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Buffett indicator is getting kooky

https://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/models/buffett-indica...
alcoholic outnumbered yarmulke
  11/30/21
ite2 is coming, it's only a matter of when
white immigrant masturbator
  11/30/21
This statement is true whenever you make it.
geriatric coral bawdyhouse dingle berry
  12/01/21
Not after ITE2
Fishy French Range
  12/01/21
(lawyer)
Dashing aquamarine factory reset button
  12/01/21
"By our calculation that is currently 69% (or about 2.2...
big startling cuckoldry striped hyena
  11/30/21
i sold a ton in 2017 and have been "waiting for the cor...
white immigrant masturbator
  11/30/21
TBF there was a giant correction in 2018 when the Fed starte...
Rusted stimulating stag film
  12/01/21
Sorry, brother. I have expected a crash for many years as we...
geriatric coral bawdyhouse dingle berry
  12/01/21
...
alcoholic outnumbered yarmulke
  11/30/21
economy is basically coming down a huge meth bender
gaped pit
  11/30/21
...
alcoholic outnumbered yarmulke
  11/30/21
This seems like a pretty dumb indicator. What % of GDP f...
buff hospital electric furnace
  11/30/21
fair point. but no matter what indicator of value you use...
white immigrant masturbator
  12/01/21
Actually relative to interest rates it is a historic lows. ...
Abusive Double Fault
  12/01/21
i don't see how 13 years of free money won't have some adver...
white immigrant masturbator
  12/01/21
...
Bright cuckold filthpig
  12/01/21
wont the market ramain "high" due to inflation? w...
Elite Embarrassed To The Bone Trust Fund Faggotry
  12/01/21
surely "where else are people going to keep their money...
white immigrant masturbator
  12/01/21
moon
Passionate kitchen
  12/01/21
indexed for inflation the amount might go down, but the abso...
Elite Embarrassed To The Bone Trust Fund Faggotry
  12/01/21
...
alcoholic outnumbered yarmulke
  12/01/21
...
Internet-worthy brass doctorate dilemma
  12/01/21
Is this why insider selling has also reached ATHs?
Dashing aquamarine factory reset button
  12/01/21
is it?
Zippy dull mexican
  12/01/21
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/01/ceos-and-insiders-sell-a-rec...
Dashing aquamarine factory reset button
  12/01/21
Now THAT is the most legit bearish thing I've seen today. It...
Cheese-eating Topaz Address
  12/01/21
Off the top of my head Nadella sold half his MSFT shares las...
Rusted stimulating stag film
  12/01/21
Could be micro rather than macro reasons though: "Bu...
Dashing aquamarine factory reset button
  12/01/21
Musk had a tax bill coming so that's kinda moot. but ok abou...
Zippy dull mexican
  12/01/21
buffett indicator isn't predictive at all bro. even buffett ...
ocher feces
  12/01/21
...
alcoholic outnumbered yarmulke
  05/12/22


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: November 30th, 2021 7:47 PM
Author: alcoholic outnumbered yarmulke

https://www.currentmarketvaluation.com/models/buffett-indicator.php

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535609)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 30th, 2021 7:48 PM
Author: white immigrant masturbator

ite2 is coming, it's only a matter of when

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535617)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 9:28 AM
Author: geriatric coral bawdyhouse dingle berry

This statement is true whenever you make it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538325)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 6:03 PM
Author: Fishy French Range

Not after ITE2

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541707)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 6:07 PM
Author: Dashing aquamarine factory reset button

(lawyer)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541734)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 30th, 2021 7:52 PM
Author: big startling cuckoldry striped hyena

"By our calculation that is currently 69% (or about 2.2 standard deviations) above the historical average, suggesting that the market is Strongly Overvalued. These are historical, all-time highs. However, with interest rates at historic lows, there is reason to suspect that "this time is different" may hold true."

ok time to sell soon lol

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535639)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 30th, 2021 7:54 PM
Author: white immigrant masturbator

i sold a ton in 2017 and have been "waiting for the correction" since, so...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535651)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 9:29 AM
Author: Rusted stimulating stag film

TBF there was a giant correction in 2018 when the Fed started raising rates

They then reversed course

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538328)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 9:30 AM
Author: geriatric coral bawdyhouse dingle berry

Sorry, brother. I have expected a crash for many years as well, but luckily I'm too much of a pussy at this point in my life to do anything but sit tight in my index funds.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538330)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 30th, 2021 7:55 PM
Author: alcoholic outnumbered yarmulke



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535653)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 30th, 2021 7:53 PM
Author: gaped pit

economy is basically coming down a huge meth bender

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43535644)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 30th, 2021 11:29 PM
Author: alcoholic outnumbered yarmulke



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43536869)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 30th, 2021 11:34 PM
Author: buff hospital electric furnace

This seems like a pretty dumb indicator.

What % of GDP flowed through publicly traded companies in 1950 vs today?

We don't have local or even regional companies anymore. Megacorps rule America...

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43536902)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 9:17 AM
Author: white immigrant masturbator

fair point.

but no matter what indicator of value you use, the stonk market is insanely overvalued.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538278)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 9:24 AM
Author: Abusive Double Fault

Actually relative to interest rates it is a historic lows. That's the big tension.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538309)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 9:26 AM
Author: white immigrant masturbator

i don't see how 13 years of free money won't have some adverse effect eventually. tons of mmt cucks say otherwise, i guess we'll see, i've been wrong before.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538319)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 9:31 AM
Author: Bright cuckold filthpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538342)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 9:25 AM
Author: Elite Embarrassed To The Bone Trust Fund Faggotry

wont the market ramain "high" due to inflation? where else are people going to keep their money?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538314)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 9:27 AM
Author: white immigrant masturbator

surely "where else are people going to keep their money" has a limit, right? i mean, how many multiples of earnings or book value can a stock trade?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538322)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 9:31 AM
Author: Passionate kitchen

moon

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538337)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 5:49 PM
Author: Elite Embarrassed To The Bone Trust Fund Faggotry

indexed for inflation the amount might go down, but the absolute number should keep going up. market might go up 10% but inflation is 20%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541634)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 10:41 AM
Author: alcoholic outnumbered yarmulke



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43538720)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 3:52 PM
Author: Internet-worthy brass doctorate dilemma



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43540867)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 5:55 PM
Author: Dashing aquamarine factory reset button

Is this why insider selling has also reached ATHs?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541658)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 5:56 PM
Author: Zippy dull mexican

is it?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541665)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 5:57 PM
Author: Dashing aquamarine factory reset button

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/12/01/ceos-and-insiders-sell-a-record-69-billion-of-their-stock.html

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541669)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 6:02 PM
Author: Cheese-eating Topaz Address

Now THAT is the most legit bearish thing I've seen today. It's one thing for the day trader crowd to dump stocks, quite another for company insiders to do so.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541698)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 5:58 PM
Author: Rusted stimulating stag film

Off the top of my head Nadella sold half his MSFT shares last week and Musk sold like 10% the week prior

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541672)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 6:00 PM
Author: Dashing aquamarine factory reset button

Could be micro rather than macro reasons though:

"But Nadella will also save on taxes by selling now rather than next year. Starting Jan. 1, the state of Washington will impose a 7% tax on capital gains over $250,000. Nadella could save up to $20 million in state taxes by selling ahead of the tax hike. Bezos could save up to $700 million in Washington state taxes because he sold before January."

That said, this market is weird as fuck.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541684)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 6:05 PM
Author: Zippy dull mexican

Musk had a tax bill coming so that's kinda moot. but ok about msft

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541721)



Reply Favorite

Date: December 1st, 2021 5:59 PM
Author: ocher feces

buffett indicator isn't predictive at all bro. even buffett doesn't use it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#43541679)



Reply Favorite

Date: May 12th, 2022 1:58 PM
Author: alcoholic outnumbered yarmulke



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4975931&forum_id=2#44500417)