Date: October 26th, 2026 3:23 PM Author: Startled stage potus
the israeli polls have been repeatedly wrong and he's been predicted to lose the last 5 elections
even of the polls are right, the most likely scenario is that neither the bibi bloc nor the anti-bibi bloc gets a majority of 61/120, and it's a stalemate and there's some jewish horsetrading / new elections.
there's really no realistic scenario in which bibi is done here, unless the anti-bibi bloc really overperforms.
Date: October 28th, 2026 3:39 PM Author: Startled stage potus
actually bibi didnt lose any votes. this MFE explains:
If you look at the vote shift itself, almost no seats moved from the Netanyahu bloc to the change bloc. The decline has three causes. First, the Arab vote increased by a dramatic one percentage point. Second, no votes were “wasted” on the Meretz and Balad side, as they were last time. And third, about 2.5 percent of the votes were “wasted” on the Netanyahu bloc’s side: Ofer Winter, a few scattered votes for Noam and Leitner, and the Ethiopian Immigrants Party.