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Buffett indicator is getting kooky
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Date: November 30th, 2021 7:47 PM Author: drab property https://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/models/buffett-indicator.php (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535609) |
Date: November 30th, 2021 7:48 PM Author: Histrionic blood rage ite2 is coming, it's only a matter of when (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535617) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 9:28 AM Author: 180 onyx locus This statement is true whenever you make it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538325) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 6:03 PM Author: Mahogany Judgmental Resort Mad-dog Skullcap Not after ITE2 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541707) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 6:07 PM Author: Mind-boggling step-uncle's house police squad (lawyer) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541734) |
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Date: November 30th, 2021 7:52 PM Author: Lascivious Space "By our calculation that is currently 69% (or about 2.2 standard deviations) above the historical average, suggesting that the market is Strongly Overvalued. These are historical, all-time highs. However, with interest rates at historic lows, there is reason to suspect that "this time is different" may hold true."
ok time to sell soon lol |
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Date: November 30th, 2021 7:54 PM Author: Histrionic blood rage i sold a ton in 2017 and have been "waiting for the correction" since, so... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535651) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 9:29 AM Author: Talking misanthropic nursing home gay wizard TBF there was a giant correction in 2018 when the Fed started raising rates
They then reversed course |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 9:30 AM Author: 180 onyx locus Sorry, brother. I have expected a crash for many years as well, but luckily I'm too much of a pussy at this point in my life to do anything but sit tight in my index funds. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538330) |
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Date: November 30th, 2021 7:55 PM Author: drab property (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535653) |
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Date: November 30th, 2021 7:53 PM Author: marvelous ungodly center headpube economy is basically coming down a huge meth bender (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535644) |
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Date: November 30th, 2021 11:29 PM Author: drab property (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43536869) |
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Date: November 30th, 2021 11:34 PM Author: Galvanic boistinker This seems like a pretty dumb indicator.
What % of GDP flowed through publicly traded companies in 1950 vs today?
We don't have local or even regional companies anymore. Megacorps rule America... |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 9:17 AM Author: Histrionic blood rage fair point.
but no matter what indicator of value you use, the stonk market is insanely overvalued. |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 9:24 AM Author: ebony coffee pot Actually relative to interest rates it is a historic lows. That's the big tension. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538309) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 9:26 AM Author: Histrionic blood rage i don't see how 13 years of free money won't have some adverse effect eventually. tons of mmt cucks say otherwise, i guess we'll see, i've been wrong before. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538319) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 9:31 AM Author: Anal Fragrant Home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538342) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 9:25 AM Author: outnumbered snowy gunner wont the market ramain "high" due to inflation? where else are people going to keep their money? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538314) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 9:27 AM Author: Histrionic blood rage surely "where else are people going to keep their money" has a limit, right? i mean, how many multiples of earnings or book value can a stock trade? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538322) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 9:31 AM Author: Puce learning disabled temple moon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538337) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 5:49 PM Author: outnumbered snowy gunner indexed for inflation the amount might go down, but the absolute number should keep going up. market might go up 10% but inflation is 20% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541634) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 10:41 AM Author: drab property (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538720) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 3:52 PM Author: Medicated Athletic Conference Stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43540867) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 5:55 PM Author: Mind-boggling step-uncle's house police squad Is this why insider selling has also reached ATHs? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541658) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 5:56 PM Author: Effete Scarlet Church Building Idea He Suggested is it? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541665) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 5:57 PM Author: Mind-boggling step-uncle's house police squad https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/01/ceos-and-insiders-sell-a-record-69-billion-of-their-stock.html (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541669) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 6:02 PM Author: nighttime ocher knife Now THAT is the most legit bearish thing I've seen today. It's one thing for the day trader crowd to dump stocks, quite another for company insiders to do so. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541698) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 5:58 PM Author: Talking misanthropic nursing home gay wizard Off the top of my head Nadella sold half his MSFT shares last week and Musk sold like 10% the week prior (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541672) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 6:00 PM Author: Mind-boggling step-uncle's house police squad Could be micro rather than macro reasons though:
"But Nadella will also save on taxes by selling now rather than next year. Starting Jan. 1, the state of Washington will impose a 7% tax on capital gains over $250,000. Nadella could save up to $20 million in state taxes by selling ahead of the tax hike. Bezos could save up to $700 million in Washington state taxes because he sold before January."
That said, this market is weird as fuck. |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 6:05 PM Author: Effete Scarlet Church Building Idea He Suggested Musk had a tax bill coming so that's kinda moot. but ok about msft (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541721) |
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Date: December 1st, 2021 5:59 PM Author: adulterous wine state buffett indicator isn't predictive at all bro. even buffett doesn't use it (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541679) |
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Date: May 12th, 2022 1:58 PM Author: drab property (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#44500417) |