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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress
| curious ruddy corner coffee pot | 09/19/18 |
| drunken aphrodisiac new version institution | 09/19/18 |
| curious ruddy corner coffee pot | 09/19/18 |
| Charcoal idiotic lay | 09/19/18 |
| curious ruddy corner coffee pot | 09/19/18 |
| Violet glittery newt personal credit line | 09/19/18 |
| curious ruddy corner coffee pot | 09/19/18 |
| Violet glittery newt personal credit line | 09/19/18 |
| cocky philosopher-king | 09/19/18 |
| Violet glittery newt personal credit line | 09/19/18 |
| cocky philosopher-king | 09/19/18 |
| Violet glittery newt personal credit line | 09/19/18 |
| cocky philosopher-king | 09/19/18 |
| Violet glittery newt personal credit line | 09/19/18 |
| cocky philosopher-king | 09/19/18 |
| Exciting slate market mad-dog skullcap | 09/19/18 |
| poppy beady-eyed codepig antidepressant drug | 09/19/18 |
| startling organic girlfriend | 09/19/18 |
| Exciting slate market mad-dog skullcap | 09/20/18 |
| Supple magenta turdskin library | 09/19/18 |
| boyish chad stage | 09/20/18 |
| Crimson Marketing Idea Chapel | 09/20/18 |
| talented awkward business firm hairy legs | 09/20/18 |
| Exciting slate market mad-dog skullcap | 09/19/18 |
| poppy beady-eyed codepig antidepressant drug | 09/19/18 |
| irradiated center | 09/20/18 |
| talented awkward business firm hairy legs | 09/20/18 |
| talented awkward business firm hairy legs | 09/20/18 |
| vivacious elite hell | 09/19/18 |
| curious ruddy corner coffee pot | 09/19/18 |
| dull property | 09/20/18 |
| Out-of-control Hissy Fit | 09/20/18 |
| dull property | 09/20/18 |
| Out-of-control Hissy Fit | 09/20/18 |
| talented awkward business firm hairy legs | 09/20/18 |
| talented awkward business firm hairy legs | 09/20/18 |
| dull property | 09/20/18 |
| comical plaza karate | 09/19/18 |
| brindle cruel-hearted therapy | 09/20/18 |
| light private investor reading party | 09/20/18 |
| dull property | 09/20/18 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM Author: curious ruddy corner coffee pot https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246) |
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: drunken aphrodisiac new version institution This seems too low. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM Author: curious ruddy corner coffee pot Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers
This seems too low.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM Author: Charcoal idiotic lay LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM Author: curious ruddy corner coffee pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Violet glittery newt personal credit line data seems skewed right? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM Author: curious ruddy corner coffee pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM Author: Violet glittery newt personal credit line What is the actual percentage? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM Author: cocky philosopher-king Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.
Senate, GOP is 70% favorite. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: Violet glittery newt personal credit line (guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM Author: cocky philosopher-king I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM Author: Violet glittery newt personal credit line Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM Author: cocky philosopher-king Explain how I have incorrect understanding? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Violet glittery newt personal credit line I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: cocky philosopher-king Lol what? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM Author: Exciting slate market mad-dog skullcap Technically, that’s completely wrong (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: poppy beady-eyed codepig antidepressant drug Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: startling organic girlfriend Grow a beard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM Author: Exciting slate market mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM Author: Supple magenta turdskin library any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM Author: boyish chad stage 180 sub thread would read again (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM Author: Crimson Marketing Idea Chapel lmfao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: talented awkward business firm hairy legs "technically" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM Author: Exciting slate market mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM Author: poppy beady-eyed codepig antidepressant drug "The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM Author: irradiated center can't believe we've come to this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: talented awkward business firm hairy legs Hey! This is law bort! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM Author: talented awkward business firm hairy legs Do you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: vivacious elite hell He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either. |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM Author: curious ruddy corner coffee pot Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.
His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM Author: dull property Cons will never listen to this.
Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM Author: Out-of-control Hissy Fit Cons: Not understanding how probability works (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM Author: dull property Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM Author: Out-of-control Hissy Fit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM Author: talented awkward business firm hairy legs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM Author: talented awkward business firm hairy legs His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM Author: dull property Libs were going INSANE on him. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052) |
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Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM Author: comical plaza karate days without jewish tricks: 0 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM Author: brindle cruel-hearted therapy Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM Author: light private investor reading party What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM Author: dull property This is probably a figment of your imagination (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024) |