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Nate Silver's thoughtful day-after musings on why the models were so wrong again
| An 8-INT Orc AA'ing their way into mage school | 11/06/24 |
| 38 BMI and Age Cat Mom Sobbing on TikTok | 11/06/24 |
| ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;. | 11/06/24 |
| An 8-INT Orc AA'ing their way into mage school | 11/06/24 |
| 38 BMI and Age Cat Mom Sobbing on TikTok | 11/06/24 |
| LathamTouchedMe | 11/06/24 |
| ..................,.....,.,,.,..... | 11/06/24 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: November 6th, 2024 12:42 PM Author: An 8-INT Orc AA'ing their way into mage school I'll link it here if he winds up publishing something (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5628539&forum_id=2#48300075) |
Date: November 6th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: 38 BMI and Age Cat Mom Sobbing on TikTok (gunneratttt) this outcome is within the first std. deviation of probable outcomes.
not even nate anymore (worse) but 538 has has 297 evs for trump as the third most likely outcome. with 312 being the most likely.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/
how do you think probability works? |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 12:47 PM Author: ;..........,,,...,,.;.,,...,,,;.;. I can't find that anywhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5628539&forum_id=2#48300098) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 2:16 PM Author: An 8-INT Orc AA'ing their way into mage school "We had Trump winning somewhere between 219 and 312 votes 68% of the time!"
Lmao at this cope. I could have done that too.
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Date: November 6th, 2024 2:25 PM Author: 38 BMI and Age Cat Mom Sobbing on TikTok (gunneratttt) then do it. statisticians at this level make bank. ezpz. you'll be the next lichtman! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5628539&forum_id=2#48300980) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 2:36 PM Author: LathamTouchedMe What's their value when they can't beat the RCP "no toss ups" map, which got 49/50 states? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5628539&forum_id=2#48301069) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 12:46 PM Author: ..................,.....,.,,.,..... Nate: “by the way, I REALLY need bus fare” (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5628539&forum_id=2#48300092) |