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What's the likelihood of war with Iran this year?

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Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian
  01/02/20
100%
supple federal senate
  01/02/20
15%
ruddy roast beef friendly grandma
  01/02/20
50% iran is going to do something crazy. likely start anothe...
glittery bossy bawdyhouse reading party
  01/02/20
...
Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian
  01/02/20
This is the equivalent of them killing Jesus. Sulimani was t...
supple federal senate
  01/02/20
Notice how literally no one responds to you? Remember when y...
topaz point
  01/03/20
He did one better and made Turkey a Russian client state wit...
supple federal senate
  01/03/20
Got it, he bent the knee
topaz point
  01/03/20
Lol neocon black banker pumo Yeah THEY will start it Lol
talented aggressive goal in life
  01/02/20
i’m not a neocon. i’m actually really worried ab...
glittery bossy bawdyhouse reading party
  01/02/20
Iran won’t “start” a war dude Ur adopting...
talented aggressive goal in life
  01/02/20
General patreaus or General betrayus?
French provocative scourge upon the earth
  01/02/20
remember those retarded trumptards who thought trump denuked...
shivering stage
  01/02/20
They are a very excitable species
Disturbing dashing depressive liquid oxygen
  01/03/20
lol, this year? try this weekend
ocher menage
  01/02/20
...
Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian
  01/02/20
US killed Iran’s #2, this could be a Franz Ferdinand m...
Vibrant Red Circlehead Box Office
  01/02/20
your 85 iq makes you the functional equivalent
olive resort lettuce
  01/03/20
3%
Mentally impaired lay round eye
  01/02/20
...
cheese-eating main people
  01/04/20
...
Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian
  01/02/20
They are definitely going to retaliate somehow. Question is ...
Cerebral Institution Masturbator
  01/02/20
...
Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian
  01/02/20
russia will back iran unless we lift all sanctions against t...
glittery bossy bawdyhouse reading party
  01/02/20
What would Russia gain from involving itself any further in ...
Mind-boggling Trailer Park
  01/03/20
they close the Strait of Hormuz and gas goes to $50 a gallon...
ocher menage
  01/02/20
Iraq will order all US troops out. When they dont leave Iran...
supple federal senate
  01/02/20
iraq and iran are allies now? why the fuck would iraq order ...
cruel-hearted nursing home
  01/02/20
You just shit all over their sovereignty is why.
supple federal senate
  01/02/20
Just woke up after 15 year coma?
Cerebral Institution Masturbator
  01/02/20
...
Clear mood
  01/03/20
the US literally removed chill sunni saddam and shiite iran ...
wonderful primrose gay wizard
  01/03/20
(moron)
Clear mood
  01/03/20
welp i guess it's nut-cutting time because all i see is a sh...
cruel-hearted nursing home
  01/02/20
...
Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian
  01/02/20
...
internet-worthy carmine business firm
  01/02/20
...
high-end area sandwich
  01/02/20
The US just missiled a uniformed general on a diplomatic mis...
supple federal senate
  01/02/20
uniformed general? he was the head of a US-designated terror...
cruel-hearted nursing home
  01/02/20
I’m sure Vlad and Xi will make this distinction both o...
supple federal senate
  01/02/20
but but but it was a US designated terrorist org!! he lisped...
wonderful primrose gay wizard
  01/03/20
Haven't seen a targeted strike like this since last night lo...
boyish alcoholic shitlib
  01/03/20
...
floppy corner
  01/03/20
...
high-end area sandwich
  01/03/20
US-designations are a joke
Razzle forum filthpig
  01/03/20
...
Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian
  01/02/20
...
bull headed digit ratio doctorate
  01/02/20
Damn is he ok
cowardly space
  01/03/20
...
Concupiscible Talking Public Bath Multi-billionaire
  01/03/20
Notice the Brooks Brothers belt came through the blast in ex...
cracking charcoal tanning salon
  01/03/20
...
out-of-control theater
  01/03/20
...
Thriller marketing idea
  01/03/20
I enjoyed this pic
cobalt plaza
  01/03/20
Lmao ARE Reptile went 100 to zero ril quick nigggggggaaaaa
topaz point
  01/03/20
Did he die his hair or something? Looks much darker in the l...
Mind-boggling Trailer Park
  01/05/20
...
exhilarant party of the first part
  01/02/20
"they cyberattack extraordinarily weak US network infra...
henna effete indian lodge
  01/03/20
The US just killed Irans #2 guy. This tells everyone in the ...
supple federal senate
  01/02/20
so 0%
iridescent dysfunction
  01/02/20
...
internet-worthy carmine business firm
  01/02/20
...
Spruce Deer Antler Den
  01/02/20
...
high-end area sandwich
  01/03/20
...
Cordovan sanctuary
  01/03/20
TSINAH, please archive this thread.
irradiated hideous university dragon
  01/02/20
High after tonight. This is analgous to Iran assasinating a...
Vibrant Red Circlehead Box Office
  01/02/20
A cabinet level official with Jesus levels of popularity and...
supple federal senate
  01/02/20
Nah It’s like they killed Reagan or some shit
talented aggressive goal in life
  01/03/20
Oh God oh fuck they're coming for the secretary of transport...
embarrassed to the bone bateful theatre clown
  01/03/20
how do you define "war" - by conventional measure ...
Startled Chrome Athletic Conference Rehab
  01/02/20
the iranians will prolly do something sufficiently ambiguous...
Spruce Deer Antler Den
  01/02/20
iran is so mad at kentucky that they’re going to give ...
high-end area sandwich
  01/03/20
...
exciting elite locus
  01/03/20
...
Spruce Deer Antler Den
  01/03/20
This is more serious than seizing an oil tanker. US just ki...
Vibrant Red Circlehead Box Office
  01/03/20
...
Concupiscible Talking Public Bath Multi-billionaire
  01/03/20
I don't think Iran's response will at all be ambiguous. But ...
laughsome flesh garrison
  01/03/20
Iran will do something major like try to sink a US aircraft ...
wonderful primrose gay wizard
  01/03/20
Depends on Iraq. If Iraq expels US forces that may be enough...
supple federal senate
  01/03/20
Lmao so you’re predicting they bend the knee to white ...
topaz point
  01/03/20
My best guess of what could happen. There are 4,000 US troop...
laughsome flesh garrison
  01/03/20
TCR
supple federal senate
  01/03/20
Lmfao it would be a massive turkey shoot
henna effete indian lodge
  01/03/20
The Iraq regular army is going to be neutral. The Iraq gover...
laughsome flesh garrison
  01/03/20
Lol
henna effete indian lodge
  01/03/20
Because the last insurgency fought in Iraq was a turkey shoo...
laughsome flesh garrison
  01/03/20
Casualty rates are 10:1 or better. You're confusing a turkey...
embarrassed to the bone bateful theatre clown
  01/03/20
Turkey shoot = victory Vietnam had those kinds of ratios ...
laughsome flesh garrison
  01/03/20
ESL? Turkey shoot specifically refers to lopsided body co...
embarrassed to the bone bateful theatre clown
  01/03/20
No it doesn't. It refers to lopsided body counts leading to ...
laughsome flesh garrison
  01/06/20
...
Clear mood
  01/03/20
these guys are fanatics who adore that now martyred general ...
Clear mood
  01/03/20
1 percent.
Cordovan sanctuary
  01/03/20
The same as the likelihood mossad will conduct a false flag ...
aqua native
  01/03/20
...
Curious magenta stead
  01/03/20
Too low.
ruby stirring abode bbw
  01/03/20
If you describe this as "being like if they killed <...
Mauve razzmatazz center idea he suggested
  01/03/20
beep beep beep
Outnumbered crusty crackhouse
  01/03/20
...
Cerebral Institution Masturbator
  01/06/20
I'm a little confused by the 'like if they killed Petraeus' ...
Lake Unholy Lodge
  01/03/20
these are libs we're talking about here
narrow-minded whorehouse hominid
  01/03/20
lib here--these strike me as fair points (indeed they basica...
Plum fragrant jap
  01/03/20
No one sane should want a 'real' war with Iran similar to...
Lake Unholy Lodge
  01/03/20
Taliban/ISIS are involved in active combat with US forces so...
Cerebral Institution Masturbator
  01/06/20
...
Plum fragrant jap
  01/07/20
...
Cordovan sanctuary
  01/03/20
...
Soul-stirring house rigor
  01/05/20
I was worried about an Iranian escalation. Now I see that AR...
Aromatic slimy sex offender range
  01/03/20
depends what Bibi tells Trump to do
know-it-all home haunted graveyard
  01/03/20
5%. Would take a miscalculation by both sides as neither wan...
Disturbing dashing depressive liquid oxygen
  01/03/20
Well either it will or it won't happen, right?
cyan chapel
  01/06/20
...
Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian
  01/07/20


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:01 PM
Author: Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367452)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:01 PM
Author: supple federal senate

100%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367455)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:01 PM
Author: ruddy roast beef friendly grandma

15%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367459)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:02 PM
Author: glittery bossy bawdyhouse reading party

50% iran is going to do something crazy. likely start another war with israel for starters.

this is the equivalent of them killing general patreaus

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367467)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:06 PM
Author: Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367483)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:10 PM
Author: supple federal senate

This is the equivalent of them killing Jesus. Sulimani was that popular.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367509)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:29 AM
Author: topaz point

Notice how literally no one responds to you? Remember when you said Putin would glass Ankara after Turkey 86’d your ttt jet?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369287)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:31 AM
Author: supple federal senate

He did one better and made Turkey a Russian client state with threats of destruction mixed with promises of a gas pipeline and missile tech transfer. Vlad plays chess better than me.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369294)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:41 AM
Author: topaz point

Got it, he bent the knee

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369331)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:12 PM
Author: talented aggressive goal in life

Lol neocon black banker pumo

Yeah THEY will start it

Lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367514)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:22 PM
Author: glittery bossy bawdyhouse reading party

i’m not a neocon. i’m actually really worried about where this goes

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367580)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:16 PM
Author: talented aggressive goal in life

Iran won’t “start” a war dude

Ur adopting fraud intervention justification language

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368018)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:44 PM
Author: French provocative scourge upon the earth

General patreaus or General betrayus?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368224)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:07 PM
Author: shivering stage

remember those retarded trumptards who thought trump denuked korea and i just LOLLERCAUSTED@ how dumb these dummies were for thinking that?

these same dummies are now histrionic over an iranian war, which has a 0% chance of happening in 2020

lollercausting hard@ these dummy trumptards

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367491)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 6:04 PM
Author: Disturbing dashing depressive liquid oxygen

They are a very excitable species

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39373255)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:08 PM
Author: ocher menage

lol, this year? try this weekend

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367494)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:11 PM
Author: Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367511)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:28 PM
Author: Vibrant Red Circlehead Box Office

US killed Iran’s #2, this could be a Franz Ferdinand moment

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368541)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 12:36 AM
Author: olive resort lettuce

your 85 iq makes you the functional equivalent

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369075)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 9:08 PM
Author: Mentally impaired lay round eye

3%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39367496)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 4th, 2020 1:46 AM
Author: cheese-eating main people



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39375033)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:15 PM
Author: Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368012)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:17 PM
Author: Cerebral Institution Masturbator

They are definitely going to retaliate somehow. Question is what we do after that. Good odds that Trump escalates further and brings us into full on war I'd guess

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368023)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:20 PM
Author: Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368054)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:41 PM
Author: glittery bossy bawdyhouse reading party

russia will back iran unless we lift all sanctions against them. and we’ve already broken their economy with sanctions



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368203)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:32 PM
Author: Mind-boggling Trailer Park

What would Russia gain from involving itself any further in this?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39371985)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:47 PM
Author: ocher menage

they close the Strait of Hormuz and gas goes to $50 a gallon

they cyberattack extraordinarily weak US network infrastructure

we've been spending 19 years losing to a bunch of goatfuckers. this is a whole other level

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368254)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:56 PM
Author: supple federal senate

Iraq will order all US troops out. When they dont leave Iran will cruise missile all the US bases. Thats the most logical escalation. Iraq will become a complete Iranian satellite in months. All US influence is about to die there.

Now how the US responds to its expulsion from Iraq will determine if this is a major war or just a minor one.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368300)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:00 PM
Author: cruel-hearted nursing home

iraq and iran are allies now? why the fuck would iraq order US troops out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368322)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:40 PM
Author: supple federal senate

You just shit all over their sovereignty is why.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368660)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:56 PM
Author: Cerebral Institution Masturbator

Just woke up after 15 year coma?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368800)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:08 PM
Author: Clear mood



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39371773)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:29 AM
Author: wonderful primrose gay wizard

the US literally removed chill sunni saddam and shiite iran filled the power vaccum, birdshits are so dumb

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369289)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:08 PM
Author: Clear mood

(moron)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39371774)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:58 PM
Author: cruel-hearted nursing home

welp i guess it's nut-cutting time because all i see is a shithold with no economy and a US fracking infrastructure that has already pwned the fuck out of OPEC so fuck the strait of hormuz and fuck their middle east "retaliations".

0% chance iran steps to us, especially when putin and china tell them they aren't getting involved. despite libs hyperventilating as usual, this was a proportionate response.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368305)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:59 PM
Author: Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368307)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:59 PM
Author: internet-worthy carmine business firm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368311)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:00 PM
Author: high-end area sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368317)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:02 PM
Author: supple federal senate

The US just missiled a uniformed general on a diplomatic mission while he was in an international airport. Russia and China will not be silent because next time it will be their generals. There are rules to this game and Yankeestan just broke just about all of them. Chekists dont kill Yankee spooks. Yankees dont drone Iranian generals. When those rules go its chaos.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368331)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:16 PM
Author: cruel-hearted nursing home

uniformed general? he was the head of a US-designated terrorist organization.

diplomatic mission? ljl he was in iraq to fuck around and play puppetmaster and he got got.

international airport? lmao they only have 1 lounge and it's for TTT iraqi airways.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368458)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:43 PM
Author: supple federal senate

I’m sure Vlad and Xi will make this distinction both of them having awarded Sulumani medals. Putin was friends with this guy.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368682)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:30 AM
Author: wonderful primrose gay wizard

but but but it was a US designated terrorist org!! he lisped to his kike overlords

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369291)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 8:53 AM
Author: boyish alcoholic shitlib

Haven't seen a targeted strike like this since last night lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369983)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:13 PM
Author: floppy corner



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39371809)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 8:51 PM
Author: high-end area sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39373974)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:30 PM
Author: Razzle forum filthpig

US-designations are a joke

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39371960)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:39 PM
Author: Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368646)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:46 PM
Author: bull headed digit ratio doctorate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368717)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 12:34 AM
Author: cowardly space

Damn is he ok

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369069)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:37 AM
Author: Concupiscible Talking Public Bath Multi-billionaire



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369318)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:13 AM
Author: cracking charcoal tanning salon

Notice the Brooks Brothers belt came through the blast in excellent condition. This man knew quality men's fashions, whatever his political convictions.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369234)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:24 AM
Author: out-of-control theater



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369265)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 3:08 PM
Author: Thriller marketing idea



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39372187)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:29 AM
Author: cobalt plaza

I enjoyed this pic

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369290)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 3:34 AM
Author: topaz point

Lmao ARE Reptile went 100 to zero ril quick nigggggggaaaaa

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369595)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2020 10:14 PM
Author: Mind-boggling Trailer Park

Did he die his hair or something? Looks much darker in the last pic.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39384204)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:44 PM
Author: exhilarant party of the first part



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368694)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:12 AM
Author: henna effete indian lodge

"they cyberattack extraordinarily weak US network infrastructure"

Get real lol



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369445)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:54 PM
Author: supple federal senate

The US just killed Irans #2 guy. This tells everyone in the Iranian elite that they already are dead men walking unless a level of deterrence is established. You cant let the assisination of your #2 go unanswered. The sanctions are death in slow motion. Both Russia and Iran know this. There is going to be a war. Yankeestan just guaranteed it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368288)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 10:59 PM
Author: iridescent dysfunction

so 0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368310)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:00 PM
Author: internet-worthy carmine business firm



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368314)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:59 PM
Author: Spruce Deer Antler Den



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368820)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 12:00 AM
Author: high-end area sandwich



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368837)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 5:43 AM
Author: Cordovan sanctuary



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369681)



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Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:01 PM
Author: irradiated hideous university dragon

TSINAH, please archive this thread.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368329)



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Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:36 PM
Author: Vibrant Red Circlehead Box Office

High after tonight. This is analgous to Iran assasinating a cabinet level official

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368605)



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Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:42 PM
Author: supple federal senate

A cabinet level official with Jesus levels of popularity and a cult like following.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368678)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 12:08 AM
Author: talented aggressive goal in life

Nah

It’s like they killed Reagan or some shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368910)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 7:24 AM
Author: embarrassed to the bone bateful theatre clown

Oh God oh fuck they're coming for the secretary of transportation! Protect the secretary of transportation!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369773)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:45 PM
Author: Startled Chrome Athletic Conference Rehab

how do you define "war" - by conventional measure 95%, by what most people think of as "war" - 40%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368702)



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Date: January 2nd, 2020 11:48 PM
Author: Spruce Deer Antler Den

the iranians will prolly do something sufficiently ambiguous that allows them to save face, while not actually threatening the U.S.

like bombing a japanese tanker

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368730)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 12:03 AM
Author: high-end area sandwich

iran is so mad at kentucky that they’re going to give cleveland state another two yrs of probation

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39368870)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:27 AM
Author: exciting elite locus



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369274)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 10:43 AM
Author: Spruce Deer Antler Den



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39370423)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 12:26 AM
Author: Vibrant Red Circlehead Box Office

This is more serious than seizing an oil tanker. US just killed their general Patton. This will lead to escalation and possibly all out war

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369028)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:27 AM
Author: Concupiscible Talking Public Bath Multi-billionaire



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369275)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:38 AM
Author: laughsome flesh garrison

I don't think Iran's response will at all be ambiguous. But it will be geographically limited. Kept inside of Iraq.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369323)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:26 AM
Author: wonderful primrose gay wizard

Iran will do something major like try to sink a US aircraft carrier or severely bomb a US base in Qatar or something but once they get back they will probably deescalate. It's the US that is the warmonger, not XO 180 Iran

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369270)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:33 AM
Author: supple federal senate

Depends on Iraq. If Iraq expels US forces that may be enough for Iran. If Iraq does jack Iran will have to missile the shit out of something Yankee by itself.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369303)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:39 AM
Author: topaz point

Lmao so you’re predicting they bend the knee to white superiors like all turd races have for centuries

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369325)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:33 AM
Author: laughsome flesh garrison

My best guess of what could happen. There are 4,000 US troops in Iraq. I think there is a high likelihood Iran linked militias wage a war against US troops. This ends with US withdrawal from Iraq and Syria. Iran will regard this as enough revenge, restores its credibility as not a bitch, and Iran will not escalate further.

Will the US from there escalate it into a full blown war? The big question.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369307)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 1:34 AM
Author: supple federal senate

TCR

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369310)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:15 AM
Author: henna effete indian lodge

Lmfao it would be a massive turkey shoot



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369452)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 3:23 AM
Author: laughsome flesh garrison

The Iraq regular army is going to be neutral. The Iraq government is going to demand the US leave. 4,000 isolated US troops and pallet pusher Wilbur as the part of the rescue cavalry from Kuwait against hundreds of thousands of Shia jihadis. It's going to be ugly and I think will end with withdrawal from Iraq and Syria. Iran will call it a victory. Then the tough decision. Give Iran a bloody nose in Iran?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369580)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 4:05 AM
Author: henna effete indian lodge

Lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369624)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 6:44 AM
Author: laughsome flesh garrison

Because the last insurgency fought in Iraq was a turkey shoot?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369733)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 7:29 AM
Author: embarrassed to the bone bateful theatre clown

Casualty rates are 10:1 or better. You're confusing a turkey shoot with pacification, we'll keep killing more of them by attrition and eventually they'll either stop or we get bored.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369777)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 7:34 AM
Author: laughsome flesh garrison

Turkey shoot = victory

Vietnam had those kinds of ratios but no one calls it a turkey shoot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369787)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 5:28 PM
Author: embarrassed to the bone bateful theatre clown

ESL?

Turkey shoot specifically refers to lopsided body counts.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39373066)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2020 1:22 AM
Author: laughsome flesh garrison

No it doesn't. It refers to lopsided body counts leading to victory. No one claims getting run out of Vietnam despite killing so many Vietnamese was a turkey shoot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39385182)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:13 PM
Author: Clear mood



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39371805)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:13 PM
Author: Clear mood

these guys are fanatics who adore that now martyred general and are battle hardened bringing similarly psychotic ISIS to heel

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39371808)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 5:35 AM
Author: Cordovan sanctuary

1 percent.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369666)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 7:12 AM
Author: aqua native

The same as the likelihood mossad will conduct a false flag operation designed to draw us into a war

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369757)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 7:15 AM
Author: Curious magenta stead



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369760)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 7:31 AM
Author: ruby stirring abode bbw

Too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369781)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 8:47 AM
Author: Mauve razzmatazz center idea he suggested

If you describe this as "being like if they killed <insert US official> here" nobody should take you seriously.

It's not like that. They're Iran and we're the US. It's not comparable whatsoever. So stop acting like that's a legitimate point.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369962)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 8:52 AM
Author: Outnumbered crusty crackhouse

beep beep beep

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39369981)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2020 12:23 AM
Author: Cerebral Institution Masturbator



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39384938)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 9:44 AM
Author: Lake Unholy Lodge

I'm a little confused by the 'like if they killed Petraeus' bit

I'm assuming that when Petraeus was traveling through Iraq or Afghanistan quite a bit of resources were put into assuring his physical security

If the Taliban or ISIS had had the ability to take him out, they wouldn't have hesitated to do so for a second

In a hypothetical world, where there was credible evidence that Petraeus was organizing an attack on Iran, I don't think Iran would hesitate for a second to take him out either

Assuming the evidence that this guy was coordinating attacks on the Embassy is credible...

I don't know that that is credible, but I haven't actually seen that challenged, more just 'he's their #2!!! Omg!'

If this guys on the ground in Iraq, planning/carrying out operations against the US, I'm not sure what his level of rank in Iran changes about the degree to which he's fair game

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39370143)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 10:40 AM
Author: narrow-minded whorehouse hominid

these are libs we're talking about here

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39370414)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:06 PM
Author: Plum fragrant jap

lib here--these strike me as fair points (indeed they basically occurred to me immediately after), but iran won't see it that way. and we presumably don't actually (or should not, at least) want a real war with iran.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39371762)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 3rd, 2020 2:27 PM
Author: Lake Unholy Lodge

No one sane should want a 'real' war with Iran

similar to how no sane Iranian should want a war with the US

-----

Apparently Iran thinks they can advance their interests with (presumably?) limited action in bumrushing the US Embassy in Iraq (idk, maybe that's a bad presumption)

Maybe we shouldn't have an Embassy in Iraq, but that's really besides the point

A US President's duty to protect Americans extends to Americans in Embassies

A US President should be given wide latitude to figure out what deterrence disincentivizes actors from thinking it advances their interests to threaten our Embassies

(whether that President is Trump, Obama, or anyone else, really doesn't have that much to do with it)

--------

If Trump can't keep this from escalating into a full blown war, he won't be re-elected, I feel reasonably good that Trump understands that calculus

His re-election calculus doesn't absolve him of his duty to protect Americans

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39371936)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 6th, 2020 12:44 AM
Author: Cerebral Institution Masturbator

Taliban/ISIS are involved in active combat with US forces so I don't think those are comparable. It would be more like if a general adversary like North Korea took out one of our generals--it's a clear escalation.

I'm also not prepared to take Pompeo and Trump's word on the 'credible threat' of attacks against the US being imminently planned by this guy, would like to see them actually provide details on this. Trump has rightfully pushed the narrative that we should question the motivation and information of the intelligence community and I think this applies here as much as anywhere else.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39385061)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2020 9:56 PM
Author: Plum fragrant jap



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39396186)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 10:36 AM
Author: Cordovan sanctuary



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39370386)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 5th, 2020 10:41 PM
Author: Soul-stirring house rigor



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39384361)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 9:17 AM
Author: Aromatic slimy sex offender range

I was worried about an Iranian escalation. Now I see that ARE Reptile is predicting one. That makes me feel a lot better, phew.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39370074)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 10:37 AM
Author: know-it-all home haunted graveyard

depends what Bibi tells Trump to do

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39370391)



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Date: January 3rd, 2020 6:04 PM
Author: Disturbing dashing depressive liquid oxygen

5%. Would take a miscalculation by both sides as neither wants open war.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39373252)



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Date: January 6th, 2020 12:37 AM
Author: cyan chapel

Well either it will or it won't happen, right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39385028)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 7th, 2020 9:50 PM
Author: Swashbuckling drab orchestra pit persian



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4413406&forum_id=2#39396156)