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This is it, today will mark the beginning of ITE 2.0
| chestnut site | 05/04/23 |
| Cerise bearded chapel | 05/05/23 |
| Cerise bearded chapel | 05/05/23 |
| talented hot resort wrinkle | 05/04/23 |
| chestnut site | 05/04/23 |
| talented hot resort wrinkle | 05/04/23 |
| Walnut coldplay fan senate | 05/04/23 |
| Massive Titillating Fat Ankles School Cafeteria | 05/04/23 |
| Adulterous Wild Boltzmann Stage | 05/04/23 |
| vigorous snowy piazza | 05/04/23 |
| burgundy spot | 05/04/23 |
| misanthropic opaque lay pervert | 05/04/23 |
| fragrant headpube | 05/04/23 |
| Adulterous Wild Boltzmann Stage | 05/04/23 |
| Odious generalized bond kitty | 05/04/23 |
| Adulterous Wild Boltzmann Stage | 05/04/23 |
| Ocher Market | 05/05/23 |
| vigorous snowy piazza | 05/04/23 |
| Glittery Indecent Hissy Fit Space | 05/04/23 |
| burgundy spot | 05/04/23 |
| Dark bipolar area water buffalo | 05/04/23 |
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| chestnut site | 05/04/23 |
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| charismatic navy dingle berry goal in life | 05/04/23 |
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| nubile center pistol | 05/04/23 |
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| sepia place of business | 05/05/23 |
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| copper abode | 08/10/23 |
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| Confused death wish newt | 05/05/23 |
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| primrose heady gay wizard university | 08/10/23 |
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| primrose heady gay wizard university | 08/10/23 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: May 4th, 2023 10:58 AM Author: chestnut site It starts today in earnest
Stocks will slide another 35% in the next few months.
Unemployment/layoffs will start to skyrocket with no one hiring.
Housing will crash but interest rates will keep rising so no one can get a new home, but rents will skyrocket.
Cars will remain astronomically high, especially used, as there was no inventory for the past 3 years |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 12:02 PM Author: Cerise bearded chapel Date: May 4th, 2023 10:58 AM Author: ActualLawyer (AllOutOfPaper)
It starts today in earnest Stocks will slide another 35% in the next few months.
Unemployment/layoffs will start to skyrocket with no one hiring.
Housing will crash but interest rates will keep rising so no one can get a new home, but rents will skyrocket.
Cars will remain astronomically high, especially used, as there was no inventory for the past 3 years
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269350) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 12:02 PM Author: Cerise bearded chapel https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/05/05/business/jobs-report-economy-april (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46273261) |
Date: May 4th, 2023 10:59 AM Author: talented hot resort wrinkle why should I care (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269356) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:01 AM Author: chestnut site Because proles like you will be worse off. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269363) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 4:02 PM Author: talented hot resort wrinkle Im a Jock sooooooooooo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46270486) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:07 AM Author: Walnut coldplay fan senate Why today (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269375) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:07 AM Author: Massive Titillating Fat Ankles School Cafeteria What is happening today (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269377) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:07 AM Author: Adulterous Wild Boltzmann Stage money letters bad. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269378) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:27 AM Author: vigorous snowy piazza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269448) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:09 AM Author: burgundy spot inshallah (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269382) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:12 AM Author: misanthropic opaque lay pervert https://www.wsj.com/articles/regional-bank-shares-dive-as-investors-fret-about-contagion-7717c91a
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:12 AM Author: fragrant headpube Why is today different than when people were posting this a month and a half ago? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269402) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:15 AM Author: Adulterous Wild Boltzmann Stage fed committed to keeping rates up, not alarmed by the bank failures. that's pushing the regional banks shit in. a bunch of them are going to fail soon. companies loaded with debt - which is a lot of them - are coming up on refinancing that they can't afford. commercial real estate is dead in the water and that's a YUGE liability. the longer rates stay up, the worse it's going to get. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269410) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:27 AM Author: Odious generalized bond kitty feature not a bug. things will be better off this way. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269449) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:30 AM Author: Adulterous Wild Boltzmann Stage no doubt, but it's going to be a rough ride. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269465) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 8:51 AM Author: Ocher Market why does fed want to keep rates up so badly (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272666) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 11:58 AM Author: vigorous snowy piazza what's the exposure of big banks to this. i haven't been following the details (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269582) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:00 PM Author: Glittery Indecent Hissy Fit Space The big banks are untouchable. If they went down the entire system would go down and the powers that be would not allow that.
It got close in 2008 and look at what they unleashed on us |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:14 PM Author: burgundy spot cr. on paper the banks have extreme exposure. however, we all know they have an implicit guarantee after 2008. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269653) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 1:27 PM Author: Dark bipolar area water buffalo "the big banks are untouchable" what happens when the full faith and credit of the great satan waivers? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269885) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 3:49 PM Author: up-to-no-good slippery box office what do you mean, won't we just say yolo with respect to inflation and money printer go brrr? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46270402) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 1:26 PM Author: Dark bipolar area water buffalo 2008 was intentional in order to bring about QE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269883) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:15 PM Author: Hairraiser pink national I’m excited (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269657) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:17 PM Author: Drab racy crotch How so? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269661) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:22 PM Author: chestnut site Pro tip: Horde cash -> buy Commercial RE in about 18 months, sell in 5-7 years after. It'll bounce back quicker than residential.
The economy is a flat circle
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:27 PM Author: plum cocky voyeur public bath how much cash (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269679) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:31 PM Author: nubile center pistol cr just do have enough cash on hand to purchase multimillion dollar commercial properties and you're set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269689) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:41 PM Author: Hairraiser pink national just pool it up with a few of your closest friends, easy! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269737) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:52 PM Author: charismatic navy dingle berry goal in life *empties huge plastic bags of quarters and wadded up dollar bills on table* hi I’d like to buy a skyscraper please (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269798) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:56 PM Author: Walnut coldplay fan senate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269813) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:56 PM Author: plum cocky voyeur public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269815) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 1:00 PM Author: nubile center pistol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269830) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 1:35 PM Author: vigorous snowy piazza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269908) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 1:59 PM Author: Transparent half-breed (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269965) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 5:23 AM Author: fighting french set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272496) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 7:05 AM Author: Outnumbered chest-beating state (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272533) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 9:48 AM Author: iridescent provocative ladyboy trust fund (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272818) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 10:43 AM Author: sepia place of business (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272991) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 12:08 PM Author: Hairraiser pink national (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46273281) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 7:51 PM Author: wonderful background story (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46275177) |
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Date: August 10th, 2023 12:02 AM Author: copper abode (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46650625) |
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Date: August 10th, 2023 12:06 AM Author: Bronze Rough-skinned Sanctuary Knife (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46650634) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 1:53 PM Author: Glittery Indecent Hissy Fit Space https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FvTUetvWIAEsXXf?format=png&name=900x900 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269944) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 10:44 PM Author: mewling buck-toothed idea he suggested lol jews (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46271999) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 5:24 AM Author: fighting french set scale is a bit manipulated
and at a certain point it's better to have vacancies than rent for cheap |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 8:53 AM Author: Appetizing famous landscape painting found the jew… (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272670) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 8:57 AM Author: fighting french set yes only Jews understand basics about the market (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272675) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 1:17 PM Author: Appetizing famous landscape painting profit motive above all else with zero regard for honor or community is a staple of the jew. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46273606) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:24 PM Author: misanthropic opaque lay pervert When should I buy my house? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269672) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:26 PM Author: chestnut site about 9 months from now. Mid winter low buying season combined with many almost finished apartments going up equal cash buyers market. start hording as much cash as possible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269677) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:33 PM Author: useless roommate What kind of declines do you see in residential real estate? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269695) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 2:00 PM Author: trip impertinent old irish cottage Winter of 2023/2024.
Housing declines take 2-3 years (usually). The peak of the housing market in this current cycle was in May 2022. |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 2:18 PM Author: Appetizing famous landscape painting How far of a decline? Im sure not 08 style but close? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46270032) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 2:56 PM Author: trip impertinent old irish cottage Hard to say obviously, but would not be surprised for it to go back to early 2020 levels (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46270216) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 2:59 PM Author: Adulterous Wild Boltzmann Stage seems right, the covid boom was absurd. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46270224) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:35 PM Author: coral razzle sweet tailpipe This seems reasonably likely. Still, just to keep ourselves honest, everyone who believes this kindly poast proof of your short positions and/or recent liquidations.
I will be making zero changes to my portfolio so I'm excited to see how the masters do it.
Finally, don't forget to bump and poast itt when to get back in tyia |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:48 PM Author: Confused death wish newt We will not see stocks crash and interest rates still rising. It would be one or the other. And no way we drop 35%. Stocks are not going to be cheaper, inflation-adjusted, than they were at covid bottom.
How do you feel about CRYPTO? So far it rallies every time we get bad banking news on major banks. The only thing it didn't like was failure of some of the smaller banks that serviced crypto firms. I was not happy at all the weekend SVB failed and it looked like USDC was undercollateralized. |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 1:54 PM Author: Magenta big stead jewess Btc is going sub $10k (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269947) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 4:47 AM Author: hilarious location genital piercing (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272489) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:53 PM Author: Fuchsia Business Firm Hopefully (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269803) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 12:57 PM Author: hateful degenerate theater stage show your work (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269823) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 1:37 PM Author: mentally impaired diverse church building mood Buy seeds now, many are already sold out. Early corn unavailable everywhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46269913) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 2:47 PM Author: Electric New Version Regret (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46270165) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 8:08 PM Author: out-of-control learning disabled tank round eye holy shit here we goooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46271355) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 11:01 AM Author: Cerebral godawful point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46273025) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 8:52 PM Author: Fantasy-prone Meetinghouse cars are starting to stack up at dealers. supply is no longer an issue except for highly sought after models like Corolla GRs, TRD Pros, Raptor Rs, etc. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46271541) |
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Date: May 4th, 2023 8:53 PM Author: out-of-control learning disabled tank round eye (dupa) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46271544) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 1:41 AM Author: Sienna nudist legend rigpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272376) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 7:17 AM Author: Supple lettuce principal's office Fed has tolerance for UE to bump up past 5% and won’t start clearing the mid market bank balance sheets, but will cut rates as soon as UE gets higher than 5.5%. Inflation is already about half way recovered and we wouldn’t need to get much worse off to get the rest resolved. Per above the car inventories and commercial RE inventories and price drops in the frothiest housing markets already show strong evidence of correction. My favorite is that they passed a massive ~15% price subsidy last year for EVs and that kicked off a priced cutting war? Lol. All of that plus an election year where one of the two contestants is openly and blatantly hated by the Fed chair…there’s just zero universe where the money printing won’t start again by early 2024 if we stack two negative GDP quarters and/or UE gets above 5.5%. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272540) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 7:20 AM Author: self-centered jap national security agency So when is it time to go all in on stocks? Now? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272541) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 7:23 AM Author: Supple lettuce principal's office No I think the CW is probably right that it’s end of year pre Xmas rally. I would be delighted to buy a house if I was in the market after September and mortgage rates are still this high. You have like a built in 10-20% rise as soon as they drop rates. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272546) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 11:01 AM Author: Bronze Rough-skinned Sanctuary Knife LOL
LMAO even
There's no chance they cut rates that quickly. This is pure uncut hopium right off the block. Average rate for the last 30 years was 7.5% |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 12:40 PM Author: Supple lettuce principal's office The point is to buy before they start cutting rates, genius. My prediction is that if and when there’s any narrative of recession or UE spiking just slightly (because it wrecks Biden’s job creation talking points) the Fed will cut for specifically political reasons. This is also why they took forever to start raising rates ie they tried to wait until after the midterms. They may very well jack them back up starting in Dec 2024, but their project next year will be making sure that Trump loses. So “Biden recovery” and “roaring Biden economy” will be their job to support. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46273463) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 7:43 PM Author: Confused death wish newt The first rate cut often follows pretty quickly after the final increase. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46275143) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 9:19 PM Author: Contagious base reading party can you clarify this? I'm still in starter home and cant make a move until prices come down, way, way, down. not sure what "rise" means. Please dont underestimate what a retard I am. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46275503) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 9:34 AM Author: Ocher Market why does fed want to hike rates so badly? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46272781) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 8:25 PM Author: talented hot resort wrinkle Because they did brrrrr. if they didn't raise rates we'd be Brazil imo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46275302) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 9:54 PM Author: hilarious location genital piercing why market go way up today? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46275626) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 9:55 PM Author: Cerise bearded chapel OP was talking about yesterday not today. ITE was yesterday and ended this morning. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46275633) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 9:58 PM Author: brass potus home (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46275648) |
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Date: May 5th, 2023 10:27 PM Author: hilarious location genital piercing ok thank (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46275760) |
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Date: May 6th, 2023 2:31 PM Author: trip impertinent old irish cottage Strong jobs report and regional bank stock rally (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46277790) |
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Date: August 10th, 2023 12:25 AM Author: primrose heady gay wizard university To be fair,
OP where are we on this? |
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Date: August 10th, 2023 12:39 AM Author: beady-eyed internet-worthy heaven He started another thread and said it was starting tomorrow instead. Sorry he didn’t loop you in. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5334784&forum_id=2#46650709) |
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Date: August 10th, 2023 12:41 AM Author: primrose heady gay wizard university To be fair,
Oh shit one weird trick to never be a total fucking retard who got utterly blown out on a stupid prediction (unlike TBF for example haha), damn why didn't I think of that -- "Actually jk I meant tomorrow" (rinse and repeat) |