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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress
| trip magenta bawdyhouse laser beams | 09/19/18 |
| opaque stirring gas station | 09/19/18 |
| trip magenta bawdyhouse laser beams | 09/19/18 |
| Autistic rusted athletic conference psychic | 09/19/18 |
| trip magenta bawdyhouse laser beams | 09/19/18 |
| indigo out-of-control community account piazza | 09/19/18 |
| trip magenta bawdyhouse laser beams | 09/19/18 |
| indigo out-of-control community account piazza | 09/19/18 |
| Odious jap | 09/19/18 |
| indigo out-of-control community account piazza | 09/19/18 |
| Odious jap | 09/19/18 |
| indigo out-of-control community account piazza | 09/19/18 |
| Odious jap | 09/19/18 |
| indigo out-of-control community account piazza | 09/19/18 |
| Odious jap | 09/19/18 |
| Obsidian Gunner | 09/19/18 |
| Razzle hell | 09/19/18 |
| confused peach area | 09/19/18 |
| Obsidian Gunner | 09/20/18 |
| Aromatic Maize Indian Lodge Haunted Graveyard | 09/19/18 |
| Aqua Business Firm | 09/20/18 |
| bateful dog poop garrison | 09/20/18 |
| Well-lubricated seedy locus blood rage | 09/20/18 |
| Obsidian Gunner | 09/19/18 |
| Razzle hell | 09/19/18 |
| laughsome sick halford | 09/20/18 |
| Well-lubricated seedy locus blood rage | 09/20/18 |
| Well-lubricated seedy locus blood rage | 09/20/18 |
| Grizzly ungodly cumskin | 09/19/18 |
| trip magenta bawdyhouse laser beams | 09/19/18 |
| offensive dull sandwich striped hyena | 09/20/18 |
| Swollen mildly autistic orchestra pit idea he suggested | 09/20/18 |
| offensive dull sandwich striped hyena | 09/20/18 |
| Swollen mildly autistic orchestra pit idea he suggested | 09/20/18 |
| Well-lubricated seedy locus blood rage | 09/20/18 |
| Well-lubricated seedy locus blood rage | 09/20/18 |
| offensive dull sandwich striped hyena | 09/20/18 |
| French honey-headed cruise ship internal respiration | 09/19/18 |
| supple doctorate shrine | 09/20/18 |
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| offensive dull sandwich striped hyena | 09/20/18 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM Author: trip magenta bawdyhouse laser beams https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246) |
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: opaque stirring gas station This seems too low. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM Author: trip magenta bawdyhouse laser beams Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers
This seems too low.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM Author: Autistic rusted athletic conference psychic LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM Author: trip magenta bawdyhouse laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: indigo out-of-control community account piazza data seems skewed right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM Author: trip magenta bawdyhouse laser beams (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM Author: indigo out-of-control community account piazza What is the actual percentage? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM Author: Odious jap Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.
Senate, GOP is 70% favorite. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: indigo out-of-control community account piazza (guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Odious jap I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM Author: indigo out-of-control community account piazza Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM Author: Odious jap Explain how I have incorrect understanding? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: indigo out-of-control community account piazza I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Odious jap Lol what? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM Author: Obsidian Gunner Technically, that’s completely wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Razzle hell Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: confused peach area Grow a beard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM Author: Obsidian Gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM Author: Aromatic Maize Indian Lodge Haunted Graveyard any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM Author: Aqua Business Firm 180 sub thread would read again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM Author: bateful dog poop garrison lmfao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Well-lubricated seedy locus blood rage "technically" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Obsidian Gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: Razzle hell "The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM Author: laughsome sick halford can't believe we've come to this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Well-lubricated seedy locus blood rage Hey! This is law bort! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: Well-lubricated seedy locus blood rage Do you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Grizzly ungodly cumskin He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM Author: trip magenta bawdyhouse laser beams Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM Author: offensive dull sandwich striped hyena Cons will never listen to this.
Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM Author: Swollen mildly autistic orchestra pit idea he suggested Cons: Not understanding how probability works (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM Author: offensive dull sandwich striped hyena Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM Author: Swollen mildly autistic orchestra pit idea he suggested (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM Author: Well-lubricated seedy locus blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM Author: Well-lubricated seedy locus blood rage His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM Author: offensive dull sandwich striped hyena Libs were going INSANE on him. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM Author: French honey-headed cruise ship internal respiration days without jewish tricks: 0 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM Author: supple doctorate shrine Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM Author: lavender anal partner What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM Author: offensive dull sandwich striped hyena This is probably a figment of your imagination (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024) |