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Mearsheimer explains why Russia will win the Ukraine War - kikes, your response?
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Date: June 5th, 2023 8:50 AM Author: thirsty red cruise ship azn Key points:
(1) Current status: — The Russians are winning the war. Ukraine had the upper hand in 2022 but Russia has it in 2023. The Russians have not won yet, but Mearsheimer believes they are winning and will win the war. Why? — This is a war of attrition similar to WWI. The goal is to bleed out the other side. “This is Muhammad Ali and Joe Frazier standing toe to toe and beating the hell out of each other in the center of the ring.” — Who wins a war of attrition? 3 factors decide: (1) Balance of resolve. (Both sides are resolved.) (2) Population. (3) Artillery. — Russia had a 3.5 to 1 population advantage at the beginning of the war. This has grown to about 5:1 as a result of 8+ million Ukrainian refugees, 3M of which have gone to Russia. — Artillery is the “king of battle.” Balance of artillery is somewhere between 5:1 and 10:1 in Russia’s favor. The US doesn’t have enough artillery to give Ukraine; that’s why we’re talking about tanks and planes. “Two armies standing toe to toe trying to destroy each other with firepower.” Russia has a lot more men and artillery. — Casualty Exchange Ratio is at least 2:1, meaning that two Ukrainians are likely dying for every Russian. The Ukrainians’ claim of 7:1 CER in their favor is ludicrous. The Russians are not doing mindless frontal assaults. Recent RUSI report shows that Russian tactics have improved. — Ukraine pushed large numbers of troops into Bakhmut in a losing effort. Ukrainians are becoming desperate to conscript men. Russia has not fully mobilized yet.
(2) What’s likely to happen next: — Russia will take the 4 oblasts they already annexed plus (if they can) another 4 oblasts to the Dnipro River including Odessa and Kharkiv. The goal would be to bring all the ethnic Russians under their control to avoid another “Donbas problem.” — Russia doesn’t want to take western Ukraine (trying to conquer ethnic Ukrainians who hate them would be like “trying to swallow a porcupine”); but their goal is to turn Ukraine into a dysfunctional rump state so it can’t threaten them or be used as a Western bulwark on their border. — There’s not going to be a peace agreement. Best case is a frozen conflict. Why? (1) the parties can’t agree on territory. (2) they can’t agree on neutrality. (3) Hyper-nationalism. Hatred on both sides makes a deal impossible. (4) No trust. Western leaders and Zelensky admitted that they had no intention of honoring the Minsk agreements and entered them just to buy time. — George Kennan, Adm. Bill Perry, Amb. Jack Matlock, and Gen. Shalikashvili said that NATO expansion was a prescription for disaster. They were right. It’s only going to get worse. Mearsheimer hopes to be wrong about this, but this is his prediction. — F16s won’t make a difference because it takes a long time to train good pilots. Also the Russians have very good air defense, and their own Air Force is ready to engage. Biggest risk of F16s is that Ukraine uses them to attack targets inside of Russia, creating an escalation, which could draw the US deeper into the war. — Mearsheimer believes that if the Russians are losing the war, the likelihood of nuclear use to rescue the situation is high. (The war is existential for the Russians.) But as it stands now, the odds of nuclear use are very low because the Russians are winning. |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:26 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch Mearsheiner and David Sacks (whose tweet you're copypasting) are both kikes, my quotemo Russian kike friend.
I'm not a kike so I guess I am not supposed to respond in this thread but he has no citations or real analysis to back up any of his assertions, it all sounds like total bullshit. This kike is a professor? Where's the Scholarship? |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 10:45 AM Author: thirsty red cruise ship azn Mearsheimer is not Jewish and graduated from West Point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391341) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 10:48 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch Cr just a typical goy from Brooklyn with a Germanic last name who supported Bernie Sanders for POTUS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391347) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 10:55 AM Author: topaz market Attributing “Jews” to either side of this war is xo retard schtick. I can point to dozens of influential Jews who want Ukraine to win. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391364) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 10:57 AM Author: thirsty red cruise ship azn West Point didn’t admit Jews until the Carter administration (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391367) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:00 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch Simeon Magruder Levy (January 1774 – March 1807), also known as Simon Levy, was an officer in the United States Army. He was the second overall graduate and first Jewish graduate of the United States Military Academy
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simeon_Magruder_Levy |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:21 AM Author: territorial people who are hurt hall I too am intensely interested in this question. A great many opportunities exist in his wiki to state his jewishness bc of his extensive controversial writings on israeli wars, the israel lobby in the us and zionism. It is not there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391432) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:34 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch Sacks is 100% Jewish but it's not listed in his Wiki either. But Sacks's Judaism is confirmed by the Forward, a Jewish newspaper. Unz says Mearsheimer's a Jew
https://www.unz.com/article/correctly-defining-modern-zionism/ |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:35 AM Author: territorial people who are hurt hall 1. unz is a known retard 2. that said, i will review. thanks! |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:46 AM Author: bright half-breed To be fair,
Unz is also, literally, a Jew. |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:56 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch A pro-Russia Jew just like you and 90% of the other Jews on this board. Odd case. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391551) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:37 AM Author: territorial people who are hurt hall oh, it's just a flat statement without corroboration. ok then. also, john seems a fairly uncommon jewish first name especially for a boomer. also no jewish physiognomy |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:39 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch It doesn't seem uncommon at all.
Jon Stewart, Jon Lovitz, John Podhoretz (neocon pundit), John Paulson (billionaire financier), John Landis (filmmaker), John Deutch (former CIA chief), John Pritzker, John Hess (CEO of Hess Corp), John Zimmer (CEO of Lyft), John Berman of CNN, John King of CNN, John Grabow (Chicago Cubs pitcher) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:41 AM Author: territorial people who are hurt hall short for jonathan. he literally looks like a nazi! https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/1/10/John_Mearsheimer.jpg |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:42 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch Just added more (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391492) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:53 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch Lol he looks like he just stepped out of a Lehman Brothers board meeting (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391535) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:47 AM Author: bright half-breed To be fair,
Whoa, the political science is settled -- "John" is a Jew name now, hope none of you guys know any "Johns" (if you do, they're Jews!)
Lol Pumos |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:48 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch Yeah because that's what I was arguing. Only a Jew would be capable of such a disingenuous strawman as this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391519) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:48 AM Author: bright half-breed To be fair,
CR, I'm the REAL Jew, not the vociferously-pro-Ukraine Pumo dissembling about how "John is ackkkkshually a Jew name you retards" ITT.
Damn you're nailing it today, Moish -- er, "Chad." |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:53 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch None of this ever happened you mentally defective lying kike (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391533) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:57 AM Author: bright half-breed To be fair,
"Gradually, I grew to hate them." |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:59 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch Hitler was 100% right when he said this about your people. He must've met your great grandfather in Vienna.
You're the most odious and disingenuous Jew I've ever interacted with. |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 12:13 PM Author: bright half-breed To be fair,
It's really amazing to consider that there is almost certainly a sniveling little bald be-yarmulke'd paunchy Jew, shaking in rage as he furiously pecks this out in his study.
I mean that sincerely -- that thought genuinely amazes me. Like, it's hard to wrap my little goy mind around it.
You're all going to die btw. |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 12:16 PM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch (actual perpetually MAF Jew shaking in rage as he pecks out his replies) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391619) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:57 PM Author: bright half-breed To be fair,
Lol the left just can't meme at all, it's incredible.
Anyway, good job literally just stealing my descriptors here and saying "no u!!!"
Really top tier stuff, Moishe |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:51 PM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch Yah, a guy saying "Hitler was right" is on "the left." Great deduction you delusional retarded lying Jewish freak. Your "memes" suck and are literally the same low-effort recycled bullshit you always poast. Calling people Jews (while yourself being Jewish) with no evidence merely because they disagree with you, all while hypocritically demanding "hard evidence" that people you agree with are Jews. And being a lying Jew yourself the whole time. Oh what a powerful meme! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46393856) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:50 AM Author: territorial people who are hurt hall im done here (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391522) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:51 AM Author: bright half-breed To be fair,
"Holy shit -- his name is *John*? LOL, what a fucking kike." |
Date: June 5th, 2023 8:51 AM Author: Amethyst marvelous field reads like analysis from TMF all hopped up on copium (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391067) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 10:54 AM Author: Razzmatazz Mauve Useless Brakes I've made a number of the exact same points. Especially the population one and the failure to account for the millions of people that left or now live in Russian controlled parts of Ukraine. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391361) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:02 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch Best evidence so far that this is total bullshit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391381) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:43 AM Author: Lascivious Theater Stage Wagecucks (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391494) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:54 AM Author: Razzmatazz Mauve Useless Brakes Zis affront. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391543) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:43 AM Author: Flirting Electric Range Quadroon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391498) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:54 AM Author: Razzmatazz Mauve Useless Brakes Zis affront. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391545) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:54 AM Author: Razzmatazz Mauve Useless Brakes Zis affront. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391540) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 8:53 AM Author: Stimulating mewling area Mearsheimer says! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391071) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 8:56 AM Author: violent histrionic milk where is this from (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391076) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 8:59 AM Author: thirsty red cruise ship azn https://twitter.com/davidsacks/status/1665589545180741632?s=46&t=awwP0tX8d-bOCji8nkBKqQ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391079) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:41 AM Author: Ruddy selfie brunch David (((Sacks)))
Meet the Jewish Tech Mogul Launching de Santis
https://forward.com/fast-forward/548199/desantis-presidential-launch-jewish-david-sacks-elon-musk-twitter-moderate/ |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:45 AM Author: bright half-breed To be fair,
Ukrainemos ITT: "LOL @ listening to this kike -- in case you didn't know, kikes lie, you retards." (NOTE: No hard evidence provided that this guy is actually even Jewish)
Ukrainemos in every other thread: "LOLOL @ Russia, check out these trustworthy news links from reporting done by (((The American Mainstream Media))) crowing about how ultra-fucked Russia is!"
Really makes you think IMO |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 8:57 AM Author: sienna wonderful boiling water My response is that Russian conscripts continue to abandon positions in large panicked groups. Happened again today in a village north of Bakhmut.
That is a phenomenon which simply doesn't happen with Ukrainian troops.
So the notion that resolve to fight is the same for both sides is demonstrably false. Hardly surprising- it's easier to motivate troops to defend their own country than to take someone else's. |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:00 AM Author: thirsty red cruise ship azn None of that even matters because Russia will just nuke everyone if they start to lose (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391081) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:02 AM Author: Amethyst marvelous field no they wont (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391085) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:03 AM Author: thirsty red cruise ship azn The war is existential for the Russians. They’d rather die with honor in a nuclear Armageddon than concede Luhansk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391088) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:06 AM Author: Amethyst marvelous field existential for putin, not for russians (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391091) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:21 AM Author: primrose step-uncle's house no it isn't and they have no honor. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391116) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:02 AM Author: Stimulating mewling area Why didn't dudenheimer just say that then? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391087) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:20 AM Author: primrose step-uncle's house This is the same guy who said 8 months ago that in the next phase of the war (at that time), Russia would bring out the "big guns" and turn Kyiv into rubble.
His predictions since the start of the invasion have been wrong but he's dug his heels in and can't admit it.
https://twitter.com/johnnyjmils/status/1579774808677834752 |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:24 AM Author: territorial people who are hurt hall he is also a known antisemite &should be taking nazi ukraine's side https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/05/world/europe/nazi-symbols-ukraine.html |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:30 AM Author: awkward sooty stead jew why do all these brainwashed goys even care, they are such little pussies getting all excited over some drone footage of ruskie losers getting got, who the furk cares this is all a bunch of judaic bullshit and its retarded... russia is 1000000x more based than kike trannie loving ukarine, det to all hohol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391139) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:32 AM Author: supple ceo Thanks Tommy, I can always count on you to have an honest and well-meaning view of European geopolitics. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391141) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:34 AM Author: supple ceo Check out this BASED AS FUCK RUSS--I mean Jewish--Soloviev saying the Rus Horde should just demolish civilian residential areas block by block.
Fuck trannies though am I right?
https://twitter.com/i/status/1665702252156182532
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:35 AM Author: Amethyst marvelous field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391149) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:39 AM Author: awkward sooty stead jew oh whoaa that sounds terrible, what if the ruskies bombed entire cities and called it something like "Shock and Awe" --- that wld be sooo terrible, a definite war crime, totally unacceptable!!! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391156) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:46 AM Author: supple ceo 'b-b-b-b-ut LFOD "whatabout" this other thing?'
This is Ukraine nigger. Talk about this thing. |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:10 AM Author: awkward sooty stead jew Ok, who gives a shit Abt THE Ukraine, who cares did u have an escort u loved who was from there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391405) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:33 AM Author: supple ceo I care. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391458) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:54 PM Author: charismatic lay idea he suggested (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46393502) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:48 AM Author: Irate twinkling uncleanness psychic This guy already looks bad given how shitty Russia has done. He needs them to turn it around to save his prediction (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391184) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:09 AM Author: obsidian voyeur The war is an obvious replacement for the US forever war in Afghanistan. This isn’t going to end anytime soon, it needs to be fed and milked to keep a semi stalemate so the US military industrial complex and US politicians can suck down trillions of washed taxpayer dollars (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391402) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:12 AM Author: awkward sooty stead jew (Drunk Lockheed Martin lobbyst) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391416) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:34 AM Author: obsidian voyeur I’m just repeating xo hero Julian Assange (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391462) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:44 AM Author: Lascivious Theater Stage Wagecucks coming around to this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391502) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:53 AM Author: outnumbered canary library was this not obvious from the start? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391534) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:54 AM Author: Razzmatazz Mauve Useless Brakes How does China/Taiwan factor into this analysis? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391536) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:59 AM Author: primrose step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391560) |
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Date: June 6th, 2023 1:18 AM Author: Olive senate CR (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46394101) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:35 AM Author: bright half-breed To be fair,
Huh? The war is already over, Ukraine won and Russia lost. What the fuck are you even talking about, OP? |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 11:51 AM Author: Flirting Electric Range Quadroon Great insight from the Bernie fan who has literally been wrong about everything. Let's hear him out. We can glean a lot of insight on this war from the man who confidently predicted a week before it started that it would never happen https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=4731&v=Nbj1AR_aAcE&feature=youtu.be (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391526) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 9:56 PM Author: Amethyst marvelous field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46393513) |
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Date: June 5th, 2023 12:13 PM Author: crusty pale shitlib business firm Mearsheimer's ability to publish a mainstream polisci book about the insidious influence of the Israel lobby will always be legendary, but he doesn't seem to be that good at making predictions (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5350697&forum_id=2#46391604) |