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So Nate Silver’s models were right all along and XO celebrated too soon?

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.,.,...,..,.,..:,,:,...,:::,...,:,.,.:..:.,:,::,.
  11/06/18
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.,.,...,..,.,..:,,:,...,:::,...,:,.,.:..:.,:,::,.
  11/06/18
yup
"'""'"'''''''
  11/07/18
He said 55-45 was extremely unlikely. And if Rosendale wins,...
EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!
  11/07/18
so he was right? right now its looking like 53, assuming AZ ...
"'""'"'''''''
  11/07/18
Wrong. Rosendale would make 55. 51+FL, MO, IN, ND, - NV =...
EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!
  11/07/18
you are not counting a potential loss in Arizona. edit - ...
...,.........,.........,....
  11/07/18
Because there isnt going to be one in AZ... where are you ge...
EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!
  11/07/18
...
GS-14
  11/09/18
the 51 figure includes winning MO and IN and losing NV 51...
"'""'"'''''''
  11/07/18
Lolol what? GOP lost on ND? Someone tell Heitkamp...shes gon...
EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!
  11/07/18
There is not "right" or "wrong" here. T...
IronMonkey
  11/07/18
Seems to have been pretty close
IronMonkey
  11/07/18
model re what? they seemed to be off on Governorships. ...
...,.........,.........,....
  11/07/18
McSally is up by 30k with 100% reporting lol ..what are you...
EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!
  11/07/18
update?
"'""'"'''''''
  11/09/18
...
Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband
  11/09/18


Poast new message in this thread



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Date: November 6th, 2018 10:49 PM
Author: .,.,...,..,.,..:,,:,...,:::,...,:,.,.:..:.,:,::,.




(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37176790)



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Date: November 6th, 2018 11:44 PM
Author: .,.,...,..,.,..:,,:,...,:::,...,:,.,.:..:.,:,::,.




(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37177531)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 12:32 PM
Author: "'""'"'''''''


yup

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37181586)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 12:33 PM
Author: EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!

He said 55-45 was extremely unlikely. And if Rosendale wins, itll be 55-45

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37181597)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 12:59 PM
Author: "'""'"'''''''


so he was right? right now its looking like 53, assuming AZ holds. Rosendale would make 54 but he's not winning. predictit has him at 98% to lose based on what's left to be counted.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37181887)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!

Wrong. Rosendale would make 55.

51+FL, MO, IN, ND, - NV = 54.

Mississippi isn't technically done until 11/27 but will be then, so maybe you are looking at a website that hasn't counted it



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37181909)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: ...,.........,.........,....


you are not counting a potential loss in Arizona.

edit - never mind.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37181925)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!

Because there isnt going to be one in AZ... where are you getting that idea?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37181951)



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Date: November 9th, 2018 2:54 PM
Author: GS-14



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37198634)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 1:11 PM
Author: "'""'"'''''''


the 51 figure includes winning MO and IN and losing NV

51 + FL and AZ would be 53. ND would have made 54 but the republicans lost there

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37182025)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 1:11 PM
Author: EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!

Lolol what? GOP lost on ND? Someone tell Heitkamp...shes gonna be pumped!!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37182031)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: IronMonkey

There is not "right" or "wrong" here. There are only degrees of accuracy.

538 was very close for the House and pretty close for the Senate, but it looks like the models slightly over-favored Democrats.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37181960)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: IronMonkey

Seems to have been pretty close

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37181913)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: ...,.........,.........,....


model re what?

they seemed to be off on Governorships.

If Dems end up winning in Montana and Arizona for Senate then I don't think Trump has much to brag about on that front.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37181920)



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Date: November 7th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: EXPLOSIVE diarrhea!!!!

McSally is up by 30k with 100% reporting lol ..what are you talking about

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37181940)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2018 2:48 PM
Author: "'""'"'''''''


update?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37198601)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 9th, 2018 2:49 PM
Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125709&forum_id=2#37198603)