Statistical Comparison of QQQ/SPY versus 3x Leveraged ETFS
| Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/22/22 | | Electric Hairy Legs | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Electric Hairy Legs | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Narrow-minded nofapping chapel | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Narrow-minded nofapping chapel | 09/22/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/22/22 | | Narrow-minded nofapping chapel | 09/22/22 | | know-it-all naked digit ratio dingle berry | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/22/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/22/22 | | Narrow-minded nofapping chapel | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | Narrow-minded nofapping chapel | 09/22/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | azure sickened place of business selfie | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/22/22 | | azure sickened place of business selfie | 09/22/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/22/22 | | Narrow-minded nofapping chapel | 09/22/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/23/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/23/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/23/22 | | Fragrant Sienna Striped Hyena Institution | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/23/22 | | Contagious national security agency halford | 09/22/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/23/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/23/22 | | know-it-all naked digit ratio dingle berry | 09/23/22 | | startling lemon crackhouse | 09/23/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/23/22 | | Supple painfully honest roommate | 09/23/22 | | startling lemon crackhouse | 09/23/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/23/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/23/22 | | Vibrant church building | 09/29/22 | | mischievous pit pozpig | 09/23/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/23/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Anal trip bbw main people | 09/23/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Vibrant church building | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Vibrant church building | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/29/22 | | Vibrant church building | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Vibrant church building | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/29/22 | | Irradiated tripping alpha | 09/29/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/29/22 | | Bronze infuriating locus boistinker | 09/29/22 | | Brindle indian lodge | 09/30/22 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: September 22nd, 2022 2:57 PM Author: Irradiated tripping alpha
This is QQQ versus TQQQ, it's moved at a 2.85 ratio for the year so close to 3x. Only month that was weird is May which also was a weird month for SPY/SPYX. I didn't add dividends for QQQ/SPY so not sure if that is the reason but I dont think so. Need to look into this
Date QQQ Change TQQQ Change Ratio
Sep 01, 2022 283.56 -5.25% 23.24 -16.43% 3.13
Aug 01, 2022 299.27 -5.13% 27.81 -16.64% 3.24
Jul 01, 2022 315.46 12.55% 33.36 39.00% 3.11
Jun 01, 2022 280 -9.08% 24 -27.38% 3.01
May 01, 2022 308 -1.59% 33 -9.53% 6.00
Apr 01, 2022 313 -13.60% 37 -37.21% 2.74
Mar 01, 2022 363 4.54% 58 10.90% 2.40
Feb 01, 2022 347 -4.48% 52 -15.15% 3.39
Jan 01, 2022 363 -21.90% 62 -62.41% 2.85
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5197335&forum_id=2#45213683) |
Date: September 22nd, 2022 2:58 PM Author: Irradiated tripping alpha
SPY to SPYX ratio is 2.93, same issue with May being weird as furk
Date SPY Change SPYK Change Ratio
Sep 01, 2022 377.39 -4.50% 64 -13.04% 2.90
Aug 01, 2022 395 -4.08% 73 -13.32% 3.26
Jul 01, 2022 411.99 9.21% 84 28.78% 3.13
Jun 01, 2022 377.3 -8.64% 65.59 -25.00% 2.89
May 01, 2022 412.93 0.23% 87.45 -2.12% -9.37
Apr 01, 2022 412 -8.78% 89.34 -25.43% 2.90
Mar 01, 2022 451.64 3.44% 119.8 10.13% 2.95
Feb 01, 2022 436.63 -2.95% 108.78 -9.91% 3.36
Jan 01, 2022 449.91 -16.12% 120.75 -47.27% 2.93
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5197335&forum_id=2#45213687) |
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Date: September 22nd, 2022 4:17 PM Author: Irradiated tripping alpha
ljl u realize that if u are gettin into 3x one days changes arent going to matter, like u wont care u got 150% gain instead of 154% in a year, just start buying because u literally have no idea when this bullshit will stop declining
rate me as a retard:
Stock Shares Price
TQQQ 2369 31.45
SOXL 3125 13.37
SPXL 631 72.04
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5197335&forum_id=2#45214168)
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Date: September 22nd, 2022 4:33 PM Author: Narrow-minded nofapping chapel
brother i can sell the march 17 2023 $3000 SPX put for 50% return on capital via /es getting 1256 tax treatment.
obviously more complicated than that and you would never sell that far out but that's the gist.
the shitty part is that there is no call skew anywhere right now so it's hard to hedge
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5197335&forum_id=2#45214271) |
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Date: September 22nd, 2022 4:31 PM Author: Irradiated tripping alpha
YES ppl say that, but plz go run the back stats and get back to me, i dont see that unless these "experts" are bitching because it will be like a 2.85x ratio instead of exactly 3.0x so then in their faggotry they can be like "it was off by 5%!"
only thing ive seen is overall in small loss years like 2% down the 3x may go 10-12% down so that is way more than 3x but seems thats not significant overall, i see lots of consistenty performance around 3x whether running monthly stats or yearly https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com/backtest-portfolio
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5197335&forum_id=2#45214263)
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Date: September 23rd, 2022 2:11 AM Author: Irradiated tripping alpha
No, dat too risky but if market does decline 10% more maybe Ill put in more but right now im good, my spreadsheet says if all my shit went back to 52w high within next two years my NW wld exceed 1.6m
i just want to get to 1.5m and then pull my equity share to 60% or less
my prior peak NW was 1.33m so 1.5m seems 180
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5197335&forum_id=2#45216928) |
Date: September 22nd, 2022 6:58 PM Author: Contagious national security agency halford
I hurriedly dumped my bonus into TQQQ in December, thinking that any possible downsides from buying at a high would be hedged by my ability to take capital gains in 2022 before any Biden tax increase could go into effect.
Lol fuck me.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5197335&forum_id=2#45214954) |
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Date: September 29th, 2022 10:57 AM Author: Irradiated tripping alpha
ljl nigga, he's playing with numbers cause he's only looking at getting back to $100
i just ran math, yes if SP had to go up 11% something to get back to $100 the 3x wld only get to $94
but lets say from that point SP goes up another 15% so then its $115 but the 3x has gone up to $136 ($94*45%=$42)
yes this total gain from 100 isnt exactly 3x but its still much more 2.36x which is fine, if SP goes up more than ratio wld go up moar
these fags are literally like BUT ITS NOT EXACtly 3X!!!! SO ITS FRAUD!!! ljl u furking retards, if u outperform even 2x thats good but over long term bull market u will get close or above even the 3x
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5197335&forum_id=2#45249957)
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Date: September 29th, 2022 11:17 AM Author: Irradiated tripping alpha
OKAY this guy is complete fraud, i ran all the numbers from what he said, he's just picking short term stats
2/10/20 SPY was at 337 and UPRO at 39
He's right that by 8/23/20 SPY had recover and now actually was up 3% while UPRO was still only at 32, meaning it was down 19%
But THEN go look at both's peak in 2021, which was 12/16/01
SPY was now at 475, meaning it had a 35% gain from
its 8/23/20 recover point but UPRO was now at 76 meaning it had a furking 136% gain
if you instead looked at gains from 2/10/20 its 91% for UPRO versus 40% for SPY... oh wow not exactly 3x but his entire assumption is based on u buying exactly on 2/10/20 when it peaked.. furk this bullshit, u still come out ahead as long as u hold
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5197335&forum_id=2#45250059)
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Date: September 29th, 2022 12:12 PM Author: Irradiated tripping alpha
yea but if that happens im furked anyway, like right now i have a bit less than 800k left in market, if SPY magically tanked 30% in a short time and i only held spy id be down 240k
but right now i have about 20% of my money in 3x, so that 160k wld lose 90% so 144k so it wld be almost worthless at 16k
my total losses wld be 192k plus 144k so 336k
so yeah another 96k lost but who cares at that point?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5197335&forum_id=2#45250414)
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