the contest was to choose who will win the 7 swing states and by what margin, along with NPV + margin of victory, with the winner being whoever was the closest across all 8 predictions
lmfao that votes are still 99% counted in some states, but the margins are such that it doesn't seem possible for the rankings to change, so here are the final results:
WINNER: ASKAV with 4.9pts
2nd place: HAtp with 6pts
3rd place: gunneratttt with 9.8pts
congrats to ASKAV, who also generously declined the $50 prize, which will be awarded to HAtp in his stead.
Date: December 3rd, 2024 11:43 AM Author: fuchsia masturbator
Thanks everyone, thanks to gunneratttt for running a great tournament. Thanks askav the true winner sorry I called you dumb in 2009 I take it all back, love ya buddy. Thank you to Nate Silver believe it or not the Jew helped me get close and to Nate Cohn for admitting he couldn't reach 15% of Republicans.
Just received the prize money from Paul V., gunneratttt is the real deal!
Date: December 7th, 2024 11:48 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt)
no way
vance -> vance -> don jr -> don jr -> barron -> barron. works out perfectly, barron will be 35 then (two months after inauguration but 9-0 scotus will let it slide)