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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM Author: Amber trailer park https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246) |
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Gay lascivious affirmative action This seems too low. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM Author: Amber trailer park Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers
This seems too low.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM Author: Self-centered cyan love of her life LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM Author: Amber trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: chartreuse splenetic house data seems skewed right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM Author: Amber trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM Author: chartreuse splenetic house What is the actual percentage? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM Author: Harsh Multi-colored Idiot Base Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.
Senate, GOP is 70% favorite. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: chartreuse splenetic house (guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Harsh Multi-colored Idiot Base I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM Author: chartreuse splenetic house Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM Author: Harsh Multi-colored Idiot Base Explain how I have incorrect understanding? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: chartreuse splenetic house I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Harsh Multi-colored Idiot Base Lol what? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM Author: useless theater stage people who are hurt Technically, that’s completely wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: yellow reading party Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Flirting Hall Grow a beard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM Author: useless theater stage people who are hurt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM Author: flickering thriller stead any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM Author: Drab Parlour 180 sub thread would read again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM Author: Crimson dead gas station jap lmfao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Black Stag Film "technically" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: useless theater stage people who are hurt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: yellow reading party "The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM Author: Disrespectful milk death wish can't believe we've come to this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Black Stag Film Hey! This is law bort! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Black Stag Film Do you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: curious bisexual range sweet tailpipe He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM Author: Amber trailer park Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM Author: Soggy Senate Ape Cons will never listen to this.
Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM Author: Contagious bonkers station halford Cons: Not understanding how probability works (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM Author: Soggy Senate Ape Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM Author: Contagious bonkers station halford (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM Author: Black Stag Film (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM Author: Black Stag Film His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM Author: Soggy Senate Ape Libs were going INSANE on him. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM Author: mischievous indirect expression days without jewish tricks: 0 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM Author: Cobalt mexican Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM Author: Glittery shaky kitty cat What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM Author: Soggy Senate Ape This is probably a figment of your imagination (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024) |