The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 12/10/15 |
| Free-loading puce stag film legal warrant | 12/12/15 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 01/02/17 |
| Vibrant stock car | 01/06/16 |
| Charismatic headpube | 01/06/16 |
| Charismatic headpube | 06/05/16 |
| Unhinged dog poop circlehead | 03/26/16 |
| contagious set dopamine | 01/02/17 |
| lemon dilemma gay wizard | 10/25/18 |
| slap-happy parlor nibblets | 12/10/15 |
| navy sickened water buffalo coldplay fan | 12/10/15 |
| Rose aromatic hell new version | 12/10/15 |
| gaped at-the-ready hissy fit pit | 12/10/15 |
| thriller spruce lay | 12/15/15 |
| Jet-lagged station | 12/10/15 |
| lime gas station partner | 12/10/15 |
| fear-inspiring hall | 12/10/15 |
| Irradiated citrine people who are hurt police squad | 12/11/15 |
| Buck-toothed casino roast beef | 12/12/15 |
| pearly infuriating french chef bawdyhouse | 12/16/15 |
| Soul-stirring green degenerate reading party | 01/04/16 |
| Dull Anal Space | 11/09/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 12/11/15 |
| passionate erotic tank | 12/11/15 |
| Topaz talking abode candlestick maker | 12/11/15 |
| Irradiated citrine people who are hurt police squad | 12/11/15 |
| exciting flesh gaming laptop | 12/12/15 |
| apoplectic site pisswyrm | 01/25/16 |
| Up-to-no-good Dingle Berry Stead | 11/10/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 12/12/15 |
| Cheese-eating heaven national security agency | 12/12/15 |
| galvanic genital piercing | 12/12/15 |
| azure library | 12/12/15 |
| 180 digit ratio | 12/15/15 |
| Razzle Salmon Stage Mental Disorder | 12/21/15 |
| appetizing kitchen hunting ground | 12/12/15 |
| red mexican | 12/12/15 |
| arrogant flickering masturbator property | 12/12/15 |
| hairless indian lodge | 12/12/15 |
| magical narrow-minded location becky | 12/12/15 |
| Bearded lilac forum | 12/12/15 |
| lime gas station partner | 12/15/15 |
| lime gas station partner | 12/16/15 |
| crawly house | 12/15/15 |
| Milky Lodge | 12/15/15 |
| razzmatazz depressive | 12/15/15 |
| beady-eyed godawful theater stage | 12/15/15 |
| submissive clear sound barrier address | 12/15/15 |
| Heady Senate | 12/15/15 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 12/15/15 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 12/15/15 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 12/15/15 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 12/15/15 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 12/15/15 |
| Fishy Market Lettuce | 01/05/16 |
| apoplectic site pisswyrm | 01/25/16 |
| stimulating shrine | 12/17/16 |
| embarrassed to the bone yarmulke | 05/18/16 |
| Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage | 08/12/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/09/16 |
| emerald private investor | 11/09/16 |
| Chest-beating bright native organic girlfriend | 11/09/16 |
| big-titted area filthpig | 10/22/20 |
| arousing national | 12/15/15 |
| trip splenetic potus faggot firefighter | 12/16/15 |
| Onyx hospital newt | 12/16/15 |
| tan weed whacker | 12/16/15 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 12/16/15 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 12/17/15 |
| motley henna fat ankles | 12/18/15 |
| Vibrant stock car | 01/06/16 |
| Scarlet Antidepressant Drug Electric Furnace | 12/18/15 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 12/21/15 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 12/21/15 |
| Razzle Salmon Stage Mental Disorder | 12/21/15 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 12/30/15 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 12/30/15 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 01/04/16 |
| Soul-stirring green degenerate reading party | 01/04/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 01/05/16 |
| apoplectic site pisswyrm | 01/25/16 |
| motley henna fat ankles | 01/05/16 |
| spectacular alcoholic elastic band church | 01/05/16 |
| buff bisexual field | 01/05/16 |
| ruby curious cuckold school cafeteria | 01/05/16 |
| chartreuse naked stage | 01/05/16 |
| ruby curious cuckold school cafeteria | 01/05/16 |
| Vibrant stock car | 01/06/16 |
| ruby curious cuckold school cafeteria | 01/06/16 |
| chartreuse naked stage | 01/05/16 |
| Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage | 01/06/16 |
| Razzle Salmon Stage Mental Disorder | 01/07/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 01/08/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 01/08/16 |
| Razzle Salmon Stage Mental Disorder | 01/08/16 |
| motley henna fat ankles | 01/09/16 |
| Razzle Salmon Stage Mental Disorder | 01/10/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 01/18/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 01/19/16 |
| motley henna fat ankles | 01/21/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 01/25/16 |
| adventurous ape halford | 01/25/16 |
| apoplectic site pisswyrm | 01/25/16 |
| adventurous ape halford | 02/09/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 09/06/16 |
| Vibrant stock car | 11/05/18 |
| Bull headed trump supporter mad cow disease | 01/29/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 02/01/16 |
| Nofapping Diverse Ratface Alpha | 02/01/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 02/01/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 02/07/16 |
| spectacular alcoholic elastic band church | 02/09/16 |
| bat shit crazy fiercely-loyal persian | 02/09/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 02/20/16 |
| Grizzly Business Firm Indirect Expression | 02/20/16 |
| embarrassed to the bone yarmulke | 02/24/16 |
| Silver brunch deer antler | 02/24/16 |
| hateful nursing home | 02/27/16 |
| crawly house | 03/09/16 |
| shimmering sex offender legend | 03/15/16 |
| Rose aromatic hell new version | 03/15/16 |
| Milky Lodge | 03/16/16 |
| laughsome wine skinny woman | 02/24/16 |
| Bossy confused meetinghouse party of the first part | 02/24/16 |
| Milky Lodge | 07/21/16 |
| fantasy-prone racy travel guidebook factory reset button | 02/24/16 |
| Rose aromatic hell new version | 02/27/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/02/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/04/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/09/16 |
| spectacular alcoholic elastic band church | 03/09/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/15/16 |
| embarrassed to the bone yarmulke | 03/15/16 |
| stirring learning disabled internal respiration | 03/15/16 |
| Mahogany Main People Menage | 03/15/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/16/16 |
| lime gas station partner | 03/16/16 |
| emerald private investor | 03/23/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/23/16 |
| arrogant flickering masturbator property | 03/26/16 |
| vigorous deranged whorehouse | 03/26/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/26/16 |
| Fishy Market Lettuce | 03/28/16 |
| emerald private investor | 03/28/16 |
| navy sickened water buffalo coldplay fan | 03/28/16 |
| Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage | 08/12/16 |
| Vibrant stock car | 11/05/18 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/28/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/29/16 |
| aggressive parlour | 03/29/16 |
| aggressive parlour | 03/29/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/29/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/29/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 04/01/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 04/04/16 |
| aggressive parlour | 04/15/16 |
| mildly autistic resort boiling water | 04/15/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 04/19/16 |
| Thirsty very tactful useless brakes dysfunction | 04/20/16 |
| Pale marvelous ticket booth | 04/20/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 04/24/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 04/25/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 04/26/16 |
| provocative cream roommate | 04/26/16 |
| razzle-dazzle zombie-like double fault locale | 04/30/16 |
| bateful marketing idea fortuitous meteor | 05/01/16 |
| bateful marketing idea fortuitous meteor | 11/07/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 05/02/16 |
| emerald private investor | 05/02/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 05/03/16 |
| house-broken jet background story | 05/03/16 |
| talented impertinent jewess | 05/03/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 05/04/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 05/04/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 05/05/16 |
| hairless indian lodge | 05/05/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 05/05/16 |
| Bossy confused meetinghouse party of the first part | 05/05/16 |
| Cheese-eating heaven national security agency | 05/18/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 05/18/16 |
| embarrassed to the bone yarmulke | 05/18/16 |
| Cheese-eating heaven national security agency | 05/18/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 05/29/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 06/20/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 06/29/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 07/14/16 |
| Ruddy haunted graveyard toilet seat | 07/15/16 |
| Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage | 07/15/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 07/17/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 07/17/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 07/21/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 07/22/16 |
| sapphire titillating office turdskin | 07/22/16 |
| Bistre Concupiscible Preventive Strike | 07/23/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 07/24/16 |
| Electric windowlicker puppy | 07/25/16 |
| aggressive parlour | 07/25/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 07/27/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 08/05/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 08/09/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 08/12/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 08/12/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 08/12/16 |
| Histrionic aquamarine place of business prole | 08/12/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 08/30/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 08/30/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 09/06/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 09/13/16 |
| aggressive parlour | 09/14/16 |
| appetizing kitchen hunting ground | 09/14/16 |
| ocher liquid oxygen sneaky criminal | 09/15/16 |
| rusted kitty cat | 09/15/16 |
| Charismatic headpube | 09/15/16 |
| snowy center jap | 09/15/16 |
| mind-boggling locus | 09/15/16 |
| Cerebral Jew Friendly Grandma | 09/19/16 |
| Cerebral Jew Friendly Grandma | 09/19/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 09/27/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 09/24/16 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 09/27/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 09/27/16 |
| lime gas station partner | 09/27/16 |
| self-centered scourge upon the earth | 10/08/16 |
| bronze idea he suggested | 07/29/24 |
| aggressive parlour | 09/28/16 |
| appetizing kitchen hunting ground | 09/28/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 09/28/16 |
| Pale marvelous ticket booth | 09/28/16 |
| mildly autistic resort boiling water | 09/28/16 |
| Fluffy turquoise death wish theatre | 10/08/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 10/09/16 |
| charcoal multi-colored love of her life | 10/09/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 10/09/16 |
| wonderful home | 10/09/16 |
| aggressive parlour | 10/10/16 |
| Electric windowlicker puppy | 10/30/16 |
| Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage | 11/01/16 |
| snowy center jap | 11/01/16 |
| Coiffed theater sweet tailpipe | 11/02/16 |
| beady-eyed godawful theater stage | 11/02/16 |
| aggressive parlour | 11/07/16 |
| Low-t Geriatric Gunner Codepig | 11/08/16 |
| aggressive parlour | 11/08/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/08/16 |
| aggressive parlour | 11/08/16 |
| Exhilarant Canary Piazza Nowag | 11/08/16 |
| swashbuckling saffron school cuckoldry | 11/08/16 |
| Nofapping Diverse Ratface Alpha | 11/08/16 |
| Cerebral Jew Friendly Grandma | 11/08/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/08/16 |
| Vermilion Box Office Son Of Senegal | 11/09/16 |
| ocher liquid oxygen sneaky criminal | 11/09/16 |
| Twisted foreskin rigpig | 11/09/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/09/16 |
| snowy center jap | 11/09/16 |
| Vermilion Box Office Son Of Senegal | 11/09/16 |
| Electric windowlicker puppy | 11/09/16 |
| hairless indian lodge | 11/09/16 |
| comical range philosopher-king | 12/03/16 |
| Up-to-no-good Dingle Berry Stead | 12/07/16 |
| stimulating shrine | 12/17/16 |
| mustard lascivious spot | 10/11/24 |
| Brilliant multi-billionaire | 11/09/16 |
| internet-worthy step-uncle's house | 11/09/16 |
| vivacious crotch immigrant | 11/09/16 |
| light demanding sandwich base | 11/09/16 |
| comical range philosopher-king | 11/09/16 |
| Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage | 11/09/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/09/16 |
| Cheese-eating heaven national security agency | 11/09/16 |
| supple temple boistinker | 11/09/16 |
| beta dun pistol rehab | 11/09/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/09/16 |
| Ultramarine church building | 11/09/16 |
| Jade Ladyboy Pervert | 11/09/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/09/16 |
| gaped at-the-ready hissy fit pit | 11/09/16 |
| Scarlet Antidepressant Drug Electric Furnace | 11/10/16 |
| adventurous ape halford | 11/10/16 |
| Charismatic headpube | 11/10/16 |
| Fragrant elite trailer park community account | 11/10/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/10/16 |
| aggressive parlour | 11/10/16 |
| Grizzly Business Firm Indirect Expression | 11/10/16 |
| Cerebral Jew Friendly Grandma | 11/14/16 |
| hairraiser yapping fanboi personal credit line | 11/14/16 |
| Dashing chapel | 12/04/16 |
| stimulating shrine | 12/17/16 |
| mustard lascivious spot | 10/11/24 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/25/16 |
| Cracking plaza | 12/03/16 |
| wonderful home | 12/04/16 |
| obsidian excitant telephone | 12/07/16 |
| Charismatic headpube | 12/07/16 |
| Cracking plaza | 12/07/16 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 01/02/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 01/02/17 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 01/02/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 01/02/17 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 03/03/20 |
| Charismatic headpube | 01/02/17 |
| emerald private investor | 01/16/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 01/20/17 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 01/20/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 01/23/17 |
| Fluffy turquoise death wish theatre | 01/23/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 01/23/17 |
| harsh chad crackhouse | 01/23/17 |
| Fluffy turquoise death wish theatre | 01/23/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 01/23/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 01/25/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 01/26/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 02/06/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 02/13/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 02/27/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 05/03/17 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 05/03/17 |
| floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund | 09/21/17 |
| Rose aromatic hell new version | 01/23/17 |
| snowy center jap | 02/27/17 |
| Vibrant stock car | 03/22/17 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 04/17/17 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 05/08/17 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 06/20/17 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 08/10/17 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 10/15/17 |
| emerald private investor | 10/15/17 |
| Deep big shitlib institution | 10/15/17 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/06/17 |
| gay den mood | 11/06/17 |
| brass wrinkle | 11/08/17 |
| Boyish Old Irish Cottage Garrison | 11/08/17 |
| Greedy university | 11/13/17 |
| emerald private investor | 12/18/17 |
| supple temple boistinker | 12/18/17 |
| emerald private investor | 12/18/17 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 01/30/18 |
| Charismatic headpube | 06/01/18 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 07/18/18 |
| emerald private investor | 07/19/18 |
| mind-boggling locus | 09/20/18 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 09/25/18 |
| navy sickened water buffalo coldplay fan | 10/06/18 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 10/06/18 |
| Charismatic headpube | 10/25/18 |
| rusted kitty cat | 10/25/18 |
| apoplectic site pisswyrm | 11/05/18 |
| Charismatic headpube | 11/05/18 |
| Vibrant stock car | 11/05/18 |
| Charismatic headpube | 11/05/18 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 01/08/19 |
| Nighttime Giraffe Idiot | 02/23/19 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 03/13/19 |
| apoplectic site pisswyrm | 06/24/19 |
| Pontificating Wild Volcanic Crater Milk | 06/24/19 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 11/18/19 |
| snowy center jap | 02/12/20 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 02/12/20 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 03/24/20 |
| Garnet Azn Corner | 03/24/20 |
| Ruddy haunted graveyard toilet seat | 04/04/20 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 04/26/20 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 05/13/20 |
| Ruddy haunted graveyard toilet seat | 06/05/20 |
| disrespectful fuchsia point kitty | 06/05/20 |
| Ruddy haunted graveyard toilet seat | 09/09/20 |
| snowy center jap | 09/09/20 |
| slap-happy parlor nibblets | 09/09/20 |
| tanning salon | 09/12/20 |
| orange stubborn public bath | 09/24/20 |
| Pontificating Wild Volcanic Crater Milk | 10/09/20 |
| emerald private investor | 10/10/20 |
| chocolate unholy wagecucks state | 10/22/20 |
| comical range philosopher-king | 10/22/20 |
| big-titted area filthpig | 10/22/20 |
| big-titted area filthpig | 10/22/20 |
| hominid principal's office | 03/23/22 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 10/27/20 |
| Vibrant stock car | 10/27/20 |
| Pontificating Wild Volcanic Crater Milk | 10/30/20 |
| emerald private investor | 11/03/20 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 03/22/22 |
| violent voyeur | 03/23/22 |
| Hyperactive Blue Juggernaut | 03/23/22 |
| rebellious generalized bond | 03/23/22 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 07/25/22 |
| slap-happy parlor nibblets | 07/25/22 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 10/23/22 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 11/16/22 |
| Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap | 04/25/23 |
| Cheese-eating heaven national security agency | 04/25/23 |
| orange stubborn public bath | 04/29/23 |
| bronze idea he suggested | 05/28/23 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 02/22/24 |
| orange stubborn public bath | 02/23/24 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 05/23/24 |
| odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask | 08/26/24 |
| orange stubborn public bath | 09/13/24 |
| slap-happy parlor nibblets | 09/13/24 |
| orange stubborn public bath | 10/18/24 |
| mustard lascivious spot | 10/11/24 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
 |
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Free-loading puce stag film legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364653) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284620) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: Vibrant stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532817) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: Charismatic headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532846) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: Charismatic headpube another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30631018) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: Unhinged dog poop circlehead 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144195) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: contagious set dopamine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284612) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: lemon dilemma gay wizard "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: slap-happy parlor nibblets (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351706) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: navy sickened water buffalo coldplay fan 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351728) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Rose aromatic hell new version 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351742) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: gaped at-the-ready hissy fit pit Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351744) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: thriller spruce lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384172) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: Jet-lagged station FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351749) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: lime gas station partner Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351753) |
|
Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: fear-inspiring hall Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: Irradiated citrine people who are hurt police squad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359932) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: Buck-toothed casino roast beef Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364985) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: pearly infuriating french chef bawdyhouse Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392387) |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: Soul-stirring green degenerate reading party Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: Dull Anal Space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854764) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359811) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: passionate erotic tank (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359818) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: Topaz talking abode candlestick maker 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359849) |
|
Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: Irradiated citrine people who are hurt police squad November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29359926) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: exciting flesh gaming laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364617) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: apoplectic site pisswyrm Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677834) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM Author: Up-to-no-good Dingle Berry Stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866880) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364607) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Cheese-eating heaven national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364621) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: galvanic genital piercing lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364630) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: azure library March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: 180 digit ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384155) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: Razzle Salmon Stage Mental Disorder 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429271) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: appetizing kitchen hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364847) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: red mexican lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364873) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: arrogant flickering masturbator property (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364887) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: hairless indian lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364890) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: magical narrow-minded location becky Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364896) |
|
Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: Bearded lilac forum Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29364933) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: lime gas station partner OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383835) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: lime gas station partner And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: crawly house 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383898) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Milky Lodge fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29383961) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: razzmatazz depressive I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384107) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: beady-eyed godawful theater stage 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384183) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: submissive clear sound barrier address February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Heady Senate You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384207) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384231) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384237) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384254) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384262) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Fishy Market Lettuce (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525662) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: apoplectic site pisswyrm Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677869) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: stimulating shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165246) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: embarrassed to the bone yarmulke (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504262) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172544) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846270) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846325) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: Chest-beating bright native organic girlfriend Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: big-titted area filthpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167037) |
|
Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: arousing national This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29384232) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: trip splenetic potus faggot firefighter 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392396) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: Onyx hospital newt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392414) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: tan weed whacker Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29392427) |
|
Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
|
Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: motley henna fat ankles (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411300) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Vibrant stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532836) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: Scarlet Antidepressant Drug Electric Furnace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29411342) |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
|
Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: Razzle Salmon Stage Mental Disorder 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29429241) |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
|
Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
|
Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: Soul-stirring green degenerate reading party flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29519032) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29525598) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: apoplectic site pisswyrm Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677890) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: motley henna fat ankles From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: spectacular alcoholic elastic band church 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531444) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: buff bisexual field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531475) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: ruby curious cuckold school cafeteria An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531481) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: chartreuse naked stage 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531500) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: ruby curious cuckold school cafeteria I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: Vibrant stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532843) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: ruby curious cuckold school cafeteria Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29535993) |
|
Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: chartreuse naked stage No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29531557) |
|
Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29532829) |
|
Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: Razzle Salmon Stage Mental Disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29546163) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: supple temple boistinker 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29551314) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: Razzle Salmon Stage Mental Disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29554010) |
|
Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: motley henna fat ankles http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29559692) |
|
Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: Razzle Salmon Stage Mental Disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29566112) |
|
Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29622950) |
|
Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
|
Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: motley henna fat ankles looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677719) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM Author: adventurous ape halford 180000000000000000000000000000000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677863) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: apoplectic site pisswyrm You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29677913) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: adventurous ape halford No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791782) |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: supple temple boistinker (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345881) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Vibrant stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162047) |
|
Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: Bull headed trump supporter mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29708433) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727124) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: Nofapping Diverse Ratface Alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29727197) |
|
Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29732588) |
|
Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29771453) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: spectacular alcoholic elastic band church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791735) |
|
Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: bat shit crazy fiercely-loyal persian (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29791763) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877406) |
|
Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: Grizzly Business Firm Indirect Expression OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29877434) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: embarrassed to the bone yarmulke PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903568) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: Silver brunch deer antler The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29903615) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: hateful nursing home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931652) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: crawly house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015868) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: shimmering sex offender legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066562) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: Rose aromatic hell new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066681) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: Milky Lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070592) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: laughsome wine skinny woman hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: Bossy confused meetinghouse party of the first part (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904083) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: Milky Lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987707) |
|
Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: fantasy-prone racy travel guidebook factory reset button (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29904074) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: Rose aromatic hell new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29931637) |
|
Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29960115) |
|
Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29976826) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015799) |
|
Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: spectacular alcoholic elastic band church yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30015891) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065629) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: embarrassed to the bone yarmulke (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30065970) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: stirring learning disabled internal respiration (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066291) |
|
Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: Mahogany Main People Menage truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30066549) |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
|
Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: lime gas station partner March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30070601) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119676) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30119337) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: arrogant flickering masturbator property http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140474) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: vigorous deranged whorehouse Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30140513) |
|
Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30144174) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Fishy Market Lettuce jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151942) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151965) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: navy sickened water buffalo coldplay fan (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30151975) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172540) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: Vibrant stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162050) |
|
Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: aggressive parlour lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30160689) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: aggressive parlour "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30161654) |
|
Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30163086) |
|
Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30183235) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: aggressive parlour interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
|
|
Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: mildly autistic resort boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30279158) |
|
Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30307876) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: Thirsty very tactful useless brakes dysfunction (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310760) |
|
Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: Pale marvelous ticket booth I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30310807) |
|
Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30335375) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30346848) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353572) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: provocative cream roommate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30353587) |
|
Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: razzle-dazzle zombie-like double fault locale (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30378951) |
|
Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: bateful marketing idea fortuitous meteor Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: bateful marketing idea fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825048) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30392947) |
|
Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30393360) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: house-broken jet background story holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30398720) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: talented impertinent jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30402170) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405223) |
|
Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: supple temple boistinker 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30405346) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: hairless indian lodge Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412976) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412844) |
|
Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: Bossy confused meetinghouse party of the first part Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30412994) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Cheese-eating heaven national security agency This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504267) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504223) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: embarrassed to the bone yarmulke In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504268) |
|
Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: Cheese-eating heaven national security agency cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30504274) |
|
Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30583536) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30746085) |
|
Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
|
Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30924907) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: Ruddy haunted graveyard toilet seat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933127) |
|
Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30933205) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956384) |
|
Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: supple temple boistinker 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30956397) |
|
Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30987656) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999290) |
|
Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: sapphire titillating office turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#30999301) |
|
Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: Bistre Concupiscible Preventive Strike Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31006876) |
|
Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31020363) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: Electric windowlicker puppy Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31022942) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: aggressive parlour amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31023351) |
|
Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31043518) |
|
Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31113817) |
|
Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: supple temple boistinker holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172565) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172569) |
|
Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: Histrionic aquamarine place of business prole LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31172627) |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
|
Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: supple temple boistinker 180 i want 2 believe |
|
Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: supple temple boistinker lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31345879) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: aggressive parlour ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404088) |
|
Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: appetizing kitchen hunting ground Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31404101) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: ocher liquid oxygen sneaky criminal September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: rusted kitty cat September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: Charismatic headpube god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413930) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: snowy center jap XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413938) |
|
Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: mind-boggling locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31413954) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: Cerebral Jew Friendly Grandma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443744) |
|
Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Cerebral Jew Friendly Grandma The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31443779) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: supple temple boistinker let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503555) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31482152) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503552) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: supple temple boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503554) |
|
Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: lime gas station partner This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31503556) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: self-centered scourge upon the earth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592208) |
|
Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: bronze idea he suggested (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47906632) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: aggressive parlour http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: appetizing kitchen hunting ground (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511665) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: supple temple boistinker 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31511673) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: Pale marvelous ticket booth This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31512070) |
|
Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: mildly autistic resort boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31513385) |
|
Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: Fluffy turquoise death wish theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31592192) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: supple temple boistinker hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594952) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: charcoal multi-colored love of her life Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594953) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: supple temple boistinker doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594954) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: wonderful home half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31594956) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: aggressive parlour nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
|
|
Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: Electric windowlicker puppy close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31763265) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31772625) |
|
Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: snowy center jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31777531) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: Coiffed theater sweet tailpipe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31782180) |
|
Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: beady-eyed godawful theater stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31786832) |
|
Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: aggressive parlour prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31825019) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Low-t Geriatric Gunner Codepig You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833310) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: aggressive parlour true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31833315) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31839758) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: aggressive parlour ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844114) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: Exhilarant Canary Piazza Nowag (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31842891) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: swashbuckling saffron school cuckoldry Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: Nofapping Diverse Ratface Alpha (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31843660) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: Cerebral Jew Friendly Grandma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844292) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31844674) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: Vermilion Box Office Son Of Senegal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846281) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: ocher liquid oxygen sneaky criminal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846326) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: Twisted foreskin rigpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31846448) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848552) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: snowy center jap GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848608) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: Vermilion Box Office Son Of Senegal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848693) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: Electric windowlicker puppy it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848755) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: hairless indian lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848775) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: comical range philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044462) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Up-to-no-good Dingle Berry Stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076291) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: stimulating shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165256) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: mustard lascivious spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187313) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: Brilliant multi-billionaire (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31848725) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: internet-worthy step-uncle's house Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849301) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: vivacious crotch immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31849447) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: light demanding sandwich base 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: comical range philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31851790) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: Slimy aphrodisiac blood rage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31852918) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854576) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Cheese-eating heaven national security agency this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31854584) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: supple temple boistinker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855383) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: beta dun pistol rehab (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31855482) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863076) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Ultramarine church building (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863082) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Jade Ladyboy Pervert (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863093) |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
|
Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: gaped at-the-ready hissy fit pit you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31863503) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: Scarlet Antidepressant Drug Electric Furnace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866924) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: adventurous ape halford Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868448) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: Charismatic headpube bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31866864) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: Fragrant elite trailer park community account (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31867005) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: aggressive parlour ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868235) |
|
Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Grizzly Business Firm Indirect Expression (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31868543) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: Cerebral Jew Friendly Grandma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907692) |
|
Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: hairraiser yapping fanboi personal credit line They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31907697) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: Dashing chapel Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055646) |
|
Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: stimulating shrine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32165261) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: mustard lascivious spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187317) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#31989410) |
|
Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: Cracking plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32044435) |
|
Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: wonderful home GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32055631) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: obsidian excitant telephone https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076268) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Charismatic headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076292) |
|
Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: Cracking plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32076345) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284600) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284631) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
|
Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39686962) |
|
Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Charismatic headpube truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32284649) |
|
Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32389095) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32412323) |
|
Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32416346) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Fluffy turquoise death wish theatre TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441222) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441238) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: harsh chad crackhouse I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: Fluffy turquoise death wish theatre it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441319) |
|
Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32458110) |
|
Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32466804) |
|
Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32560776) |
|
Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32612572) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714310) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33221553) |
|
Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33222883) |
|
Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: floppy haunting cruise ship trust fund https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34257967) |
|
Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Rose aromatic hell new version this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32441221) |
|
Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: snowy center jap One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32714399) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: Vibrant stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#32891711) |
|
Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33097887) |
|
Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33256991) |
|
Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#33605191) |
|
Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449074) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449102) |
|
Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: Deep big shitlib institution (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34449138) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615930) |
|
Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: gay den mood credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34615959) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: brass wrinkle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636123) |
|
Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Boyish Old Irish Cottage Garrison (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34636459) |
|
Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: Greedy university (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34673088) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948560) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: supple temple boistinker Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34948572) |
|
Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#34950581) |
|
Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#35278621) |
|
Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: Charismatic headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36168381) |
|
Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36451135) |
|
Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36458802) |
|
Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: mind-boggling locus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36847087) |
|
Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: navy sickened water buffalo coldplay fan It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973680) |
|
Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#36973690) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: Charismatic headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090167) |
|
Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: rusted kitty cat Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37090191) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: apoplectic site pisswyrm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161974) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: Charismatic headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37161955) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Vibrant stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37162045) |
|
Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: Charismatic headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37167335) |
|
Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37553376) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: Nighttime Giraffe Idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#37833345) |
|
Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
|
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: apoplectic site pisswyrm There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431500) |
|
Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: Pontificating Wild Volcanic Crater Milk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#38431431) |
|
Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39135638) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: snowy center jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583415) |
|
Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39583624) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849854) |
|
Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: Garnet Azn Corner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39849877) |
|
Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: Ruddy haunted graveyard toilet seat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#39938878) |
|
Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40097972) |
|
Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: Ruddy haunted graveyard toilet seat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40354730) |
|
Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: disrespectful fuchsia point kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40355911) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: Ruddy haunted graveyard toilet seat (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896459) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: snowy center jap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896523) |
|
Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: slap-happy parlor nibblets Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40896526) |
|
Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: tanning salon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40908695) |
|
Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: orange stubborn public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#40977795) |
|
Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: Pontificating Wild Volcanic Crater Milk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41079968) |
|
Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41088157) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: chocolate unholy wagecucks state (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166967) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: comical range philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41166990) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: big-titted area filthpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167039) |
|
Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: big-titted area filthpig https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41167053) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: hominid principal's office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203011) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41200021) |
|
Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: Vibrant stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41202581) |
|
Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: Pontificating Wild Volcanic Crater Milk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41222868) |
|
Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: emerald private investor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#41261120) |
|
Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44196611) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: violent voyeur (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202968) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: Hyperactive Blue Juggernaut (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44202984) |
|
Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: rebellious generalized bond 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44203017) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911871) |
|
Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: slap-happy parlor nibblets A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#44911874) |
|
Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#45378008) |
|
Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: Glittery magenta orchestra pit mad-dog skullcap https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237455) |
|
Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: Cheese-eating heaven national security agency why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46237460) |
|
Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: orange stubborn public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#46252623) |
|
Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: bronze idea he suggested FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
|
Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47428670) |
|
Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: orange stubborn public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#47430198) |
|
Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
|
Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: odious pearl sanctuary pocket flask (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48010724) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: orange stubborn public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087201) |
|
Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: slap-happy parlor nibblets One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48087224) |
|
Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: orange stubborn public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48211967) |
|
Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: mustard lascivious spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#48187302) |