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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress
| odious nudist filthpig | 09/19/18 |
| Dashing bistre feces | 09/19/18 |
| odious nudist filthpig | 09/19/18 |
| nighttime stain | 09/19/18 |
| odious nudist filthpig | 09/19/18 |
| smoky flatulent digit ratio location | 09/19/18 |
| odious nudist filthpig | 09/19/18 |
| smoky flatulent digit ratio location | 09/19/18 |
| pale aphrodisiac market boistinker | 09/19/18 |
| smoky flatulent digit ratio location | 09/19/18 |
| pale aphrodisiac market boistinker | 09/19/18 |
| smoky flatulent digit ratio location | 09/19/18 |
| pale aphrodisiac market boistinker | 09/19/18 |
| smoky flatulent digit ratio location | 09/19/18 |
| pale aphrodisiac market boistinker | 09/19/18 |
| Hairraiser International Law Enforcement Agency | 09/19/18 |
| Indecent Obsidian Menage | 09/19/18 |
| Autistic people who are hurt station | 09/19/18 |
| Hairraiser International Law Enforcement Agency | 09/20/18 |
| Fragrant selfie | 09/19/18 |
| amethyst whorehouse | 09/20/18 |
| Navy offensive telephone stage | 09/20/18 |
| gold bawdyhouse affirmative action | 09/20/18 |
| Hairraiser International Law Enforcement Agency | 09/19/18 |
| Indecent Obsidian Menage | 09/19/18 |
| garnet windowlicker | 09/20/18 |
| gold bawdyhouse affirmative action | 09/20/18 |
| gold bawdyhouse affirmative action | 09/20/18 |
| Comical sanctuary | 09/19/18 |
| odious nudist filthpig | 09/19/18 |
| poppy fiercely-loyal giraffe | 09/20/18 |
| stirring site rigpig | 09/20/18 |
| poppy fiercely-loyal giraffe | 09/20/18 |
| stirring site rigpig | 09/20/18 |
| gold bawdyhouse affirmative action | 09/20/18 |
| gold bawdyhouse affirmative action | 09/20/18 |
| poppy fiercely-loyal giraffe | 09/20/18 |
| gaped disturbing mood deer antler | 09/19/18 |
| Orange forum shitlib | 09/20/18 |
| Mischievous khaki brethren | 09/20/18 |
| poppy fiercely-loyal giraffe | 09/20/18 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM Author: odious nudist filthpig https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246) |
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Dashing bistre feces This seems too low. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM Author: odious nudist filthpig Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers
This seems too low.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM Author: nighttime stain LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM Author: odious nudist filthpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: smoky flatulent digit ratio location data seems skewed right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM Author: odious nudist filthpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM Author: smoky flatulent digit ratio location What is the actual percentage? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM Author: pale aphrodisiac market boistinker Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.
Senate, GOP is 70% favorite. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: smoky flatulent digit ratio location (guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: pale aphrodisiac market boistinker I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM Author: smoky flatulent digit ratio location Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM Author: pale aphrodisiac market boistinker Explain how I have incorrect understanding? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: smoky flatulent digit ratio location I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: pale aphrodisiac market boistinker Lol what? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM Author: Hairraiser International Law Enforcement Agency Technically, that’s completely wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Indecent Obsidian Menage Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Autistic people who are hurt station Grow a beard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM Author: Hairraiser International Law Enforcement Agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM Author: Fragrant selfie any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM Author: amethyst whorehouse 180 sub thread would read again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM Author: Navy offensive telephone stage lmfao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: gold bawdyhouse affirmative action "technically" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Hairraiser International Law Enforcement Agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Indecent Obsidian Menage "The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM Author: garnet windowlicker can't believe we've come to this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: gold bawdyhouse affirmative action Hey! This is law bort! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: gold bawdyhouse affirmative action Do you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Comical sanctuary He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM Author: odious nudist filthpig Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM Author: poppy fiercely-loyal giraffe Cons will never listen to this.
Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM Author: stirring site rigpig Cons: Not understanding how probability works (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM Author: poppy fiercely-loyal giraffe Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM Author: stirring site rigpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM Author: gold bawdyhouse affirmative action (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM Author: gold bawdyhouse affirmative action His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM Author: poppy fiercely-loyal giraffe Libs were going INSANE on him. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM Author: gaped disturbing mood deer antler days without jewish tricks: 0 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM Author: Orange forum shitlib Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM Author: Mischievous khaki brethren What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM Author: poppy fiercely-loyal giraffe This is probably a figment of your imagination (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024) |