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ITT: $50 prize for most accurate election prediction (gunneratttt)
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 29th, 2024 4:22 PM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) rules:
(1) you must predict the outcome of the seven key swing states (NC, GA, AZ, NV, WI, MI, PA) plus that popular vote via how many points the candidate you choose will win by to the first decimal (e.g. trump +1.5).
(1)(a) predictions must be made for *EACH SWING STATE* in terms of margin of victory as well as the national popular vote. see my vote for an example: https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&mc=6&forum_id=2#48255079
(1)(b) votes must be made in a top level comment, not a reply.
(2) your final score is based on the cumulative gap between you prediction and the actual result. (e.g. predicted trump +0.3, actual result kamala +1.0 = +1.3 added to your total). correctly picking the winning candidate does not earn additional points.
(3) on the morning of 11/5 i will quote reply to all eligible votes.
(4) revising your prediction is permitted, my quote reply will be considered your final prediction.
(5) the winner will be announced when vote rolls are certified. i will post the winner and award the prize after 24 hours. during that time appeals can be made (e.g. i fucked up the math), however i will be the sole arbiter in selecting the winner.
(6) only recognizable sudos may participate. i will comment if i don't think you're are eligible, and will hear appeals, but will be the sole arbiter of deciding a poaster's eligibility.
(6)(a) i will only comment on your eligibility if you have both made a valid vote and i believe you are ineligible. if you wish to confirm whether your vote is sufficient and you are eligible, you may do so, and i will respond.
(7) i will make a prediction but am ineligible to win.
(8) in the unlikely event of a tie, the prize will be split.
(9) the prize will be in the form of an AMEX or VISA gift card delivered via email on my throwaway. |
Date: October 29th, 2024 4:23 PM Author: infraphysics is hetero fun idea (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255025) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:30 PM Author: John Adams: Women Respecter A triumph. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255057) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:39 PM Author: TRUMP IS GORGEOUS This! A rare “Scholarly Triumph.” (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255866) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:40 PM Author: potluck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255872) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:40 PM Author: John Adams: Women Respecter The Prancing Scholar! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255873) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:25 PM Author: Juan Eighty GOP: NC, GA, AZ, PA Dems: WI, MI, NV
Popular Vote: Kamala +1.5 |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:26 PM Author: MASE https://www.270towin.com/maps/W7vvm NPV: 2.1 Trump |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:37 PM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.2
NC: KAMALA +0.2
GA: TRUMP +3.7
AZ: TRUMP +3.9
NV: TRUMP +1.4
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: TRUMP +1.5
PA: TRUMP +2.9 |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:39 PM Author: MASE Ah gotta point the states. I gotta think about it for awhile then. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255087) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:42 PM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) ty. yeah i'm planning on revising mine but wanted to make sure i had an example set. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255093) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 5:26 PM Author: """'""""'' NATIONAL: Kamala +3
Georgia: Kamala +1
Michigan: Kamala +4
Nevada: Trump +1
North Carolina: tied
Pennsylvania: Kamala +1
Wisconsin: Kamala +2
Nebraska-2: Kamala +9
States that are closer than usual: Kansas, Alaska, Nebraska.
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Date: October 29th, 2024 5:28 PM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) this is the insane libquotemo and has been granted an exception to the recognizable sudo rule
https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&mc=129&forum_id=2#48255273 |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 5:31 PM Author: Waltah this is how you do it doobs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255317) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 5:34 PM Author: McDonald Trump (gunneratttt) i assume the winner will use a throwaway. if there are multiple claimants i can just email them each something unique and see which one the winning sudo poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255329) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:28 PM Author: Blackpill Bob (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255792) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:37 PM Author: Candy Ride (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255848) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:40 PM Author: maine is 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255869) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:41 PM Author: TRUMP IS GORGEOUS Lmao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255878) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 6:11 PM Author: John Adams: Women Respecter Subject: Subject to constant change NATIONAL: HARRIS +0.5 EC: TRUMP 291 HARRIS 247
NC: TRUMP +0.7
GA: TRUMP +1.0
AZ: TRUMP +0.5
NV: HARRIS +0.5
WI: TRUMP +0.3
MI: HARRIS +0.2
PA: TRUMP +0.6
VA: HARRIS +2.3
NH: HARRIS +1.1 |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 6:18 PM Author: maine is 180 180 contest friend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255460) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:15 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard (1) Trump 306 EV's Kamala 232 EV's
Trump wins NC, AZ, GA, PA, MI, and WI. Kamala retains NV
Popular vote: Trump +0.1
(1)(a) NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.1
NC: TRUMP +1.2
GA: TRUMP +2.5
AZ: TRUMP +2.8
NV: HARRIS +2.2
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: TRUMP +1.5
PA: TRUMP +2.1
(1)(b)√ |