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Kalshi refuses pay out to bettors in Ayatollah Khameni market

Prediction market Kalshi has drawn outrage for refusing to p...
bright institution love of her life
  03/05/26
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rough-skinned blue hominid
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
rough-skinned blue hominid
  03/05/26
Prediction markets should be illegal
Floppy carnelian giraffe puppy
  03/05/26
but how can they be made illegal when they were conceived of...
bright institution love of her life
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
rough-skinned blue hominid
  03/05/26
The DARPA chief?!
Floppy carnelian giraffe puppy
  03/05/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
rough-skinned blue hominid
  03/05/26
Kalshi is pure scum all my homies use Polymarket
razzmatazz university generalized bond
  03/05/26
They hate MAGA cons
Blathering cocky quadroon
  03/05/26
everyone does though
bright institution love of her life
  03/05/26


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Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 1:38 PM
Author: bright institution love of her life

Prediction market Kalshi has drawn outrage for refusing to pay out winnings on a $54 million trade related to the death of Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Many bettors assumed they had won big on wagers that Khamenei would be “out as Supreme Leader” by Saturday after he was killed in joint US-Israeli air strikes over the weekend.

But Kalshi – an American prediction market that allows users to bet on politics, sports, foreign affairs and pop culture – announced it would not be paying out any winnings on those wagers, since its guidelines prohibit markets “directly tied to death.”

An Israeli-American business executive in New York had placed two bets totaling $3,460 that Khamenei would be “out” by March or April 1, and the Kalshi app showed he won payouts worth more than $63,000 – but then the trade was frozen.

“I was booking my trip to Courchevel,” he jokingly told the Washington Post, referring to the luxurious French Alps ski resort. “Then they changed the rules … and everybody got screwed.”

https://nypost.com/2026/03/05/business/kalshi-refuses-to-pay-winnings-on-54m-trade-related-to-khameneis-death-drawing-user-fury/?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718009)



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Date: March 5th, 2026 1:43 PM
Author: rough-skinned blue hominid

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718026)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 1:43 PM
Author: rough-skinned blue hominid

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718027)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:00 PM
Author: Floppy carnelian giraffe puppy

Prediction markets should be illegal

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718100)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:02 PM
Author: bright institution love of her life

but how can they be made illegal when they were conceived of by the very people who decide what’s illegal?

https://www.cia.gov/resources/csi/static/Prediction-Markets-Enhance-Intel.pdf

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718108)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:03 PM
Author: rough-skinned blue hominid

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718111)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 8:51 PM
Author: Floppy carnelian giraffe puppy

The DARPA chief?!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49719573)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:03 PM
Author: rough-skinned blue hominid

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(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718113)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:05 PM
Author: razzmatazz university generalized bond

Kalshi is pure scum

all my homies use Polymarket

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718124)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 2:06 PM
Author: Blathering cocky quadroon

They hate MAGA cons

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49718127)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 5th, 2026 7:16 PM
Author: bright institution love of her life

everyone does though

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5841913&forum_id=2#49719325)