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CHIEFS +1.5 is free money

...
irate gaped heaven macaca
  01/24/23
Not betting on Mahomes’ gimpy leg
gold hell
  01/24/23
Revenge game, chiefs home game and bengals fraudulent offens...
irate gaped heaven macaca
  01/24/23
Joe Burrow is a once in a generation talent and better than ...
gold hell
  01/24/23
Burrow isnt even better than Herbert
Brass Bawdyhouse Giraffe
  01/24/23
Been saying this for years
arrogant incel
  01/24/23
lmao no mahomes is special
big-titted stage gunner
  01/24/23
burrow = brady mahomes = rodgers
Honey-headed karate prole
  01/24/23
This analogy is too insulting to Burrow. And just bad altog...
Primrose bearded wagecucks corner
  01/24/23
lol at being compared to brady being insulting. and mahom...
Honey-headed karate prole
  01/24/23
Burrow is awesome, and arguably a better playoff QB than Mah...
Primrose bearded wagecucks corner
  01/24/23
they already lost a "revenge game" to the bengals ...
Honey-headed karate prole
  01/24/23
...
Brass Bawdyhouse Giraffe
  01/24/23
+2.5 now
Bistre provocative principal's office useless brakes
  01/24/23
is there a bunch of bengals fans flooding in bets or somethi...
Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference
  01/24/23
high ankle sprain is no joke
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/24/23
ah i wasn't aware mahomes got injured. makes sense now.
Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference
  01/24/23
Sharp money poured into the Bengals. It’s strange to s...
chest-beating hall
  01/24/23
How do you track who the sharps are betting on? Very interes...
Territorial Submissive Legal Warrant University
  01/24/23
You have to read line movements
Talented Vermilion Idea He Suggested Church
  01/25/23
Yeah, and when they occur. Line movements early in the week ...
chest-beating hall
  01/25/23
Losing to the Bengals three straight times says otherwise. I...
Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal
  01/24/23
Spread absolutely does not say that Vegas thinks they're equ...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/24/23
Right equal would be more like chiefs -2.5
Bistre provocative principal's office useless brakes
  01/24/23
yeah-- I totally read that wrong. 2.5 for home team
Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal
  01/24/23
I've read that HFA has been moving lower in recent years and...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/24/23
...
sapphire metal indirect expression
  01/24/23
superior teams lose to inferior teams all the time. otherwis...
Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference
  01/24/23
three times in a row?
Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal
  01/24/23
(guy who's never played poker)
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/24/23
(Probability masterman)
impressive vibrant associate state
  01/24/23
Are you people retards? This isn't a game of chance.
Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal
  01/24/23
Neither is baseball. Last place teams sweep first place team...
impressive vibrant associate state
  01/24/23
listen. this is not hard. they beat them three times in a ye...
Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal
  01/25/23
Sports games are absolutely exercises in weighted probabilit...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/25/23
Tcr. This dude’s misunderstanding of statistics is bre...
impressive vibrant associate state
  01/25/23
GODDAMIT OF COURSE NOT!! THAT IS NOT THE POINT. Gunner says ...
Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal
  01/25/23
The point is this isn't TCU vs. Georgia or Usain Bolt vs. an...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/25/23
I KNOW THAT!! I said that in my poast and never denied it. Y...
Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal
  01/25/23
I'm basing it on NFL point spreads, which are some of the mo...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/25/23
and the Bengals whole O-Line is hurt. +2.5 is pretty ridicul...
Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal
  01/25/23
Healthy Mahomes, the line probably closes around KC -1.5, wh...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/25/23
You don’t seem to understand that the results and adva...
impressive vibrant associate state
  01/25/23
Listen faggot, if I ever find out who you are and where you ...
Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal
  01/25/23
Of course they do, which is part of why the line has fallen ...
impressive vibrant associate state
  01/25/23
Implying. Implying. I was just challenging Gunner's statemen...
Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal
  01/25/23
Nobody said it was meaningless, but your statements do imply...
impressive vibrant associate state
  01/25/23
mahomes isnt even going to play. bengals all day
costumed partner
  01/24/23
he played the 2nd half last week. it doesn't seem so bad. i'...
Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference
  01/24/23
high ankle sprain is an awful injury, usually keeps you out ...
costumed partner
  01/24/23
it seems like one of those injuries where the severity reall...
Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference
  01/24/23
He might be telling the truth, but I'm also not sure what el...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/24/23
sure, players and coaches talking about injuries is inherent...
Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference
  01/24/23
If KC's run game gets going at all Mahomes just needs to thr...
arrogant incel
  01/24/23
His mobility is a yuge part of their offense. He's great at ...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/24/23
xo Bengals are going to the Superbowl
narrow-minded pearly library
  01/24/23
Where they will get raeped by the Niners, just like old time...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/24/23
if you saw the chiefs last week you know there's no way maho...
contagious rebellious spot
  01/24/23
line is at +2.5 now. wow
irate gaped heaven macaca
  01/24/23
Back to +1.5 on FanDuels
Bistre provocative principal's office useless brakes
  01/24/23
we moved the lines not flame
irate gaped heaven macaca
  01/24/23
...
Territorial Submissive Legal Warrant University
  01/24/23
Bengals winning by 4
Opaque slimy gas station
  01/24/23
Chiefs will blow out the Bengals. Eagles will blow out the 4...
outnumbered stead
  01/24/23
Didn’t u say the cowboys would beat the niners?
onyx thriller community account
  01/24/23
yeah he doesn't learn very sad
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/24/23
I did. Not sure what happened there, but it won't happen ag...
outnumbered stead
  01/25/23
What happened was the 49ers gaped the Cowboys because they'r...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/25/23
Interesting theory, but the Eagles are much better than the ...
outnumbered stead
  01/25/23
Wrong! Bad take and retarded! Let's do an avatar bet on t...
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/25/23
why wouldn't they just play CHAD henne. it's right there in...
well-lubricated flirting sex offender resort
  01/24/23
...
Insecure Meetinghouse
  01/25/23
I always bet for the whiter QB. Easy money.
pontificating brethren whorehouse
  01/24/23
So do you like the Chiefs or Bengals?
Deranged doctorate native
  01/24/23
1488
pontificating brethren whorehouse
  01/24/23
So do you like the whitest black QB or the blackest most wok...
Deranged doctorate native
  01/24/23
https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/acd20553a024399a33e17795abcc1...
pontificating brethren whorehouse
  01/24/23
a mahomes man then, i see
costumed partner
  01/24/23
...
Lascivious silver liquid oxygen property
  01/25/23
https://i.pinimg.com/564x/60/7d/19/607d196326c766b9fd23c7328...
Aqua hot mad cow disease preventive strike
  01/25/23
dont bet on the nfl. cfb or bust.
twinkling theater party of the first part
  01/24/23
Big Chiefs fan and I say no!
Deranged doctorate native
  01/24/23
CHIEFS NOW -1.5
irate gaped heaven macaca
  01/26/23
Time to lock in the middle CR?
Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit
  01/27/23
now Chiefs -2.0. hope everyone locked in the +1.5 so we can ...
irate gaped heaven macaca
  01/27/23
easy $500
didn't read
  01/30/23
Nothing single game (like all the NFL shit) is free money N...
Consoles
  01/30/23


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 10:04 AM
Author: irate gaped heaven macaca



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45834086)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 10:06 AM
Author: gold hell

Not betting on Mahomes’ gimpy leg

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45834098)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 10:07 AM
Author: irate gaped heaven macaca

Revenge game, chiefs home game and bengals fraudulent offensive line. the mulatto's leg is fine btw

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45834107)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 10:09 AM
Author: gold hell

Joe Burrow is a once in a generation talent and better than Mahomes. They also have more talent on offense and a better defense.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45834117)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:18 PM
Author: Brass Bawdyhouse Giraffe

Burrow isnt even better than Herbert

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835635)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 9:35 PM
Author: arrogant incel

Been saying this for years

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837338)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 8:08 PM
Author: big-titted stage gunner

lmao no

mahomes is special

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837003)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 8:12 PM
Author: Honey-headed karate prole

burrow = brady

mahomes = rodgers

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837021)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 8:21 PM
Author: Primrose bearded wagecucks corner

This analogy is too insulting to Burrow. And just bad altogether bc Mahomes is pure sandlot much more like Russell Wilson on his best day and Rodgers freakish ability is primarily a combo of arm strength, accuracy and balls.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837048)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 11:22 PM
Author: Honey-headed karate prole

lol at being compared to brady being insulting.

and mahomes is nothing like wilson wth are you talking about.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837764)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 8:14 PM
Author: Primrose bearded wagecucks corner

Burrow is awesome, and arguably a better playoff QB than Mahomes who is more of a stats machine, and I do worry that Mahomes’ leg could fuck this bet but OP is CR. Bengals defense is also fraud. The Browns with Brissett at QB scored 32 on those bitches. Between that and the OL injuries it’s absurd that the Bengals are favored on the road. Seems like an action-bait line designed to move 3+ points during the week.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837026)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 8:12 PM
Author: Honey-headed karate prole

they already lost a "revenge game" to the bengals this season with a healthy mahomes.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837016)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:17 PM
Author: Brass Bawdyhouse Giraffe



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835631)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:19 PM
Author: Bistre provocative principal's office useless brakes

+2.5 now

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835645)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:20 PM
Author: Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference

is there a bunch of bengals fans flooding in bets or something? chiefs are the better team by every conceivable metric.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835658)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:21 PM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

high ankle sprain is no joke

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835661)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:23 PM
Author: Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference

ah i wasn't aware mahomes got injured. makes sense now.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835668)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:26 PM
Author: chest-beating hall

Sharp money poured into the Bengals. It’s strange to see that big of a line move so early in the week on a big game with no obvious news. It seems the sharps think a) the Bengals are better than people realize, b) Mahomes’s injury is worse than reported, or c) both. The sharp money isn’t always right but it’s enough to scare me off the Chiefs.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835685)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 10:28 PM
Author: Territorial Submissive Legal Warrant University

How do you track who the sharps are betting on? Very interested in this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837579)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 8:32 AM
Author: Talented Vermilion Idea He Suggested Church

You have to read line movements

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838619)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 2:23 PM
Author: chest-beating hall

Yeah, and when they occur. Line movements early in the week are usually sharps…they like to pounce early on lines they think are inaccurate. Also there are guys who track ratio of money bet to number of bets. The side with the higher ratio is usually the sharp side (sharps make fewer bets of large size; squares make more bets of small size).

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45840289)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:24 PM
Author: Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal

Losing to the Bengals three straight times says otherwise. I know the Bengals o-line is weak but Mahomes is hurt. The spread says that Vegas thinks they are equal teams.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835673)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:29 PM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

Spread absolutely does not say that Vegas thinks they're equal teams

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835696)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:31 PM
Author: Bistre provocative principal's office useless brakes

Right equal would be more like chiefs -2.5

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835715)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:32 PM
Author: Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal

yeah-- I totally read that wrong. 2.5 for home team

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835726)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:33 PM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

I've read that HFA has been moving lower in recent years and it's more like 1.5 now. But Arrowhead probably confers more HFA than your average stadium.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835733)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 8:06 PM
Author: sapphire metal indirect expression



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45836991)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:33 PM
Author: Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference

superior teams lose to inferior teams all the time. otherwise we'd see perfect seasons frequently.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835736)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:34 PM
Author: Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal

three times in a row?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835745)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 3:35 PM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

(guy who's never played poker)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835750)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 8:19 PM
Author: impressive vibrant associate state

(Probability masterman)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837043)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 9:39 PM
Author: Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal

Are you people retards? This isn't a game of chance.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837352)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 24th, 2023 10:56 PM
Author: impressive vibrant associate state

Neither is baseball. Last place teams sweep first place teams all the time. Google “fooled by randomness”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837676)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 7:45 AM
Author: Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal

listen. this is not hard. they beat them three times in a year with the same personnel. this is not baseball. more like basketball. i am not saying the chiefs can’t win, only that the statement that the chiefs are clearly the more talented team is not evidenced in the ONLY stat we have. head to head play. if Alabama beats Vanderbilt three times in a row no retard is gonna hurr durr say “totally random”. the chiefs and bengals are pretty evenly matched but don’t tell me the chiefs are the better team when the record from the past year doesn’t show it.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838532)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 8:29 AM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

Sports games are absolutely exercises in weighted probability. Sports bettors know this, as does anyone with a background in statistics. An underdog beating a favorite three times in a row might cause you to update your priors (maybe this team is a uniquely bad matchup, or maybe the underdog really was the better team), but you might also chalk it up to variance.

I don't think it would be very hard to find past instances of a clearly inferior team beating a better team three times in a row.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838610)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 8:43 AM
Author: impressive vibrant associate state

Tcr. This dude’s misunderstanding of statistics is breathtaking.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838660)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 10:14 AM
Author: Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal

GODDAMIT OF COURSE NOT!! THAT IS NOT THE POINT. Gunner says Chiefs are clearly the better team. I say, well they lost to Bengals three times in a row. Are YOU willing to bet that this is statistically meaningless? All I am saying is that a team, beating another team in football three times in a row is not statistically meaningless.

Let's take TCU vs. Georgia. Let's give TCU a ten percent chance of beating Georgia given the talent. Out of 100 games is it possible for TCU to win three in a row? Absolutely. However, the chances that Georgia wins three in a row is higher.

Now Bengals vs. Chiefs. Gunner says the Chiefs are better. OK. But they have played three times in a year and the Bengals have won all three. To me that hints at the Bengals being a better team. Maybe not. Maybe the Chiefs have a 60% chance of winning and we just happened upon three Bengals wins in a row. Not that out of the ordinary. Could be. But the chances are that the Bengals maybe are the better team, given ALL we know.

Again, this is football not random chance. Usain Bolt is gonna win against some sprinter from Ireland 99.9% of the time. The Celtics are gonna beat the Wizards three times in a row more times than the Wiz are gonna beat the Celtics. Etc.

So shut the FUCK UP math fags.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838992)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 10:16 AM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

The point is this isn't TCU vs. Georgia or Usain Bolt vs. an Icelander. They're two relatively evenly matched teams, with the Chiefs being slightly better with a healthy Mahomes. Losing three times in a row as a 60/40 favorite happens all the fucking time.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45839001)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 10:18 AM
Author: Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal

I KNOW THAT!! I said that in my poast and never denied it. You are saying the Chiefs are better based on what? That is the point. What are you basing that on? Instinct? Eyeball test? Because it can't be the games they actually played

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45839011)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 10:20 AM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

I'm basing it on NFL point spreads, which are some of the most efficient lines across the universe of sports betting. Right now Vegas says the Bengals are slightly better, but that's because Mahomes is hurt.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45839023)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 10:24 AM
Author: Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal

and the Bengals whole O-Line is hurt. +2.5 is pretty ridiculous though

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45839043)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 10:28 AM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

Healthy Mahomes, the line probably closes around KC -1.5, which would say the teams are effectively equal. Which I think is a fair adjustment based on the previous matchups.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45839065)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 1:03 PM
Author: impressive vibrant associate state

You don’t seem to understand that the results and advanced stats from dozens of games the teams have played over the past few years against teams other than each other, when combined, impact point spreads far more than the small number of head to head results (all 3 point games the chiefs led in the 4th quarter that were each a play away from going the opposite way). It shouldn’t surprise anyone that the chiefs are a healthy Mahomes away from being favored despite losing three close games in a row. TBH you sound really dumb ITT

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45839877)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 1:12 PM
Author: Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal

Listen faggot, if I ever find out who you are and where you live, I am going to come over to your house, fuck your wife and beat you into a bloody pulp.

You are not arguing in good faith. You just took Quotemo's argument-- where he legit responded to my poasts-- and repoasted it. Your argument above was "look at me" I understand probability statistics. You just popped in to the thread to brag about being some statheadnerdjew. You NEVER argued Vegas betting lines. Let me ask you something, do you think Vegas looks at those previous 3 games at all? Don't FUCKING tell me they don't.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45839930)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 1:38 PM
Author: impressive vibrant associate state

Of course they do, which is part of why the line has fallen significantly from last year’s title game. However, I also don’t think that if Kelce had held on to that fumbled ball in the most recent game that today’s line would be even a half point different. I check lines every single day but didn’t bother bringing them up because one, this whole thread is about lines and two, the lines are what they are precisely because of the reasons I indicated. You kicked off this whole sub thread by implying Team A can’t be better than Team B when Team B has beaten Team A three times in a row, which is a strong sign you aren’t very bright. You also stated that there is no data that would indicate the Chiefs are the stronger team, which implies you don’t think every other game the teams have played matters, which also indicates you aren’t very bright.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45840070)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 25th, 2023 1:41 PM
Author: Concupiscible Disgusting Brunch Sneaky Criminal

Implying. Implying. I was just challenging Gunner's statement that the Chiefs are clearly the better team (before he knew Mahomes was hurt). I stand by the statement that beating a team three times in the calendar year is not statistically meaningless when trying to determine which is the better team. I respect bookmakers as very knowledgeable but the game is played on the field, not in Vegas.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45840085)



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Date: January 25th, 2023 2:58 PM
Author: impressive vibrant associate state

Nobody said it was meaningless, but your statements do imply it was determinative. You seem to have learned a lot from this thread, so I’m glad we could help.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45840510)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 3:34 PM
Author: costumed partner

mahomes isnt even going to play. bengals all day

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835737)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 3:35 PM
Author: Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference

he played the 2nd half last week. it doesn't seem so bad. i'm gonna plonk some money on the chiefs.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835751)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 3:36 PM
Author: costumed partner

high ankle sprain is an awful injury, usually keeps you out 4 weeks minimum. they jacked him full of drugs and he could barely hobble in the pocket for a half. he's gonna be fucked.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835761)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 3:38 PM
Author: Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference

it seems like one of those injuries where the severity really matters.

"The coach added that Mahomes' ankle injury "isn't quite as bad" as the one he suffered in the 2019 season opener against Jacksonville. Mahomes played the following week against the Raiders that season and threw for 443 yards and 4 TDs in the win."

https://www.nfl.com/news/chiefs-coach-andy-reid-qb-patrick-mahomes-ankle-doing-ok-has-mindset-to-play-vs-

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835778)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 3:40 PM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

He might be telling the truth, but I'm also not sure what else you'd expect him to say.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835789)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 3:42 PM
Author: Appetizing scarlet den athletic conference

sure, players and coaches talking about injuries is inherently biased. a high ankle sprain can be devastating or nbd. considering mahomes played the second half and reports are positive, it doesn't seem like he'll be too limited. you never know though. this is all reading tea leaves.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835799)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 9:39 PM
Author: arrogant incel

If KC's run game gets going at all Mahomes just needs to throw it to Kelce on play actions and it's over. Dude can't be covered.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837354)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 3:37 PM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

His mobility is a yuge part of their offense. He's great at tucking and running when downfield routes are covered OR creating via scramble drill outside of the pocket. If he can't do those things very effectively, it's a problem.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835772)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 3:34 PM
Author: narrow-minded pearly library

xo Bengals are going to the Superbowl

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835739)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 3:34 PM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

Where they will get raeped by the Niners, just like old times

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835742)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 3:37 PM
Author: contagious rebellious spot

if you saw the chiefs last week you know there's no way mahomes isn't going to play. now the question is can he beat them at home after a week of treatment while getting 2.5 points? bengals destroyed the bills in buffalo, i don't think arrowhead will be much of a factor and chiefs have a so-so running game if mahomes can't throw. chiefs defense is also nothing special. i think bengals take this by at least a touchdown.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45835771)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 7:57 PM
Author: irate gaped heaven macaca

line is at +2.5 now. wow

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45836955)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 7:59 PM
Author: Bistre provocative principal's office useless brakes

Back to +1.5 on FanDuels

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45836962)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 8:01 PM
Author: irate gaped heaven macaca

we moved the lines not flame

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45836969)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 10:29 PM
Author: Territorial Submissive Legal Warrant University



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837583)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 8:01 PM
Author: Opaque slimy gas station

Bengals winning by 4

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45836973)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 8:06 PM
Author: outnumbered stead

Chiefs will blow out the Bengals. Eagles will blow out the 49ers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45836989)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 8:13 PM
Author: onyx thriller community account

Didn’t u say the cowboys would beat the niners?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837022)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 9:31 PM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

yeah he doesn't learn very sad

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837317)



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Date: January 25th, 2023 12:24 AM
Author: outnumbered stead

I did. Not sure what happened there, but it won't happen again.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838068)



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Date: January 25th, 2023 8:31 AM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

What happened was the 49ers gaped the Cowboys because they're the better team. The game wasn't as close as the score.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838618)



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Date: January 25th, 2023 2:29 PM
Author: outnumbered stead

Interesting theory, but the Eagles are much better than the 49ers.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45840311)



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Date: January 25th, 2023 2:31 PM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

Wrong! Bad take and retarded!

Let's do an avatar bet on this weekend's game, cr?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45840322)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 8:21 PM
Author: well-lubricated flirting sex offender resort

why wouldn't they just play CHAD henne. it's right there in the name

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837047)



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Date: January 25th, 2023 2:34 AM
Author: Insecure Meetinghouse



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838337)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 10:29 PM
Author: pontificating brethren whorehouse

I always bet for the whiter QB.

Easy money.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837584)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 10:38 PM
Author: Deranged doctorate native

So do you like the Chiefs or Bengals?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837625)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 10:47 PM
Author: pontificating brethren whorehouse

1488

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837649)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 10:51 PM
Author: Deranged doctorate native

So do you like the whitest black QB or the blackest most woke white QB?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837666)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 10:55 PM
Author: pontificating brethren whorehouse

https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/acd20553a024399a33e17795abcc18f632a57464/0_609_3735_4667/master/3735.jpg?width=700&quality=85&auto=format&fit=max&s=a52a85aa3658ff2eb5a6e63023127230

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837674)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 11:57 PM
Author: costumed partner

a mahomes man then, i see

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837945)



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Date: January 25th, 2023 12:12 AM
Author: Lascivious silver liquid oxygen property



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838020)



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Date: January 25th, 2023 12:11 AM
Author: Aqua hot mad cow disease preventive strike

https://i.pinimg.com/564x/60/7d/19/607d196326c766b9fd23c732868259af.jpg

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45838014)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 10:29 PM
Author: twinkling theater party of the first part

dont bet on the nfl. cfb or bust.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837587)



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Date: January 24th, 2023 10:35 PM
Author: Deranged doctorate native

Big Chiefs fan and I say no!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45837613)



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Date: January 26th, 2023 8:52 PM
Author: irate gaped heaven macaca

CHIEFS NOW -1.5

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45847156)



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Date: January 27th, 2023 10:28 AM
Author: Plum Embarrassed To The Bone Becky Orchestra Pit

Time to lock in the middle CR?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45848769)



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Date: January 27th, 2023 10:51 AM
Author: irate gaped heaven macaca

now Chiefs -2.0. hope everyone locked in the +1.5 so we can all make it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45848884)



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Date: January 30th, 2023 2:18 AM
Author: didn't read (gunneratttt)

easy $500

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45861241)



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Date: January 30th, 2023 3:35 AM
Author: Consoles

Nothing single game (like all the NFL shit) is free money

NBA playoff series (sometimes) and NBA season awards (all the time) are free money

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5276784&forum_id=2#45861317)