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dozens of tankers just crossed the Strait, that's why oil prices are up again

...
titillating chocolate karate shitlib
  10/01/26
the situation right now is roughly: ~1.2–1.3 billion ...
Zombie-like indian lodge
  10/01/26
so the Strait is still closed
titillating chocolate karate shitlib
  10/01/26
Is it? Who knows.
Zombie-like indian lodge
  10/01/26
if the tables were turned, i'd expect the US to be tacticall...
white step-uncle's house
  10/01/26
Just today China indicated they will limit exports of refine...
Zombie-like indian lodge
  10/01/26
I'm enjoying the freakout ITT
titillating chocolate karate shitlib
  10/01/26
Typical for gibbershabbosgoy
azure well-lubricated spot
  10/01/26
Me too
Zombie-like indian lodge
  10/01/26
Trump: We’re going to fill up our national strategic r...
titillating chocolate karate shitlib
  10/01/26
What purpose do you think the SPR serves?
Zombie-like indian lodge
  10/01/26
...
Zombie-like indian lodge
  10/02/26


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Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 7:23 PM
Author: titillating chocolate karate shitlib



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165370)



Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 7:27 PM
Author: Zombie-like indian lodge

the situation right now is roughly:

~1.2–1.3 billion barrels in storage → imports dramatically reduced → inventories being drawn by roughly 0.5–0.8 million b/d → refinery activity beginning to recover → pressure building eventually to increase imports.

That last transition could matter a lot for world oil prices. China spent 2025 buying cheap crude and effectively built itself a gigantic shock absorber. It has been using that buffer through 2026 rather than competing aggressively for scarce barrels. If inventories fall far enough that Beijing decides to rebuild them while Middle Eastern supply remains constrained, China's return as a 10–12+ million-b/d buyer could materially tighten the global market.

Embargo stays until China blows through their stockpile from 2025. It's nice they were able to float the US while we did war.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165378)



Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 7:35 PM
Author: titillating chocolate karate shitlib

so the Strait is still closed

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165391)



Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 7:42 PM
Author: Zombie-like indian lodge

Is it? Who knows.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165400)



Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 7:46 PM
Author: white step-uncle's house

if the tables were turned, i'd expect the US to be tactically buying to increase pressure on China.

are they more into benign stability than we give them credit for that they aren't entering the market right before the midterms?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165403)



Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 8:07 PM
Author: Zombie-like indian lodge

Just today China indicated they will limit exports of refined product until they reach acceptable reserve levels.

Trump explicitly asked them not to just last week. They arnt stabilizing the world market because they love stability, and it isn't destabilizing it merely because doing so could hurt Washington. It's conserving its own and refusing to buy expensive replacement barrels until it has to. Also driving up prices would be an extremely expensive way to hurt the US and one that would actually transfer cash to American companies.

The Davidson Window, or aim to be ready to invade Taiwan by 2027, is all but gone. I thought that was a huge reason for the war in Iran and the timing of Venezuela and Nigerian hits. I think I was wrong pegging it to one specific goal. Watch that podcast i put up today. China has a lot of problems. The US is pumping them up as some invincible juggernaut and I think that's bullshit to sell ships etc.

https://www.reuters.com/world/china/us-sees-chinese-invasion-taiwan-unlikely-next-year-despite-2027-timeline-sources-2026-10-01/?utm_source=chatgpt.com

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165449)



Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 7:48 PM
Author: titillating chocolate karate shitlib

I'm enjoying the freakout ITT

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165405)



Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 7:51 PM
Author: azure well-lubricated spot

Typical for gibbershabbosgoy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165414)



Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 8:10 PM
Author: Zombie-like indian lodge

Me too

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165451)



Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 7:52 PM
Author: titillating chocolate karate shitlib

Trump: We’re going to fill up our national strategic reserves with Venezuelan oil.

https://x.com/Megatron_ron/status/2105716760536347099

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165418)



Reply

Date: October 1st, 2026 8:09 PM
Author: Zombie-like indian lodge

What purpose do you think the SPR serves?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50165450)



Reply

Date: October 2nd, 2026 12:32 PM
Author: Zombie-like indian lodge



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5908540&forum_id=2#50166939)