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Trump up 2 in North Dakota

Oops, sorry, meant nationwide. https://www.express.co.uk/...
aquamarine resort haunted graveyard
  08/05/20
...
Arousing brunch travel guidebook
  08/05/20
EPAH?
thriller striped hyena
  08/05/20
I feel like they might need to UNTHKEW this one: Party ID...
Slap-happy turdskin
  08/05/20
Those are his percentages among those groups, not the percen...
aquamarine resort haunted graveyard
  08/05/20
And how do you discern that from the description "Party...
Slap-happy turdskin
  08/05/20
I discern it from the fact that the numbers don't add up to ...
aquamarine resort haunted graveyard
  08/05/20
EPAH blown out again
burgundy lay
  08/05/20
LMAO.
hateful trailer park
  08/05/20
Lol you think 1 out of 4 Dems and 1 out of 5 blacks will vot...
Misunderstood space
  08/05/20
At face value, it sounds ridiculous. Then I remember that te...
Jet-lagged passionate milk gas station
  08/05/20
Seems like they might be oversampling BLACK and HISPANIC Rep...
Slap-happy turdskin
  08/05/20
The fact that there are any black or Hispanic Republicans to...
aquamarine resort haunted graveyard
  08/05/20
VERY TELLING
Slap-happy turdskin
  08/05/20
What is going on here? Party ID Republican = 84% De...
Amber adulterous cuckoldry
  08/05/20
lmao
haunting out-of-control bbw
  08/05/20
He's winning 84% of Republicans, etc.
aquamarine resort haunted graveyard
  08/05/20
Seems odd. Feel like it should be 95% of Republicans and few...
Amber adulterous cuckoldry
  08/05/20
IRL isn’t twitter
floppy chartreuse idiot library
  08/05/20
Okay?
Amber adulterous cuckoldry
  08/05/20
38% of Hispanics and 20% of blacks would be a coup for trump...
Amber adulterous cuckoldry
  08/05/20
There's something fucked up about this poll then. 38% of his...
Razzle wild candlestick maker
  08/05/20
False
magical incel
  08/05/20
Sampling seems sound, idk: Race/ethnicity White = 57% ...
Slap-happy turdskin
  08/05/20
maybe its surprising to some, but even in my massively shitl...
cracking brethren background story
  08/05/20
20% seems WAY too high. i'd be raising my eyebrows at 10-12%
harsh mildly autistic hospital headpube
  08/05/20
We are in very accelerated times. Basically something that ...
cracking brethren background story
  08/05/20
Black women will probably vote close to 99% Biden. Assuming ...
harsh mildly autistic hospital headpube
  08/05/20
...
multi-colored cobalt potus forum
  08/05/20
...
harsh mildly autistic hospital headpube
  08/05/20
Trump got 30% of Hispanics in 2016, and GW Bush won 44% of H...
Jet-lagged passionate milk gas station
  08/05/20
LOL at this "poll."
mahogany sneaky criminal personal credit line
  08/05/20
how dumb does the average Trumpmo have to be to believe this...
nubile home
  08/05/20
✏️ 🍆
salmon state telephone
  08/05/20
...
Dull Odious Community Account Rehab
  08/05/20
Idk but not nearly as dumb as someone who lisped about Russi...
Talented cyan cumskin sex offender
  08/05/20
Remove California and Trump won popular vote by ≈4% in...
Jet-lagged passionate milk gas station
  08/05/20
Objection. Relevance.
mahogany sneaky criminal personal credit line
  08/05/20
The way we pick our president isn't relevant to who wins the...
mauve faggotry lodge
  08/05/20
The point is that the idea that Trump’s loss of the po...
Jet-lagged passionate milk gas station
  08/05/20
This. If you remove the states that make Trump look bad, the...
Startled Dilemma
  08/05/20
Hillary won the popular vote because of one state so that me...
mauve faggotry lodge
  08/05/20
...
contagious house
  08/05/20
Holy shit
magical incel
  08/05/20
No idea who those guys are, but Rasmussen (who I know skews ...
vermilion kitty cat
  08/05/20
Don't know these guys either but they also show Trump winnin...
Purple galvanic stock car mental disorder
  08/05/20
LMAO at libs. The nightmare never ends!
amethyst stirring sandwich garrison
  08/05/20
That's how you KNOW the polls are flame. Has anyone been to ...
Mint Pistol
  08/05/20


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 7:58 AM
Author: aquamarine resort haunted graveyard

Oops, sorry, meant nationwide.

https://www.express.co.uk/news/world/1317435/donald-trump-polls-us-election-2020-joe-biden-latest-news

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709126)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 8:03 AM
Author: Arousing brunch travel guidebook



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709128)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 8:04 AM
Author: thriller striped hyena

EPAH?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709132)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:13 PM
Author: Slap-happy turdskin

I feel like they might need to UNTHKEW this one:

Party ID

Republican = 84%

Democrat = 25%

Independent = 44%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710697)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:18 PM
Author: aquamarine resort haunted graveyard

Those are his percentages among those groups, not the percentages of the sample.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710717)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:21 PM
Author: Slap-happy turdskin

And how do you discern that from the description "Party ID"?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710731)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:28 PM
Author: aquamarine resort haunted graveyard

I discern it from the fact that the numbers don't add up to 100%.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710758)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 4:23 PM
Author: burgundy lay

EPAH blown out again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40711255)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 7:26 PM
Author: hateful trailer park

LMAO.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40711944)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 5:13 PM
Author: Misunderstood space

Lol you think 1 out of 4 Dems and 1 out of 5 blacks will vote Trump?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40711471)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 5:15 PM
Author: Jet-lagged passionate milk gas station

At face value, it sounds ridiculous. Then I remember that technically I’m registered Dem and will be voting Trump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40711478)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:15 PM
Author: Slap-happy turdskin

Seems like they might be oversampling BLACK and HISPANIC Republicans in this poll:

Race/ethnicity

White = 57%

Black = 40%

Hispanic = 43%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710705)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:19 PM
Author: aquamarine resort haunted graveyard

The fact that there are any black or Hispanic Republicans to oversample is telling.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710724)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:21 PM
Author: Slap-happy turdskin

VERY TELLING

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710732)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 8:04 AM
Author: Amber adulterous cuckoldry

What is going on here?

Party ID

Republican = 84%

Democrat = 25%

Independent = 44%



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709133)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 8:11 AM
Author: haunting out-of-control bbw

lmao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709145)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 8:23 AM
Author: aquamarine resort haunted graveyard

He's winning 84% of Republicans, etc.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709164)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 8:24 AM
Author: Amber adulterous cuckoldry

Seems odd. Feel like it should be 95% of Republicans and fewer dems.

Black and latino numbers also seem off. What's this poll? Havent seen these guys before

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709166)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 8:45 AM
Author: floppy chartreuse idiot library

IRL isn’t twitter

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709217)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 4:26 PM
Author: Amber adulterous cuckoldry

Okay?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40711276)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 8:06 AM
Author: Amber adulterous cuckoldry

38% of Hispanics and 20% of blacks would be a coup for trump campaign

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709136)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 12:22 PM
Author: Razzle wild candlestick maker

There's something fucked up about this poll then. 38% of hispanics is believable but pushing it, but there's no way he gets 20% of blacks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710128)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 12:30 PM
Author: magical incel

False

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710188)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:15 PM
Author: Slap-happy turdskin

Sampling seems sound, idk:

Race/ethnicity

White = 57%

Black = 40%

Hispanic = 43%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710707)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:18 PM
Author: cracking brethren background story

maybe its surprising to some, but even in my massively shitlib poc community, if the little out and loud trump converts is a bellweather then people are in for a massive fucking shock in november.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710716)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:20 PM
Author: harsh mildly autistic hospital headpube

20% seems WAY too high. i'd be raising my eyebrows at 10-12%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710727)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:25 PM
Author: cracking brethren background story

We are in very accelerated times. Basically something that would take years to do now happens in days. 20% of blacks motivated enough to vote for trump wouldnt surprise me at all.

Again noting social media is not irl--for every out and talking ivy league poc supporting trump or at least railing against libs basically is talking for 50 people afraid to speak up in my very angular and specific bubble. Because they basically are in the middle of social suicide so...i dunno. Im running on a hunch based on my tiny little anecdotal experience.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710755)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 4:01 PM
Author: harsh mildly autistic hospital headpube

Black women will probably vote close to 99% Biden. Assuming black men vote at about the same rate that black women do (I don't think they do but it makes the math easier), Trump would have to win like 40% of black men to hit 50%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40711173)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 4:02 PM
Author: multi-colored cobalt potus forum



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40711176)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:19 PM
Author: harsh mildly autistic hospital headpube



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710722)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 1:55 PM
Author: Jet-lagged passionate milk gas station

Trump got 30% of Hispanics in 2016, and GW Bush won 44% of Hispanics in 2004, so the precedent has been set.

20% of blacks seems like a stretch, given that is 2.5x the percentage he won in 2016, but with guys like Kanye out there, maybe.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710630)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 9:57 AM
Author: mahogany sneaky criminal personal credit line

LOL at this "poll."

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709412)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 10:01 AM
Author: nubile home

how dumb does the average Trumpmo have to be to believe this "poll" - he couldn't even beat Hillary by 2 nationwide pre-pandemic.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709425)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 10:01 AM
Author: salmon state telephone

✏️ 🍆

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709428)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 10:10 AM
Author: Dull Odious Community Account Rehab



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709472)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 10:11 AM
Author: Talented cyan cumskin sex offender

Idk but not nearly as dumb as someone who lisped about Russian collusion for 3 years

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40709475)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 1:49 PM
Author: Jet-lagged passionate milk gas station

Remove California and Trump won popular vote by ≈4% in 2016 (52%-48%)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710599)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:02 PM
Author: mahogany sneaky criminal personal credit line

Objection. Relevance.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710657)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:21 PM
Author: mauve faggotry lodge

The way we pick our president isn't relevant to who wins the election?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710729)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 5:09 PM
Author: Jet-lagged passionate milk gas station

The point is that the idea that Trump’s loss of the popular vote is representative of a geographically uniform opinion is incorrect. California is the outlier that skews the average.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40711462)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:10 PM
Author: Startled Dilemma

This. If you remove the states that make Trump look bad, then he looks good.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710683)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:19 PM
Author: mauve faggotry lodge

Hillary won the popular vote because of one state so that means she should be president!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710723)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:22 PM
Author: contagious house



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710733)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 12:31 PM
Author: magical incel

Holy shit

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710194)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:12 PM
Author: vermilion kitty cat

No idea who those guys are, but Rasmussen (who I know skews to GOP) has the race tightening. Of course national polls are meaningless.

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2020/white_house_watch_aug05

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710692)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:33 PM
Author: Purple galvanic stock car mental disorder

Don't know these guys either but they also show Trump winning electoral.

They also have a bunch of questions to suss out "shy Trump voters" which are interesting

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710767)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 2:19 PM
Author: amethyst stirring sandwich garrison

LMAO at libs. The nightmare never ends!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40710721)



Reply Favorite

Date: August 5th, 2020 7:25 PM
Author: Mint Pistol

That's how you KNOW the polls are flame. Has anyone been to North Dakota?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4597900&forum_id=2#40711938)