Date: August 22nd, 2012 9:29 PM Author: Bat shit crazy slate gas station
i don't think he's favored yet by the majority of people who have made final decisions, given that independents don't make up their mind until later in the fall. (altho, gallup and rasmussen have romeny ahead already.)
but, yeah, given the economic numbers romney is about to go ahead. there is still time for him to gaffe himself out of contention and he's capable of that. but unless he mega-gaffes he should win in a tight race.
Date: August 22nd, 2012 9:32 PM Author: Amethyst concupiscible useless brakes house
This is just wrong dude. You don't know anything about politics if you think he is favored. Don't let wishful thinking cloud your perception of reality.
but it's lots more than Romney already being ahead in Gallup and Rasmussen. a huge percentage of voters aren't really checking in, and they're bound to cut decisively against Obama, given the numbers.
MSM now reporting that Obama's popularity was under water and that women are turning against him. developing . . . .
Date: August 22nd, 2012 9:36 PM Author: Know-it-all cracking school toaster
The poll showed Kerry with the support of 50 percent of all registered voters, compared with 44 percent for Bush, with independent Ralph Nader at 2 percent. On the eve of the convention, Bush led Kerry 48 percent to 46 percent.
Date: September 25th, 2012 11:34 PM Author: khaki sanctuary dog poop
Date: August 22nd, 2012 9:29 PM
Author: Fight the Oligarh! (mostly ret.)
i don't think he's favored yet by the majority of people who have made final decisions, given that independents don't make up their mind until later in the fall. (altho, gallup and rasmussen have romeny ahead already.)
but, yeah, given the economic numbers romney is about to go ahead. there is still time for him to gaffe himself out of contention and he's capable of that. but unless he mega-gaffes he should win in a tight race.
Date: August 22nd, 2012 9:38 PM Author: Bat shit crazy slate gas station
hey, i was calling these developments well before the mid-terms. people called me crazy back then but it was the biggest GOP win in over half a century.
Date: August 22nd, 2012 9:44 PM Author: Bat shit crazy slate gas station
that is my fear. but he survived an unusually nasty intra-GOP nomination battle and has kept his focus on the economy. he's not even remotely as weak at dukakis or kerry. at this point he has to avoid gaffes. he's bad at town meetings but fairly solid at debates.
obama, otoh, has done, "the private sector is fine," "you didn't build that," "our plan worked" and so on. he's hurting himself. to date Romney hasn't gaffed like that and if he manages to avoid gaffing he should win this thing.
Date: September 25th, 2012 11:35 PM Author: khaki sanctuary dog poop
Date: August 22nd, 2012 9:44 PM
Author: Fight the Oligarh! (mostly ret.)
that is my fear. but he survived an unusually nasty intra-GOP nomination battle and has kept his focus on the economy. he's not even remotely as weak at dukakis or kerry. at this point he has to avoid gaffes. he's bad at town meetings but fairly solid at debates.
obama, otoh, has done, "the private sector is fine," "you didn't build that," "our plan worked" and so on. he's hurting himself. to date Romney hasn't gaffed like that and if he manages to avoid gaffing he should win this thing.
next two debates are big. all Roms has to do is not fuck them up. he doesn't have to win them. obama needs to decisively win them. it could still go either way but Roms is ahead.
Date: October 14th, 2012 2:17 PM Author: exhilarant office jew
it works in such a way that romney has no clear path to winning the all key counties in all the key states he needs to somehow take it away from obama.
Date: October 14th, 2012 1:54 PM Author: ebony glittery chapel
when the dust settles, all the poll numbers will look like they did after obama's convention bounce. it won't be a landslide, but obama will win handily.