Zero chance Trump wins Michigan again
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Date: January 16th, 2020 12:14 AM Author: Judgmental Business Firm
The important variables in Michigan:
1. Black turnout in Detroit
2. Margin in Macomb County
3. Rural areas
I think black turnout for Dems will be even worse than 2016, and Trump should do well in Macomb. #3 is the wild card, especially against Bernie.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4422826&forum_id=2#39438345) |
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Date: January 16th, 2020 12:26 AM Author: Charismatic geriatric jap
1. nah, black turnout will be up. Hillary didn't even try last time and Biden will be the nominee.
2. Macomb is full of dumb white trash so Trump will do well. However Oakland and wealthy educated places in Western Michigan will more than make up for this.
3. Rural dumps will vote about the same.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4422826&forum_id=2#39438380)
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Date: January 16th, 2020 12:44 AM Author: Judgmental Business Firm
1. Hillary and her husband had a lot of goodwill with black voters, especially with older ones. Maybe Biden could replicate Hillary turnout, but I don't think he will surpass it. Trump will also get a higher % of blacks than he did in 2016. As for Bernie, LJL. He's a socialist atheist Jew. Blacks will not turn out for him; I could see Trump getting 15-20% of blacks against Bernie.
2. Trump will do a lot better in Oakland and the affluent suburbs against Bernie. Agree that Biden will do well.
3. Agreed.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4422826&forum_id=2#39438457) |
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