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Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here ...
frozen theater stage
  10/05/26
since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-li...
Sienna irradiated feces
  10/05/26
...
unholy indian lodge
  10/05/26
...
Khaki Fanboi
  10/06/26
nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September ht...
Violet wonderful wagecucks
  10/05/26
Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nig...
frozen theater stage
  10/05/26
wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100...
Garnet Internal Respiration Friendly Grandma
  10/05/26
I see you struggle greatly with reading charts Date: Octo...
frozen theater stage
  10/05/26
You are a fucking retard and he is right
Hairraiser macaca kitty cat
  10/05/26
🥴🥴🥴 https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/210685886...
frozen theater stage
  10/05/26
...
Violet wonderful wagecucks
  10/06/26
Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too&h...
Violet wonderful wagecucks
  10/05/26
no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitt...
Cruel-hearted whorehouse fat ankles
  10/05/26
Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could bec...
Hairraiser macaca kitty cat
  10/05/26
...
Hairraiser macaca kitty cat
  10/05/26
The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite o...
Hairraiser macaca kitty cat
  10/05/26
They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fuc...
frozen theater stage
  10/05/26
They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsona...
Hairraiser macaca kitty cat
  10/05/26
Here king, you dropped this *hands you your prolapsed as...
frozen theater stage
  10/05/26
Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve
Hairraiser macaca kitty cat
  10/05/26
OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren&rs...
Violet wonderful wagecucks
  10/05/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM Author: ''"'"''&...
frozen theater stage
  10/05/26
Polls also way off https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120...
frozen theater stage
  10/05/26
good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days https://...
Violet wonderful wagecucks
  10/05/26
https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46
frozen theater stage
  10/05/26
So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the Hous...
Violet wonderful wagecucks
  10/05/26
wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or...
Sienna irradiated feces
  10/05/26
They switched a few hours before the polls closed. It&rsq...
frozen theater stage
  10/06/26
lol. that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton...
Sienna irradiated feces
  10/06/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: ""''''&q...
excitant hall
  10/06/26
It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the...
frozen theater stage
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
Violet wonderful wagecucks
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
excitant hall
  10/06/26
so prediction markets suck shit? Wow
Histrionic Coldplay Fan Rigor
  10/06/26
Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that w...
Trip church building
  10/06/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: Sienna irradiated feces

since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-line elections in Latin America, and the "far right" candidate has won all eight.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172051)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: unholy indian lodge



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172311)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:36 PM
Author: Khaki Fanboi



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174169)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:46 AM
Author: Violet wonderful wagecucks

nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172067)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:54 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nightmares for months

https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2106847104740343900?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172082)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM
Author: Garnet Internal Respiration Friendly Grandma

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:00 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

I see you struggle greatly with reading charts

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM

Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐)

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172101)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: Hairraiser macaca kitty cat

You are a fucking retard and he is right

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172130)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

🥴🥴🥴

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172135)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 7:56 AM
Author: Violet wonderful wagecucks



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173742)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:01 AM
Author: Violet wonderful wagecucks

Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too…idk…upset cons or something

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172103)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:09 AM
Author: Cruel-hearted whorehouse fat ankles

no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitter dorks coming up with these "odds".

you seriously need to get a life or a hobby that doesn't involve the internet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172118)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:16 AM
Author: Hairraiser macaca kitty cat

Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could become a millionaire in a couple of months.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172136)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: Hairraiser macaca kitty cat



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172129)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: Hairraiser macaca kitty cat

The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite on election eve.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172133)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:17 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fucking waste of oxygen.

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172146)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:20 AM
Author: Hairraiser macaca kitty cat

They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsonaro as the odds on favorite to win it all. Ultimately they were less than two points apart in the first round.

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172152)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:21 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

Here king, you dropped this

*hands you your prolapsed asshole*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172156)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: Hairraiser macaca kitty cat

Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172157)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: Violet wonderful wagecucks

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:24 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM

Author: ''"'"''"''''"""'''

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172162)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:25 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

Polls also way off

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120074834219062?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172167)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: Violet wonderful wagecucks

good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172175)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172181)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:05 PM
Author: Violet wonderful wagecucks

So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the House?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172291)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 5th, 2026 3:18 PM
Author: Sienna irradiated feces

wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or so on the very last day?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172792)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:23 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

They switched a few hours before the polls closed.

It’s all fraud.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173776)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:26 PM
Author: Sienna irradiated feces

lol.

that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton of money on Trump winning all the swing states, because he thought that Polymarket was infected by groupthink.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174151)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:09 AM
Author: excitant hall

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM

Author: ""''''"'

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173752)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM
Author: frozen theater stage

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: Violet wonderful wagecucks

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173989)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:08 AM
Author: excitant hall

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174037)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:23 AM
Author: Histrionic Coldplay Fan Rigor

so prediction markets suck shit? Wow

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174067)



Reply Favorite

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:07 PM
Author: Trip church building

Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that will happen here tbh.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174206)