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Wait are people actually saying this Iowa poll means something?
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:26 PM Author: average/ordinary/typical citizen/person (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48273963) |
Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:27 PM Author: Trump 2024 The poll is conducted by an extremely reputable pollster that was only off by around a percent for Iowa in 2016 & 2020.
Their last poll had Trump at 47% and Kamala at 43%. No one expected this.
It's hard to imagine Iowa going blue and the rust belt goes red. It's indicating that the election has a chance of being a blowout with Harris winning easily.
Edit: in 2020 they were off by 1% and 2016 they were off by 2%. MOE on this poll is 3.4% |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:28 PM Author: average/ordinary/typical citizen/person Donald Trump is going to win the election. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48273977) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:29 PM Author: Trump 2024 I am very interested to see how TX comes in. This is going to be a Kamala landslide nationally. Trump has pissed too many people off. Women are going to be the straw that breaks his back. Ironic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48273980) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:30 PM Author: Trump 2024 I keep telling people complaining about how close the media keeps saying this race is, it's not close. Trump has not gained any followers since he lost to Biden. He had no untapped voter pools that might be swayed to support him. And he has done nothing but drive people away. It's gonna be a landslide for Kamala, and I hope it affects the makeup of Congress and the state elections too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48273981) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:31 PM Author: Trump 2024 I know a retired farmer in Iowa. Him and his wife deeply regret voting for the guy in 2016. And they’ve made it clear that they can’t wait to vote against him.
I’ve known them for 20 years but only see them every couple of years and I notice that they are becoming less conservative every time. I am really proud of them, they are such good people. |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:35 PM Author: ..,,....,,.,..,,..,,...,...,,....,..., Are these from Reddit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48274011) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:37 PM Author: Trump 2024 https://www.reddit.com/r/politics/s/ANIlYsQFAL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48274017) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:28 PM Author: Trump 2024 It's by far the best poll and pollster, also Iowa is a state that mirrors the blue wall states (but is more white and further to the right) a lot. So in 2020 Seltzer's final Iowa poll had Trump +8 (which was a departure from nearly all other major polls) and he won Iowa by 7 points. This poll could be off by the MOE (4ish points) and Harris would still be comfortably beating Biden's performance in 2020.
Basically if this poll was Trump +8 or more it would have led to a lot of dooming, so most were just hoping for less than +8. Instead we got this giant Bloom Nuke. |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:28 PM Author: Trump 2024 Welp there goes No Nut November
But seriously, go vote him out if you haven’t already. Run up the damn score. |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:28 PM Author: Trump 2024 Listen I really believe polls do not matter at this point (yes I know selzer is a Triple A pollster) but if this is even remotely true or even off to a +1 in favor of Trump it just shows how bad Trump is doing he carried Iowa in 2020 by 9% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48273975) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:29 PM Author: Trump 2024 More than that, this is considered among the very best polls as far as quality goes in modern politics. Selzer does not fucking miss.
This is an absolute blinking red light for GOP |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:31 PM Author: average/ordinary/typical citizen/person Lot of Twitter posts here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48273983) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:31 PM Author: .....................- Halperin is having an emergency session tomorrow afternoon with Seltzer: https://x.com/MarkHalperin/status/1852880305641689092 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48273985) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:32 PM Author: Trump 2024 Ann Selzer is an A+ pollster. She's one of the best. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48273993) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:35 PM Author: "'''''"'""'''"'"' Libs are getting boatloads of hopium off it, but I think it's just a pollster who cashed in her credibility for a payday. Billionaire Democrat governor JB Pritzker got the results a day early
Meanwhile the facts: Democrats led Iowa EV in 2020 by 12, 2022 by 18, and currently it's a tie. You're telling me Trump isn't winning by 10? |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:42 PM Author: gedood persoon Cr she's retiring after this cycle anyway, may as well grab some ca$h on the way out (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48274041) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:36 PM Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,..................... It's BS that Kamala might win Iowa, but if Trump is only up by 2-3 in Iowa then that would mean he very likely loses the election. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48274012) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:38 PM Author: average/ordinary/typical citizen/person Donald Trump is going to win the election (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48274018) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:39 PM Author: Trump 2024 Inshallah (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48274022) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:39 PM Author: queensbridge benzo unnnngh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48274027) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 10:41 PM Author: """'""""'' RETARDED OP ASIDE, anyone know the most she's been off? I know she's one of the most accurate pollsters but let's just cede Trump her largest error. If she's been off by 7 before, lets say, that means he wins Iowa by 4, which would be a shockingly poor performance, especially since it's pretty telling as to how rural parts of Wisconsin and Michigan will vote. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48274037) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2024 11:00 PM Author: average/ordinary/typical citizen/person No. It won't. Trump is winning the election. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5623468&forum_id=2#48274141) |