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Kalshi refuses pay out to bettors in Ayatollah Khameni market

Prediction market Kalshi has drawn outrage for refusing to p...
Concupiscible orchid rehab
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
cobalt trailer park useless brakes
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
cobalt trailer park useless brakes
  03/05/26
Prediction markets should be illegal
Lascivious station
  03/05/26
but how can they be made illegal when they were conceived of...
Concupiscible orchid rehab
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
cobalt trailer park useless brakes
  03/05/26
The DARPA chief?!
Lascivious station
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
cobalt trailer park useless brakes
  03/05/26
Kalshi is pure scum all my homies use Polymarket
Canary Heaven
  03/05/26
They hate MAGA cons
Burgundy passionate feces
  03/05/26
everyone does though
Concupiscible orchid rehab
  03/05/26


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Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 1:38 PM
Author: Concupiscible orchid rehab

Prediction market Kalshi has drawn outrage for refusing to pay out winnings on a $54 million trade related to the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Many bettors assumed they had won big on wagers that Khamenei would be “out as Supreme Leader” by Saturday after he was killed in joint US-Israeli air strikes over the weekend.

But Kalshi – an American prediction market that allows users to bet on politics, sports, foreign affairs and pop culture – announced it would not be paying out any winnings on those wagers, since its guidelines prohibit markets “directly tied to death.”

An Israeli-American business executive in New York had placed two bets totaling $3,460 that Khamenei would be “out” by March or April 1, and the Kalshi app showed he won payouts worth more than $63,000 – but then the trade was frozen.

“I was booking my trip to Courchevel,” he jokingly told the Washington Post, referring to the luxurious French Alps ski resort. “Then they changed the rules … and everybody got screwed.”

https://nypost.com/2026/03/05/business/kalshi-refuses-to-pay-winnings-on-54m-trade-related-to-khameneis-death-drawing-user-fury/?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718009)



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Date: March 5th, 2026 1:43 PM
Author: cobalt trailer park useless brakes

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718026)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 1:43 PM
Author: cobalt trailer park useless brakes

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718027)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:00 PM
Author: Lascivious station

Prediction markets should be illegal

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718100)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:02 PM
Author: Concupiscible orchid rehab

but how can they be made illegal when they were conceived of by the very people who decide what’s illegal?

https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Prediction-Markets-Enhance-Intel.pdf

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718108)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:03 PM
Author: cobalt trailer park useless brakes

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718111)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 8:51 PM
Author: Lascivious station

The DARPA chief?!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49719573)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:03 PM
Author: cobalt trailer park useless brakes

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718113)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:05 PM
Author: Canary Heaven

Kalshi is pure scum

all my homies use Polymarket

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718124)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:06 PM
Author: Burgundy passionate feces

They hate MAGA cons

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718127)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 7:16 PM
Author: Concupiscible orchid rehab

everyone does though

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49719325)