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Will housing prices ever go down?
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Date: May 13th, 2024 9:44 AM Author: chartreuse legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657368) |
Date: May 13th, 2024 9:47 AM Author: thriller gaping I’m closing on a place this month, so yes, housing prices will drop dramatically in June. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657382) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:00 AM Author: Slimy Histrionic Fortuitous Meteor Property lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657421) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 11:14 AM Author: rose roommate round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657613) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 9:48 AM Author: Charismatic Dull Point no (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657384) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 9:59 AM Author: Splenetic temple It's a new paradigm, and everybody who doesn't buy, now, will be priced out forever. Anybody who does buy will be rewarded with a lifetime of riches, as their property will continue its 30% yearly price increase.
Renters, and anybody born in a future generation, will not be able to afford a $15,000,000 starter home in 15 years. They will live in tent cities, and Hondas.
This asset bubble is different than all of the others - it will never slow down, or pop. The gains are permanent. |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 11:26 AM Author: Primrose sanctuary LOL, this brings back memories. What was your Fuckedcompany moniker? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657625) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 4:28 PM Author: Splenetic temple chef-D (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658575) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 6:18 PM Author: Dark floppy elastic band regret great memories. did you ever read suck.com? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658917) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 6:37 PM Author: Splenetic temple yes and I also fucked Polly Esther at a VC party. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658955) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 4:49 PM Author: Adventurous mexican (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658633) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:00 AM Author: Arrogant provocative business firm Honestly, no. Because the value of the us dollar will continue to decrease. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657420) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:06 AM Author: irradiated deer antler tcr
also millions of immigrants and nimby construction laws in every desirable city. |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:08 AM Author: Galvanic zombie-like piazza The goal of the US government is to have 1 billion people in yh US. We're at 350 million at the moment. What do you think will happen to real estate when there's 1 billion paper Americans and the US dollar loses another 75% of its value? |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 4:46 PM Author: Arrogant provocative business firm Yeah basically this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658623) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:10 AM Author: Smoky Multi-colored Library I think so. Demand will decline as population and traditional family structures wane. Who will be around to buy all these shitbox houses from millennials in 30 years? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657446) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:10 AM Author: Charismatic Dull Point dumb weird fags (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657448) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:12 AM Author: Smoky Multi-colored Library It's more likely these types will congregate in large city condos instead of the huge mcmansions that are popular with millennials. Tastes and real estate consumption will change as families continue fragmenting and people stay single and childless. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657454) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:13 AM Author: Galvanic zombie-like piazza cr friend. Nobody will want to raise a family away from blacks in the future. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657458) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:18 AM Author: Smoky Multi-colored Library "Raising families" will be a quaint notion in 30 years. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657467) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 4:46 PM Author: aphrodisiac theater *banned in 30 years (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658620) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:15 AM Author: milky trailer park party of the first part it's all supply and demand. prices continue to rise in population centers because nimby libs refuse to build more houses. until that stops prices will continue to rise in perpetuity. there might be a significant decline or stagnation when boomers die. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657461) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:16 AM Author: rusted indian lodge preventive strike The plummeting TFR rate, more construction and rezoning for higher density, and the dwindling savings of many Americans says yes.
What says no is:
The plummeting marriage rate means more housing necessary because two people who would have been a couple in previous generations and live in the same place now require two housing units
America is open to large scale immigration
Inflation may be permanent as long as gov uses the money printer to avoid recession. I expect this to increase to inflate away debt as well.
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:17 AM Author: Marvelous alcoholic giraffe what would even plausibly cause this? in other words, imagine a cnn article lede: "housing prices dropped for the third straight month today as _______"
what is in the _____ |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:20 AM Author: Smoky Multi-colored Library sellers in previously high demand cities search for buyers. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657471) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:21 AM Author: Marvelous alcoholic giraffe why are they searching for buyers? why are they giving up what they've convinced themselves is their "equity" and to move to where? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657476) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:50 AM Author: sick comical genital piercing site honestly your best bet is probably boomers dying and their millennial kids who live 763 miles away fire-selling the house. but yeah i dont get where people are supposed to move to now either. that stuff mustve leveled out during/pre covid. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657537) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 2:07 PM Author: Lascivious twinkling hall As 30 million baby boomers passed away this year, following 30 million last year.
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Date: May 13th, 2024 2:08 PM Author: Marvelous alcoholic giraffe Meanwhile 5 million guatamalems get waived in to home base every month with Biden cutting off every throw to the plate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658049) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 2:10 PM Author: Lascivious twinkling hall this is a threat. the other reality is that funds and banks buy all the boomerhomes, not 32 year olds.
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Date: May 13th, 2024 4:51 PM Author: Adventurous mexican the second great depression continues (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658640) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:26 AM Author: cream appetizing international law enforcement agency newt Look at California.
Temporary drops, sure. Long run, no. All reasons given on here.
Areas with strong schools will always perform well. |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:38 AM Author: milky trailer park party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657500) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:39 AM Author: Charismatic Dull Point lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657502) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 1:12 PM Author: rose roommate round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657896) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:27 AM Author: glassy sandwich state Yes (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657488) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:30 AM Author: impertinent step-uncle's house The only thing that matters in real estate is location. Yes home prices will fall in Philadelphia. No they won’t in Marin County. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657492) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:39 AM Author: cream appetizing international law enforcement agency newt Intriguing re Marin. Marin prices have fallen relative to other areas in the Bay region. Perhaps fallen is the wrong word but they were substantially out-appreciated by the Peninsula so areas on the Peninsula that were cheaper than Marin in the 1980s are now more expensive. Substantially. Etc. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657503) |
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Date: May 15th, 2024 2:20 AM Author: racy umber goal in life The other factor right now is how irrational and frothy the market got when the rates were super low. Eg Austin sfh prices have collapsed like 30+% but in LA where people were mostly leaving/selling during the pandemic the prices are basically flat or only slightly down. The real question today is how many would be buyers are sitting on the sidelines either because they are priced out by these mortgage rates or they are able to wait for rates to drop and for more inventory. It’s hard to say for sure but it does seem like there are a ton of people who will get in once the rates drop. Like everyone I know ages 27-35 or so is angry as fuck that they can’t afford to buy a house and/or can’t find a house worth buying. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47662605) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 10:51 AM Author: Cowardly cerebral doctorate hell once all the boomers are dead then probably (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657539) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 11:41 AM Author: greedy rehab im gay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47657637) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 1:12 PM Author: sadistic roast beef whorehouse Absolutely, yes. Housing goes up, housing goes down. As certain as death and taxes. |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 2:13 PM Author: Galvanic zombie-like piazza as certain as you losing money on real estate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658069) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 4:25 PM Author: Know-it-all area stock car It doesn't go down though (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658565) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 2:11 PM Author: Heady idiotic garrison No, never. Housing prices can only go up, because population always increases faster than housing stock (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658063) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 4:45 PM Author: vibrant alpha nowag (Chinaman) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47658618) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 6:59 PM Author: violent hot twinkling uncleanness stead print fake money and give it to insiders & oligopolists, so they can use it to buy up all the real things, and then rent them back to the rest of us (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47659026) |
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Date: May 13th, 2024 11:25 PM Author: aqua talented striped hyena set Another factor to consider is we're quickly approaching a time where the elderly are rich as fuck and don't have that many kids. There are going to be A LOT of people inheriting $500,000 to $5 million in the coming years.
Supply is going to stay low because so many people are locked into their interest rates and won't sell.
So if you're bidding on houses, there's a decent chance there's going to be another bidder whose boomer parents just died and left them $750,000 in cash (because they were a nurse but they bought a house in California for $20,000 and they invested in a 401k that had 10% gains for 40+ years). |
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Date: May 14th, 2024 8:41 AM Author: exciting puce friendly grandma lol this is at least a novel variant of XO net worth flame. Among olds, 5 million is about the 95% percentile of househeld wealth and even just half a million is around 65%. Relatively few people will leave their entire estate to one person-- either there's multiple kids or they'll cut in some charities/friends, etc. There might be some people inheriting $500,000 to $5 million in the coming years, but "A LOT" is really stretching it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5528028&forum_id=2#47659971) |
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Date: May 14th, 2024 10:38 PM Author: aqua talented striped hyena set I think your own logic sort of defeats this.
By your own account, about half of boomers have $500,000 right now. Factor in that half of the country are poormos who are not in the real estate market at all.
If you're in the middle class, there's a good chance a decent chunk of money is coming your way. If you're in the upper middle class, there's a good chance a sizeable amount of money is coming your ways.
Who do you think you're competing with when you're trying to a buy a house? |