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what will libs do when the GOP has 60 senate seats

and rural white states find their national brand anathema? s...
Vigorous bonkers dog poop spot
  01/24/22
besides Tester and Manchin, what "rural white states&qu...
Embarrassed to the bone pocket flask den
  01/24/22
Warnock is up in 2022, which should be a very possible pick ...
adventurous mad cow disease theater
  01/24/22
The GA voting law should doom Warnick. Hopefully GA Republi...
sienna cerebral brethren
  01/25/22
Biden very narrowly won Georgia and has since been a disaste...
adventurous mad cow disease theater
  01/25/22
From the current 50 baseline 2022: +Georgia +Nevada +N...
Avocado space french chef
  01/25/22
2026 Losses: -Iowa -Maine -Montana -North Carolina -T...
Avocado space french chef
  01/25/22
Maine is a hard maybe (not a SINGLE major poll had Susan Col...
adventurous mad cow disease theater
  01/25/22
they'll do the same thing they do now–buttfuck each ot...
Razzmatazz Olive Tank
  01/24/22
wake up probably.
Embarrassed to the bone pocket flask den
  01/24/22
this will not happen
Ruby Coffee Pot
  01/24/22
https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1483878710038175751 ...
Vigorous bonkers dog poop spot
  01/24/22
this is fucking delusional
Insanely creepy aphrodisiac locus ladyboy
  01/24/22
It's really not. The senate map hugely favors Republicans du...
Vigorous bonkers dog poop spot
  01/24/22
I am old enough to remember Grover Norquist making this exac...
Aquamarine Indian Lodge Toilet Seat
  01/24/22
see the tweet I linked. educational polarization is backed u...
Vigorous bonkers dog poop spot
  01/24/22
The South is turning blue in front of our very eyes
Aquamarine Indian Lodge Toilet Seat
  01/24/22
You have to understand the simple number of white conservati...
Coral drunken point boistinker
  01/24/22
recent massive ongoing spike in homeschooling is gonna hurt ...
Translucent meetinghouse
  01/24/22
"and how many mostly non-white mostly liberal citizens ...
180 insane jewess rigor
  01/24/22
Hispanics under 30 went way heavier for Biden. But even if ...
Coral drunken point boistinker
  01/24/22
sit back and watch congress do nothing like we have been for...
Titillating crimson hunting ground crotch
  01/24/22
real question is what will GOP do. and the answer is nothin...
arrogant racy gaping native
  01/24/22
this. GOP will do nothing
multi-colored therapy voyeur
  01/24/22
...
Boyish Bearded Location Legal Warrant
  01/25/22
they will do nothing because OP is a delusional tard to even...
Insanely creepy aphrodisiac locus ladyboy
  01/24/22
...
Lake dilemma candlestick maker
  01/25/22
...
walnut massive antidepressant drug hissy fit
  01/25/22
West Coast states secede, causing the break up of the US as ...
sienna cerebral brethren
  01/25/22
...
elite heaven
  01/25/22
Sounds 180. But here's my q - if there's a referendum, do b...
Apoplectic gay step-uncle's house
  01/25/22
CA leads the way, OR and WA leave too despite seceding not b...
sienna cerebral brethren
  01/25/22
I suspect all of these places will be insolvent sooner or la...
Apoplectic gay step-uncle's house
  01/25/22
and who is to say the deep state won't pivot hard to the rig...
soul-stirring ceo halford
  01/25/22
never too late to invade Syria!
Boyish Bearded Location Legal Warrant
  01/26/22


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:20 PM
Author: Vigorous bonkers dog poop spot

and rural white states find their national brand anathema? scream and cry?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841738)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:22 PM
Author: Embarrassed to the bone pocket flask den

besides Tester and Manchin, what "rural white states" will the GOP gain?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841749)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:36 PM
Author: adventurous mad cow disease theater

Warnock is up in 2022, which should be a very possible pick up for GOP even with Georgia going more blue.

I don't know how likely it is but NH, NV, and AZ also have Senate races, all Dem incumbents.

2024- Dem incumbents in PA, MT, AZ, WI, MI, and OH. MT and OH are pretty plausible, the rest depend on how '22 goes and how the '24 environment is, but barring Biden wakes up feeling 20 years younger tomorrow, it's not unreasonable to bet on GOP riding waves.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841835)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 12:07 AM
Author: sienna cerebral brethren

The GA voting law should doom Warnick. Hopefully GA Republicans can find someone who is not a horrific neocon loser, although I have my doubts.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842540)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 7:27 PM
Author: adventurous mad cow disease theater

Biden very narrowly won Georgia and has since been a disaster. The voting law (which if anything makes it easier to vote) is irrelevant.

Herschel Walker already has the Trump endorsement.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43846730)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 12:01 AM
Author: Avocado space french chef

From the current 50 baseline

2022:

+Georgia

+Nevada

+New Hampshire

+Arizona

+Colorado (in a really good night)

=54

2024:

+Arizona

+Montana

+Nevada

+Ohio

+Pennsylvania

+West Virginia

+Wisconsin

=61

Not even including Minnesota and Michigan

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842525)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 12:05 AM
Author: Avocado space french chef

2026 Losses:

-Iowa

-Maine

-Montana

-North Carolina

-Texas

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842534)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 7:29 PM
Author: adventurous mad cow disease theater

Maine is a hard maybe (not a SINGLE major poll had Susan Collins beating Gideon in 2020, and she steamrolled through anyway; Maine people like her). North Carolina is a possible pick up for Dems.

LJL at any of the others.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43846741)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:21 PM
Author: Razzmatazz Olive Tank

they'll do the same thing they do now–buttfuck each other and lick each other's cocks and balls

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841742)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:21 PM
Author: Embarrassed to the bone pocket flask den

wake up probably.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841746)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:22 PM
Author: Ruby Coffee Pot

this will not happen

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841755)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:25 PM
Author: Vigorous bonkers dog poop spot

https://twitter.com/davidshor/status/1483878710038175751

it will though. probably in 2024 if it is trump vs kamala or HER

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841769)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:27 PM
Author: Insanely creepy aphrodisiac locus ladyboy

this is fucking delusional

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841780)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:29 PM
Author: Vigorous bonkers dog poop spot

It's really not. The senate map hugely favors Republicans due to the decline of ticket splitting, education polarization, and the fact that non-whites all live in their dysgenic coastal favelas.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841787)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:37 PM
Author: Aquamarine Indian Lodge Toilet Seat

I am old enough to remember Grover Norquist making this exact argument 25 years ago

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841846)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:41 PM
Author: Vigorous bonkers dog poop spot

see the tweet I linked. educational polarization is backed up by hard data.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841863)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 9:43 PM
Author: Aquamarine Indian Lodge Toilet Seat

The South is turning blue in front of our very eyes

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43841873)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 10:50 PM
Author: Coral drunken point boistinker

You have to understand the simple number of white conservatives that die every year in Texas (roughly 200k) and how many mostly non-white mostly liberal citizens turn 18 every year in Texas (roughly 1.5M). Romney beat Obama In Texas by 1.25M votes, Trump beat Hillary by 900k, Trump beat Biden by 600k. Will be close in 2024 (and Cruz is up lol) and by 2028 and beyond it’s a toss up. Arizona is -50kish white conservatives and +60k mostly nonwhite people turning 18. Georgia is roughly -100k/+100k. Net migration into these states is a rounding error on these million voter swings and the GOP’s only chance is to massively succeed in persuasion.

Now consider the fact that non college white voters turnout lower in midterms and spiked up 6 points from 2016 to 2020 only to have Trump tell them for the last year that their vote was stolen and elections are rigged. If non college whites turn out as bad or worse than they did in 2018 the chances of the GOP picking up more than 2 seats are extremely slim. RCP map looks right ie 47 safe GOP seats, 46 safe Dem seats 7 toss ups (AZ, GA, NV, NH, NC, WI, PA). Dems just need their incumbents to win to keep the senate and if they get one of the GOP seats it’s very hard to imagine a chamber flip. GOP getting all 7 seems less likely than the Dems getting a pickup of one or two given the map and their built in advantages with the midterm electorate and incumbency.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842221)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 11:00 PM
Author: Translucent meetinghouse

recent massive ongoing spike in homeschooling is gonna hurt the lib factory of public education

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842285)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 11:04 PM
Author: 180 insane jewess rigor

"and how many mostly non-white mostly liberal citizens turn 18 every year in Texas (roughly 1.5M)"

Aren't hispanics increasingly going for the GOP though? See, e.g. Texas:

https://www.vox.com/21549000/texas-election-results-trump-biden-hispanic-vote

Republicans showed strength with Hispanic Texans

Biden won the Hispanic vote by 19 points this year, according to the exits, but that’s down from Hillary Clinton’s 27-point margin in 2016. A number of heavily Hispanic counties in the Rio Grande Valley shifted toward Trump: Zapata County, to name one, broke for Trump by 5 points with most of the expected vote counted after Clinton won it by more than 30 points in 2016. The president’s share of the county’s vote jumped from 33 percent to 52 percent in his reelection bid.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842307)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 11:26 PM
Author: Coral drunken point boistinker

Hispanics under 30 went way heavier for Biden. But even if the new normal is 60/40 and only 20% of those 5M new voters turnout in 2024 you’re looking at a couple hundred thousand votes going into the Dem column and hundreds of thousands of GOP voters leaving the voter rolls because of their deaths.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842422)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 10:57 PM
Author: Titillating crimson hunting ground crotch

sit back and watch congress do nothing like we have been for the past decade

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842265)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 10:57 PM
Author: arrogant racy gaping native

real question is what will GOP do. and the answer is nothing.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842267)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 11:10 PM
Author: multi-colored therapy voyeur

this. GOP will do nothing

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842339)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 3:06 PM
Author: Boyish Bearded Location Legal Warrant



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43845367)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2022 11:11 PM
Author: Insanely creepy aphrodisiac locus ladyboy

they will do nothing because OP is a delusional tard to even suggest the GOP will have 60 seats in 2024.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842347)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 12:05 AM
Author: Lake dilemma candlestick maker



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842537)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 7:29 PM
Author: walnut massive antidepressant drug hissy fit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43846743)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 12:06 AM
Author: sienna cerebral brethren

West Coast states secede, causing the break up of the US as we know it. Pelosi, the tech guys, CA lib legislative supermajority, etc. say fuck this we have no interest in being ruled by straight white men and WE OUT. Nobody lifts a finger to stop them, as most Red State people say "GTFO and sooner the better," CIA/ deep state/ Chicago & NYC/ globohomo are the only powersources that don't want it but even they can't convince the rest of the US to stop it militarily. And just like that, a house divided proves that it can stand just fine because it's been a long fucking time since we've been a house.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842538)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 12:17 AM
Author: elite heaven



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43842564)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 12:53 PM
Author: Apoplectic gay step-uncle's house

Sounds 180. But here's my q - if there's a referendum, do both of OR and WA leave? And wouldn't we see the NE go too? Not that I'm not 100% fine with that.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43844618)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 1:03 PM
Author: sienna cerebral brethren

CA leads the way, OR and WA leave too despite seceding not being as popular.

Unclear that happens with Chicago and the Northeast. Neither are well set up for independence and the Northeast is just one giant welfare state that is a few business defections away from being insolvent.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43844670)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 1:11 PM
Author: Apoplectic gay step-uncle's house

I suspect all of these places will be insolvent sooner or later. Businesses have been drawing down presence in CA, NY and similar places for years because of lib policies. If they have free reign to impose socialism they will bolt.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43844705)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2022 1:05 PM
Author: soul-stirring ceo halford

and who is to say the deep state won't pivot hard to the right, provided we regain some kind of military footing in the world again?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43844676)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 26th, 2022 6:13 AM
Author: Boyish Bearded Location Legal Warrant

never too late to invade Syria!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5016051&forum_id=2#43848862)