Buy equity index (VTI) now or Hold Cash?
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 6th, 2022 1:33 PM Author: Histrionic Shrine Famous Landscape Painting
Equities have never gotten crushed harder in my lifetime than they are right now.
The fraud-conomists keep changing their tune on whether or not 'recession is coming' and whether equities will be even shittier next year.
But EVEN IF there is a recession, and then EVEN IF that tanks equities MORE (which is questionable since stocks don't appear to be priced on 'earnings' or 'profits' in the fraud-conomy), won't the Fed just step in sooner-or-later so that 401k-mos don't revolt?
IF the fed put still exists, wouldn't now be a good time to be DCA'ing in pretty hard?
I have like $100k cash i was 'saving' for the 'huge market collapse' but it's been 6-months now of bouncing off 2-year lows. Time to just buy?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5248326&forum_id=2#45594004) |
Date: December 6th, 2022 1:40 PM Author: Crystalline kink-friendly tanning salon
Doesn't FEEL like a buying opportunity right now. End of June/early July felt like a buying opportunity and so did early November, now IDK.
Personally I would wait until January. Wait for the fed's last 2022 rate hike and hope that inflation keeps going down and unemployment rises in January/Feb./
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5248326&forum_id=2#45594036) |
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Date: December 6th, 2022 2:16 PM Author: Histrionic Shrine Famous Landscape Painting
Sure, hindsight is 20/20 but we're still closer to 52-week lows than 52-week highs.
Literally all 12 months of 2021 'felt like' a buying opportunity and at the end of the year you would have booked some nice gains.
Then in January 22 you would have lost 18 months of gains in 6 months.
Kike casino but its the only game in town.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5248326&forum_id=2#45594224) |
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Date: December 6th, 2022 2:32 PM Author: Trip striped hyena
they're an alternative manager. they manage all kinds of assets (mostly private): equity, debt, real estate, etc.
they charge fees on valuations that they mostly determine. the big payouts, however, come from carry, and that requires real exits.
i haven't looked at their compensation expenses, but i imagine that the partners have favorable guaranteed pay packages that would leave shareholders with scraps if the funds started underperforming.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5248326&forum_id=2#45594311) |
Date: December 6th, 2022 9:48 PM Author: Hairraiser jap personal credit line
"won't the Fed just step in sooner-or-later so 401k-mos don't revolt"
LMAO
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5248326&forum_id=2#45596568) |
Date: December 7th, 2022 7:34 PM Author: saffron library
“But EVEN IF there is a recession, and then EVEN IF that tanks equities MORE (which is questionable since stocks don't appear to be priced on 'earnings' or 'profits' in the fraud-conomy), won't the Fed just step in sooner-or-later so that 401k-mos don't revolt?”
I think this is the key faulty assumption you’re making. The Fed is in a tricky spot and they absolutely cannot just drop interest rates again in the medium term without risking another spike in inflation.
You’re also assuming that the Fed doesn’t want to see equities drop, which is also not true.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5248326&forum_id=2#45601036) |
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Date: December 9th, 2022 6:30 PM Author: Histrionic Shrine Famous Landscape Painting
CPI 'misses' as in comes in low or high?
i can't tell if equities are starting to rally on good economic news as opposed to the usual bad economic news -> fed pivot expectations.
today i bought 10k VTI (in case the market turns) and
5k VTV (still get equity exposure since im young but value might still be underpriced given past 20 years of growth dominance, also won't get crushed quite as bad as the broader index if the market craters more / prolonged recession starts)
if long-term shittier times are ahead, value could keep beating growth for however long that lasts.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5248326&forum_id=2#45610682) |
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Date: December 16th, 2022 11:51 AM Author: Crystalline kink-friendly tanning salon
Tesla doesn't make money on charging stations lol. Semis are still a pipe dream. Remember how Cybertruck was supposed to be the first EV truck to market? Uh, I'm pretty sure Ford, Rivian, and GM all beat Tesla to market with really good products...
TSLA will lose Gigafactory Shanghai when the CCP nationalizes it and kicks Elon out of Chin.
Plenty of companies do OTA updates and have started to monetize the in-car experience.
TSLA has nothing going for it at the moment. That retard TBF will undoubtedly enter the thread like a bowling ball and claim FSD is almost ready but don't trust his kike ass. He's a complete moron.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5248326&forum_id=2#45642776) |
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