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Here’s my biggest fear about why Trump will lose: systematic overcorrection
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:02 AM Author: I Listen to Porn Podcasts Pollsters got BTFO in 2016 and were significantly off in 2020. So my main worry is that now all the pollsters have tried to correct for their previous fuckups but they’ve corrected too much. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203406) |
Date: October 16th, 2024 10:03 AM Author: ceci n'est pas un avocat Kamala will become president
this is not a mystery and these months of huffing and puffing are simply ridiculous |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:05 AM Author: I'm going PUMO blackpillers are diseased in the mind (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203416) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:26 AM Author: ceci n'est pas un avocat the true blackpill is believing that "Kamala Harris" can hurt you (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203489) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:31 AM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard the biden harris administration is the second worst administration in my life time. Went through much harder times in the G.W. Bush years, but, Biden Harris has been an unmitigated disaster and this is the prevailing sentiment among most people I've talked to, which is probably a much more diverse sample size than any pollster is able to reach. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203499) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:37 AM Author: :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:; lol. Record market highs and record low unemployment aren’t your cup of tea? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203512) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:46 AM Author: Charles Tyrwhitt Dad High inflation outstripping most people's income gains.
Strange abandonment of the 1st amendment, embracing censorship in the name of social good despite being the origin of a great deal of misinformation.
Divisive social engineering techniques, including the open border disaster. American school districts and municipalities are now burdened with the high costs of accommodating the migrants.
Open judicial warfares on people deemed the opposition. See Trump prosecutions in New York, delegitimizing the legal system and undermining confidence in neutrality of American courts.
Entanglement in Ukraine, including allowing it to happen in the first place, and pouring hundreds of billions into an endless quagmire while can't muster a decent response to hurricanes in the US alone.
The list goes on. Look, I'm well off, I'm substantially richer today than I was four years ago. But it doesn't mean I still don't think we've veered off into a damaging direction under the Biden administration, or rather, whoever is running the show in the name of Joe Biden. It's not just economics. It's more than the stock market.
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:48 AM Author: chilmata (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203545) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:11 AM Author: t14 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203629) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:13 AM Author: I'm going PUMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203636) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:30 AM Author: cock of michael obama (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203692) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:40 AM Author: yaakov (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203720) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:55 AM Author: There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word (gunneratttt) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203757) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:11 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203809) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:22 PM Author: Dissident Drama (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203853) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:39 PM Author: MartincourtMinicooper > High inflation outstripping most people's income gains.
this specific post-covid inflation is largely captured by corporate profits
i have no problem with this inflation because my investments are growing fast since all that inflation is being funneled into stock prices
sounds like ur poor
or, put another way, the elites have tricked you and your fellow proles into thinking it's the fault of the government that you can't buy as much as you used to, when it's really their fault
enjoy being poor, i'll enjoy being richer and richer as you keep blaming the wrong people while i know who's really to blame and am making my financial decisions accordingly |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:41 PM Author: gibberish (?) Yeah printing money had nothing to do with it. Are you a college junior? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203917) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 1:24 PM Author: MartincourtMinicooper no i'm a retiree (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48204103) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:44 PM Author: I'm going PUMO >enjoy being poor, i'll enjoy being richer and richer as you keep blaming the wrong people while i know who's really to blame and am making my financial decisions accordingly
This is the common opinion of the "elite" that support Kamala and the juicy part is that's why she's going to lose. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 1:03 PM Author: Dissident Drama Cr it is well known that the Dems are a high/low coalition. It's an alliance of the top 10% (where they get theirs coastal elite values) and the bottom 50% of mostly minorities and urban whites who want handouts. It's the 60 vs the 40% middle class whom the elites abuse, batter, and squeeze to the brink.
But the Southern Realignment is huge where the 40% of earners that come after the top 10% have decided to opt out. And inflation has hit the bottom 50% hard. Hence the realignment based on class. It's now a lot closer to 50/50. The Dems coalition is hemorrhaging. When people's pocket books hurt, they turn to the ballot box and everyone forgets about highfalutin social issues. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 1:03 PM Author: .,.;,;.;,.;;..,..;,;..,.,,.. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48204016) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 1:07 PM Author: richard clock (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48204026) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:34 AM Author: There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word (gunneratttt) it's amazing that these same people saw trump win 2016 and saw him exceed expectations in 2020, but will also cynically tell you that "nothing ever happens" and "abandon all hope, it's impossible." (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203506) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:10 AM Author: I Fully Endorse Karlstack's Anti-Semitism *beady eyes narrow* (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203440) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:43 AM Author: .......,,,;,,.;..... Probably cr (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203532) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:06 AM Author: little man It’s a legitimate worry. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203422) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:08 AM Author: I Listen to Porn Podcasts Polling has truly become an art in terms of weighting. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203427) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:10 AM Author: I'm going PUMO It’s just a worry, there are no reason to believe this when polls are oversampling Dems by multiple points and the race STILL comes out close.
The fact is that there are some Trump voters that just are unreachable. Nothing you can do about that.
Meanwhile you can be certain Kamala voters are all accounted for. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:11 AM Author: I Listen to Porn Podcasts “The fact is that there are some Trump voters that just are unreachable. Nothing you can do about that.”
This thread is literally about what they are doing about that. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:15 AM Author: I'm going PUMO Tell me what they’re doing to fix that. I don’t see anyone saying things they’re practically doing.
Polls understated Trump in '16 & '20 largely because they understated his support among white voters.
Sure, they understated everyone, but whites really made the margin. Oh and btw, Trump is now gathering historic margins of black and Latino voters.
If that's the case again and there's no real error for non-whites, we're all going to be very, VERY wrong. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:50 PM Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.) The main innovation this year -- which Nate Cohn at NYT/Sienna says that he and over 2/3rds of pollsters are using, even though it was traditionally a hallmark of low-quality pollsters --is weighting samples by 2020 recalled vote, i.e., making sure they have the right number of people who say they voted for TRUMP/biden in 2020.
This technique has historically been disfavored because some people don't recall who they voted for (that may surprise you, but bear in mind the undecideds that everyone's trying to reach tend to be huge fucking morons), and there's been shown to be a tendency for ppl to say they voted for the winner even if they didn't. This technique thus carries with it a risk of undersampling *actual* biden-2020 voters and thus shortchanging harris (e.g., think of a dude who was really a TRUMP-TRUMP 2020-2024 voter being counted as a biden-TRUMP 2020-2024 flipper).
This effect might be mitigated by biden's unpopularity, but mostly pollsters are just dead-set on not undersampling maga again, even if they err in the opposite direction. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:52 PM Author: I'm going PUMO And they're showing a tied race with Trump as a favorite in the Electoral College. CR.
Now imagine the Trump voters that are unreachable. https://x.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1845874626485793127 |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:57 PM Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.) Yeah man, the truth at this point is that there's likely going to be systemic polling error that goes in one direction or another, and the election won't end up that close (the 2 mostly likely outcomes vis-a-vis the 7 swing states are kamala winning all 7 and TRUMP winning all 7). When shit's true-blue tied in the polls like this, a historically very normal +/- 2.5% error paints the whole map one color.
The plausible case for an anti-TRUMP error (i.e., one that works in TRUMP's favor on election night) is obvious since it's happened twice before. But there's a plausible case for an anti-Harris error, too, since polling firms have done every fucking thing short of just adding +4 to the final TRUMP number to try to correct their past mistakes. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:28 AM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard I don't think an overcorrection is possible considering both in 2016 and 2020 they were off well beyond the margin of error. There's no way any autistic pollster will spot trump more than 5 points, and that likely isn't enough either. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203491) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:39 AM Author: :;:;;;:;:;;;:;:;:;:; Aggregated, polls were very accurate 2016 and 2020. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203518) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:43 AM Author: I'm going PUMO Great to hear https://www.realclearpolling.com/elections/president/2024/battleground-states |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:32 PM Author: the walter white of this generation (walt jr.) No they weren’t. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203884) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 1:18 PM Author: I Listen to Porn Podcasts lol, no they were not (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48204071) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:26 AM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard pollsters are half retards, there's a reason the greatest political minds (e.g. Bill Clinton and whether liberals like it or not Trump) have an understanding of people and aren't myopic autists like the vast majority of pollsters. Stats paint a partial picture (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203488) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:33 AM Author: There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word (gunneratttt) the polling feels about right and is reflective of the lack of enthusiasm i see irl for kamala. my biggest worry is that people will get overconfident and not bother to vote, the same as clinton supporters in 2016. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203505) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:38 AM Author: I'm going PUMO Early vote numbers aren’t great for determining election results, but they are a decent gauge of enthusiasm. From what we can tell from Georgia and Virginia, Trump counties (rural VA and GA) are way way up from 2016 & 2020 and blue counties (NoVa, Atlanta) are way way down.
Trump is winning the enthusiasm war. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:39 AM Author: gedood persoon how comparable are the 2020 numbers? wasn't that a totally different ballgame with covid rules? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203520) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:44 AM Author: I'm going PUMO Same deal with mail ins. Requests are actually holding even with 2020 for Republicans in North Carolina while requests for Dems have collapsed by 30% or so. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203534) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:50 AM Author: gedood persoon have you seen any good articles looking at these numbers yet? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203552) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:53 AM Author: I'm going PUMO You should watch Richard Baris's stream and follow Eric Daughtery who does daily updates on this stuff. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203558) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:54 AM Author: gedood persoon ty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203560) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:43 AM Author: There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word (gunneratttt) yeah. this is just providing objective evidence to something that was already observable. even driving through shitlib suburbs i'm seeing more trump signs than walz when 8 years ago you'd be a pariah for admitting your a trump voter in those neighborhoods.
the fact it's become socially acceptable to support trump is huge shift. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:14 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203822) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:15 PM Author: I'm going PUMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203826) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:39 AM Author: There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word (gunneratttt) it's not that hard to identify pollsters that were the most accurate in 2016 and 2020 and weigh their results more. idk why people still care so much about the aggregate when so many pollsters have proven to be unreliable. maybe the did overcorrect or maybe they're using the same bullshit the used before. either way they haven't proven that their methodology has predictive power. instead, look at the ones that have. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203516) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:46 AM Author: I'm going PUMO Atlas which was the most accurate pollster in 2020 said Trump wins the popular vote by 3 points and wins the EC and libs are now calling it “low quality” because they’re based out of Brazil LMAO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203539) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:53 AM Author: There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word (gunneratttt) these faggots cope is so blatant it's unreal. it's stunning how they dither from their prior convictions as soon it's convenient for them. "so we looked at the data" becomes "the data is flawed" the moment it conflicts with what they hope it says.
meanwhile i didn't see many cons saying the kamala's surge wasn't happening. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:01 AM Author: Charles Tyrwhitt Dad Guided by nothing more than instinct, I would not be surprised if exit polls on election eve announce a Trump pop vote victory. I'll mock Nate Silver and describe it as having 50/50% probability, meaning I'm not wrong either way ;)
In all seriousness, while a reasoned mind can't ignore the official data from the official polls showing a slight H lead or neck to neck, at the same time I also can't ignore most of the polling companies are run by the people with the same mindsets and biases as the idiots who created the Men for Kamala ad. And there's reading the tea leaves. The emergence of articles from D-leaning papers and publications talking about disagreements and tensions in the Harris campaign, tacitly admitting it's run by biased idiots who have no idea of an America outside college campuses. The emergence of articles in European presses featuring staid EU bureaucrats talking about how they can work with Donald Trump. You can sense the mood shifting in a way that the polls don't officially capture. There's an element of narrativism at play here and things are falling into place to make it happen.
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:19 AM Author: There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word (gunneratttt) cr.
as "unscientific" as it may be, there is some value is going with your gut. after all, all your gut instinct is your brain's analysis of a great aggregate of factors, many of which you don't even consciously realize. the same way you are probably right trust your senses that an area is dangerous even if it's not reflected in crime data.
if "trust the experts" always worked than trump would never have been president. just listen to all the "expert economists" talk about how great the economy is. sometimes it's better to just trust your eyes and experience. you can tell the economy sucks because you see people struggling to maintain a lifestyle that was obtainable in the past, regardless of how enthusiastically krugman points to GDP and the fraudmarket, or how many nobel prizes he is awarded. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:53 AM Author: Dissident Drama According to Nate Silver who does exactly as you describe — tosses out polls he thinks are subpar — here are the current polls that matter. Parenthesis is the 7 day trend.
PA: D+0.6 (R+0.7) MI: D+1.0 (R+0.9) WI: D+0.8 (R+1.1) NC: R+0.8 (EVEN) GA: R+0.9 (EVEN) AZ: R+1.6 (R+0.1) NV: D+0.8 (R+1)
All we really know is that the 7 swing states are all extremely close and that they have begun to tilt towards Trump in the last week. Speculating about black box pollster methodology is inane. The polls are the polls we have. We won't know more until they're counted but this is obviously a very, very good position for Trump to be in while Kamala can't be completely ruled out either. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:57 AM Author: I'm going PUMO If it just comes down to Trump having locked down all the Sunbelt states other than NV and all he has to do is pick off a Rustbelt state, it's hard to imagine Trump loses.
BTW, he will likely win all of them. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:06 AM Author: Dissident Drama In the past few days Kamala has acknowledged the importance of the Blue Wall Midwestern states. She's going to spend the bulk of her remaining time campaigning there. For Kamala it's a must win WI MI PA now. The Electoral walls are closing in. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203604) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:11 AM Author: I'm going PUMO Good news for her considering her operation there is going so well https://www.politico.com/news/2024/10/16/kamala-harris-pennsylvania-campaign-drama-00183844 |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:24 AM Author: Dissident Drama Zoinks! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203669) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:08 AM Author: There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word (gunneratttt) cr.
i just look for polls that have a large sample size and were accurate in the past. for example, in georgia uga said in 2020 that georgia was about even but leaning in favor of biden, which is exactly how the race shook out. and they're trump +3 right now.
i'm sure silver's model weighing polls based on quality has more rigor, but georgia doesn't "feel" even to me right now, +3 seems more in line with the attitudes i've seen. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:24 AM Author: Dissident Drama If there's one thing I consider far out of my wheelhouse it's what people in Georgia are thinking.
But I did see on CNN that other day that they were saying Georgia had the most blacks going over to Trump than any swing state.
Kamala has a better chance in PA than Georgia because her only hope of winning is winning whites. Only mealy-mouthed whites could possibly go for her shtick. Embarrassing! |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:26 AM Author: I'm going PUMO Nonwhite vote is down 25% in early voting in Georgia so far. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203674) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:27 AM Author: Dissident Drama Bad for Trump honestly lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203681) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:29 AM Author: I'm going PUMO The voting group that is going to vote for Kamala at a rate of 85% minimum being down is not bad for Trump, even if he did expand his margin a little with them. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203689) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:38 AM Author: Dissident Drama CNN said it was down to 75. There are lots of thinkpieces in the media right now about political realignment based on class. Poor whites and poor blacks vs rich whites.
If Trump wins GA but loses PA it will be because UMC whites in PA suburbs are adopting the mores of coastal elitism.
It's funny because we talk about is it a national election or an election of individual regions. I think for Democrats all politics is national. There's only one Accepted Point of View. But I think to everyone else it's more often a cornucopia of beliefs. Dems are all one way, and then everybody else is on a spectrum of beliefs.
Don't be surprised though if Trump's support with whites slips from 2020. They're getting faggier all the time. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:49 AM Author: cock of michael obama it's very obvious what it comes down to: trump is going to win overwhelmingly in terms of votes, the question is whether globohomo jews will rig it enough in the other direction. that's the only question. the polls are all fake. no one is supporting this brown hooker. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203550) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:54 AM Author: There will come a poaster whose weapon is N word (gunneratttt) no one is "supporting" kamala but there are plenty of people enthusiastically voting "not trump." (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203562) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:54 AM Author: yaakov (🍑 Pronouns: Ausländer/Raus döp dödö döp) exactly, this has been the only real issue since 5 minutes after the coup (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203563) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:59 AM Author: cock of michael obama (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203579) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:15 AM Author: Charles Tyrwhitt Dad Would not be surprised if the narrative six months from now is how "everyone knew" Kamala was doomed from the moment of the coup and there really was nothing anyone could do so it wasn't her fault, etc cetera.
But it does bring up an interesting topic. What will the Ds do if T wins, and T likely can only win along with a trifecta, with R control of the house and senate. The hysteria will be both amusing and scary. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:16 AM Author: I'm going PUMO Mark Halperin predicting a Trump win will bring on "the greatest mental health crisis in American history" https://x.com/CollinRugg/status/1846328577970655717 |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:26 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard dems desperately need to re-think their positions on a fuck ton of issues -- but, Trump winning will likely have them double down on the DEI, tranny far left bullshit they've been leaning into forever.
As long as Obama/Pelosi are calling the shots -- party is fucked. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:56 PM Author: cock of michael obama Party isn’t fucked because real votes are being replaced with ballot harvested votes of illegals (20 million in last four years alone) plus voter fraud (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203985) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:25 AM Author: .,.,.,.,.,.,..,.,..,.,.,.,. elaborate on this more (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203673) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:26 AM Author: cock of michael obama https://substack.com/@neofeudalism/note/c-72851046 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203679) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 10:59 AM Author: 718-662-5970 i have seen lots of media about early voting in Detroit, Atlanta and Philly with insane turn-outs. Presumably all blue.
I have no idea if this is propaganda, outright falsehood, not significant, or if this is in fact a harbinger
If the latter, we could be in for bad news |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:06 AM Author: I Listen to Porn Podcasts XO says it’s 100 percent false to steal the election.
Time to start deleting poasts and gassing dirtbike. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:09 AM Author: 718-662-5970 if i were a dem planning to steal, i would 100% do it with very early voting.
why risk the prying eyes when you dump thousands of votes on election day? Just run up a big fake lead in october, when no one is looking or caring.
"Well Kamala begins Pennsylvania with a 15,000 lead...." and by that point the shenanigans are weeks old and evidence is cold |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:09 AM Author: I'm going PUMO It's agitprop. Turnout is slightly down compared to 2020 in Dem counties.
You have to understand that Dem mail ins in 2020 cut into their early vote numbers. In 2020, mail ins essentially was the early vote. Combined, we see significant decreases in both requests and early voting totals for Dems and massive increases for Reps.
Dems are banking on huge Election Day turnout and it's unclear that they're going to get it.
In fact, I'd argue there is little to no evidence they will. It's cope. |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 11:09 AM Author: I Fully Endorse Karlstack's Anti-Semitism There is no chance of "Kamala Harris" winning "the presidency" and anyone who thinks this is utterly delusional (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203621) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:28 PM Author: ''"'''"''"' What are the main methods of large scale election fraud? Have we already seen any of it? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203870) |
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Date: October 16th, 2024 12:34 PM Author: I'm going PUMO Mail in voting, and numbers for that have collapsed. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5612476&forum_id=2#48203890) |