) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 9:57 PM Author: Razzmatazz Infuriating Spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472940) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:50 PM Author: ungodly rehab Meanwhile every rich Republican suburb going the other way. Odd case. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472547) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:52 PM Author: Overrated hall Correct. Hillary won the affluent counties where the winners live. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472555) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:53 PM Author: stirring crackhouse pocket flask http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4015640&mc=94&forum_id=2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472556) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 7:59 PM Author: Overrated hall Point? I voted for Trump and support his presidency. He is wrong on tariffs, manufacturing, and Russia, though. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472568) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:06 PM Author: Blathering Affirmative Action trump is wrong on tariffs and manufacturing but right on russia (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472589) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:09 PM Author: Overrated hall Does Trump have a long-term strategic rationale for sucking Putin's cock and ripping on his own intelligence agencies, like a little beta bitch? I suppose one can argue that Trump wants to isolate Russia from China, so we don't see a united China-Russia front. But it's laughable to think that Trump is a smart strategic thinker on par with Nixon. LJL. The most likely reason is that Trump has a hard-on for tyrants and thinks admitting to Russian election interference is equivalent to admitting to collusion. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472603) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:12 PM Author: poppy violent sanctuary cumskin he should suck the cock of the intelligence agencies that keep trying to undermine his rule and get him out of office since day 1 and even before, when he started running? meanwhile, russia helps him get elected.
hmmm, real tough choice on whoms cock to suck. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:16 PM Author: Overrated hall Admitting to basic facts, that Russia did interfere in the 2016 election, rather than suck on Putin's cock on the world stage and undermining American prestige, is what he should have done. And no, this would not have resulted in war with Russia. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472619) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:22 PM Author: poppy violent sanctuary cumskin so kick in the ass the people that helped you and the people that are trying to fuck you over hate, and suck the dick of the people that are trying to boot you out and undermined you from when you started running by spying on you and helping hillary at every step?
hmmm... |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:32 PM Author: Overrated hall Why did Putin want Trump to win? Out of the goodness of his heart? LJL. It's because Putin knows that Trump is an easily manipulated beta cuck. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472697) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:33 PM Author: poppy violent sanctuary cumskin lol, trump is a beta cuck? not jeb or rubio or ted?
hmmm. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 9:13 PM Author: Overrated hall None of those men would rip on their own intelligence agencies and suck on Putin's cock. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472812) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 9:14 PM Author: henna national lettuce Saw sila earlier tonight. Was disappointed with the experience. She has a great body: nice tan, toned stomach, awesome butt. The boobs were way too hard though; it felt like i was touching rocks. But more importantly, it was not GFE at all. She did NOT deep-french kiss me, and after a few minutes she would ask, "so which position do you want to do next?" It felt too much like a business transaction in which she was just trying to get it out of the way. And then the talk after we finished was awkward and contrived. Not to sound arrogant, but as an ivy league alum, i just don't have much in common with her, so the after-sex conversation felt weird. Overall, sila is a 8 in the looks department, but the experience was no higher than a 6. I'm quite frankly shocked that her reviews on eroticreview are so high. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 10:07 PM Author: irate stead therapy Why did Putin want Trump to win? It's why he wanted Hillary to lose - read up on Russia U.S. relations during Hillary's Libya fiasco and you'll see exactly why Putin wanted not Hillary to win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472972) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 9:18 PM Author: Heady tan reading party This is a Trump's line of thinking (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472825) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:29 PM Author: henna national lettuce Saw sila earlier tonight. Was disappointed with the experience. She has a great body: nice tan, toned stomach, awesome butt. The boobs were way too hard though; it felt like i was touching rocks. But more importantly, it was not GFE at all. She did NOT deep-french kiss me, and after a few minutes she would ask, "so which position do you want to do next?" It felt too much like a business transaction in which she was just trying to get it out of the way. And then the talk after we finished was awkward and contrived. Not to sound arrogant, but as an ivy league alum, i just don't have much in common with her, so the after-sex conversation felt weird. Overall, sila is a 8 in the looks department, but the experience was no higher than a 6. I'm quite frankly shocked that her reviews on eroticreview are so high. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:39 PM Author: Arousing brilliant national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472733) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 10:04 PM Author: irate stead therapy I've explained this to you many times, and you should look up Simpson's paradox - there is a reason why you use geographical regions in your income correlations with voting..... Because on an individual level the correlation is reversed, higher income tends to vote more GOP, lower income overwhelmingly tends to vote more Dem.
Simpson's paradox is when individual-level trends reverse when aggregate up to group levels, so the correlation is "opposite". |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:17 PM Author: cerebral smoky station The total population in those combined 300 counties has to be less than the population of Philly though.
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:24 PM Author: Blathering Affirmative Action electoral-college pwned? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472646) |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:38 PM Author: Pungent police squad forum Yes.
Apparently 2018 will be a national plebiscite this time though, so Dems' outsize lead in Las Putas County, California will help the 48th Congressional District go REALLY blue now. |
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Date: July 21st, 2018 8:42 PM Author: insanely creepy locale OP is Chink. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031879&forum_id=2#36472738) |