The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
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ITT: $50 prize for most accurate election prediction (gunneratttt)
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 10/29/24 |
| godawful exciting gas station boltzmann | 10/29/24 |
| electric toaster old irish cottage | 10/29/24 |
| Bossy Puce Sanctuary | 10/29/24 |
| Ocher principal's office clown | 10/29/24 |
| electric toaster old irish cottage | 10/29/24 |
| Vivacious Gaped Mental Disorder | 11/04/24 |
| Irate Plaza | 10/29/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
| MASE | 10/29/24 |
| frozen range trust fund | 11/04/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 10/29/24 |
| MASE | 10/29/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 10/29/24 |
| electric toaster old irish cottage | 10/30/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 10/30/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
| electric toaster old irish cottage | 11/05/24 |
| flatulent pink point becky | 10/29/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 10/29/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
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| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 10/29/24 |
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| Salmon Pit | 10/29/24 |
| Bossy Puce Sanctuary | 10/29/24 |
| Vivacious Gaped Mental Disorder | 10/30/24 |
| MASE | 11/04/24 |
| electric toaster old irish cottage | 10/29/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
| Salmon Pit | 10/29/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 10/30/24 |
| Pungent Rambunctious Locus Idea He Suggested | 11/05/24 |
| stubborn karate | 10/29/24 |
| stubborn karate | 11/04/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/01/24 |
| Slippery Ruby Feces | 11/01/24 |
| MASE | 11/01/24 |
| electric toaster old irish cottage | 11/01/24 |
| Cyan Whorehouse Tank | 11/01/24 |
| electric toaster old irish cottage | 11/01/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
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| electric toaster old irish cottage | 11/01/24 |
| arousing shimmering cuckold hall | 11/01/24 |
| electric toaster old irish cottage | 11/01/24 |
| arousing shimmering cuckold hall | 11/01/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
| arousing shimmering cuckold hall | 11/06/24 |
| Olive box office | 11/01/24 |
| electric toaster old irish cottage | 11/01/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
| harsh location | 11/01/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
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| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
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| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/05/24 |
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| Diverse Haunting Church | 11/05/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
| Vivacious Gaped Mental Disorder | 11/04/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/05/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/04/24 |
| Vibrant school | 11/05/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/05/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/05/24 |
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| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/05/24 |
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| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/05/24 |
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| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/05/24 |
| Translucent roast beef corn cake | 11/05/24 |
| arousing shimmering cuckold hall | 11/05/24 |
| arousing shimmering cuckold hall | 11/05/24 |
| Vivacious Gaped Mental Disorder | 11/05/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/06/24 |
| Vibrant school | 11/06/24 |
| arousing shimmering cuckold hall | 11/06/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/06/24 |
| Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability | 11/13/24 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 29th, 2024 4:22 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) rules:
(1) you must predict the outcome of the seven key swing states (NC, GA, AZ, NV, WI, MI, PA) plus that popular vote via how many points the candidate you choose will win by to the first decimal (e.g. trump +1.5).
(1)(a) predictions must be made for *EACH SWING STATE* in terms of margin of victory as well as the national popular vote. see my vote for an example: https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&mc=6&forum_id=2#48255079
(1)(b) votes must be made in a top level comment, not a reply.
(2) your final score is based on the cumulative gap between you prediction and the actual result. (e.g. predicted trump +0.3, actual result kamala +1.0 = +1.3 added to your total). correctly picking the winning candidate does not earn additional points.
(3) on the morning of 11/5 i will quote reply to all eligible votes.
(4) revising your prediction is permitted, my quote reply will be considered your final prediction.
(5) the winner will be announced when vote rolls are certified. i will post the winner and award the prize after 24 hours. during that time appeals can be made (e.g. i fucked up the math), however i will be the sole arbiter in selecting the winner.
(6) only recognizable sudos may participate. i will comment if i don't think you're are eligible, and will hear appeals, but will be the sole arbiter of deciding a poaster's eligibility.
(6)(a) i will only comment on your eligibility if you have both made a valid vote and i believe you are ineligible. if you wish to confirm whether your vote is sufficient and you are eligible, you may do so, and i will respond.
(7) i will make a prediction but am ineligible to win.
(8) in the unlikely event of a tie, the prize will be split.
(9) the prize will be in the form of an AMEX or VISA gift card delivered via email on my throwaway. |
Date: October 29th, 2024 4:23 PM Author: godawful exciting gas station boltzmann fun idea (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255025) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:30 PM Author: electric toaster old irish cottage A triumph. (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255057) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:39 PM Author: Bossy Puce Sanctuary This! A rare “Scholarly Triumph.” (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255866) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:40 PM Author: Ocher principal's office clown (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255872) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:40 PM Author: electric toaster old irish cottage (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255873) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 1:47 PM Author: Vivacious Gaped Mental Disorder (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48280910) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:25 PM Author: Irate Plaza Edited version!
NATIONAL: Harris +2.5
NC: Trump +0.2
GA: Trump +0.7
AZ: Trump +1.5
NV: Harris +0.3
WI: Harris +2.0
MI: Harris +3.0
PA: Harris +0.5
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:47 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: Juan Eighty Date: October 29th, 2024 4:25 PM Author: Juan Eighty
Edited version!
NATIONAL: Harris +2.5
NC: Trump +0.2
GA: Trump +0.7
AZ: Trump +1.5
NV: Harris +0.3
WI: Harris +2.0
MI: Harris +3.0
PA: Harris +0.5 |
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Z68dLByGQmEEr8DwpEgrxrdLdBpeBsk5SjER34q2Sd5 Date: October 29th, 2024 4:26 PM Author: MASE https://www.270towin.com/maps/W7vvm NPV: TRUMP +2.1 NC: TRUMP +5.2 GA: TRUMP +4.2 AZ: TRUMP +5.5 NV: TRUMP +2.4 WI: TRUMP +3.2 MI: TRUMP +2.9 PA: TRUMP +4.0 |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 1:49 PM Author: frozen range trust fund lol (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48280918) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:47 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: MASE https://www.270towin.com/maps/W7vvm NPV: TRUMP +2.1
NC: TRUMP +5.2
GA: TRUMP +4.2
AZ: TRUMP +5.5
NV: TRUMP +2.4
WI: TRUMP +3.2
MI: TRUMP +2.9
PA: TRUMP +4.0
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:37 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) NATIONAL: TRUMP +2.8
NC: KAMALA +2.4
GA: TRUMP 3.4
AZ: TRUMP +7.5
NV: TRUMP +4.1
WI: TRUMP +1.8
MI: TRUMP +2.7
PA: TRUMP +3.1 |
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Z68dLByGQmEEr8DwpEgrxrdLdBpeBsk5SjER34q2Sd5 Date: October 29th, 2024 4:39 PM Author: MASE Ah gotta point the states. I gotta think about it for awhile then. (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255087) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:42 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) ty. yeah i'm planning on revising mine but wanted to make sure i had an example set. (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255093) |
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Date: October 30th, 2024 2:20 AM Author: electric toaster old irish cottage Bold. NC seems wrong tho. (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48257465) |
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Date: October 30th, 2024 11:27 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) this is mostly a placeholder to give an example for participants. planning on adjusting it monday. (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48258492) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:47 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: gunneratttt Date: October 29th, 2024 4:37 PM Author: Trump's Fatified Margin of Victory (gunneratttt)
NATIONAL: TRUMP +2.8
NC: KAMALA +2.4
GA: TRUMP 3.4
AZ: TRUMP +7.5
NV: TRUMP +4.1
WI: TRUMP +1.8
MI: TRUMP +2.7
PA: TRUMP +3.1
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Date: November 5th, 2024 10:45 AM Author: electric toaster old irish cottage Date: October 29th, 2024 4:37 PM Author: Last day in 2024 Trump isn't POTUS elect (gunneratttt)
NATIONAL: TRUMP +2.8
NC: KAMALA +2.4
GA: TRUMP 3.4
AZ: TRUMP +7.5
NV: TRUMP +4.1
WI: TRUMP +1.8
MI: TRUMP +2.7
PA: TRUMP +3.1 |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 5:26 PM Author: flatulent pink point becky NATIONAL: Kamala +3
Georgia: Kamala +1
Michigan: Kamala +4
Nevada: Trump +1
North Carolina: tied
Pennsylvania: Kamala +1
Wisconsin: Kamala +2
Nebraska-2: Kamala +9
States that are closer than usual: Kansas, Alaska, Nebraska.
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Date: October 29th, 2024 5:28 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) this is the insane libquotemo and has been granted an exception to the recognizable sudo rule
https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5618020&mc=129&forum_id=2#48255273 |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:48 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: libpumo NATIONAL: Kamala +3
Georgia: Kamala +1
Michigan: Kamala +4
Nevada: Trump +1
North Carolina: tied
Pennsylvania: Kamala +1
Wisconsin: Kamala +2
Nebraska-2: Kamala +9
States that are closer than usual: Kansas, Alaska, Nebrask |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 5:31 PM Author: Translucent roast beef corn cake this is how you do it doobs (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255317) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 5:34 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) i assume the winner will use a throwaway. if there are multiple claimants i can just email them each something unique and see which one the winning sudo poasts. (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255329) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:28 PM Author: Metal shitlib new version (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255792) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:37 PM Author: Carnelian bespoke national water buffalo (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255848) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:40 PM Author: Salmon Pit (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255869) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:41 PM Author: Bossy Puce Sanctuary Lmao (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255878) |
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Date: October 30th, 2024 11:28 AM Author: Vivacious Gaped Mental Disorder (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48258495) |
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Z68dLByGQmEEr8DwpEgrxrdLdBpeBsk5SjER34q2Sd5 Date: November 4th, 2024 1:15 PM Author: MASE (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48280794) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 6:11 PM Author: electric toaster old irish cottage NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.8
NC: TRUMP +2.6
GA: TRUMP +2.8
AZ: TRUMP +4.1
NV: TRUMP +1.9
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: TRUMP +0.4
PA: TRUMP +1.9 |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:48 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: Historical American tp [HAtp] Date: October 29th, 2024 6:11 PM Author: River of Blood
NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.8
NC: TRUMP +2.6
GA: TRUMP +2.8
AZ: TRUMP +4.1
NV: TRUMP +1.9
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: TRUMP +0.4
PA: TRUMP +1.9 |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 6:18 PM Author: Salmon Pit 180 contest friend (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255460) |
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Date: October 30th, 2024 11:28 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) 180 moniker (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48258496) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 10:48 AM Author: Pungent Rambunctious Locus Idea He Suggested (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48285883) |
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Date: October 29th, 2024 7:15 PM Author: stubborn karate (1) Trump 306 EV's
Kamala 232 EV's
Trump wins NC, AZ, GA, PA, MI, and WI. Kamala retains NV
Popular vote: Trump +0.1
(1)(a) NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.1
NC: TRUMP +1.2
GA: TRUMP +2.5
AZ: TRUMP +2.8
NV: HARRIS +2.2
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: TRUMP +1.5
PA: TRUMP +2.1
(1)(b)√ |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 12:49 AM Author: stubborn karate (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48278645) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:48 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard Date: October 29th, 2024 7:15 PM Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard
(1) Trump 306 EV's Kamala 232 EV's
Trump wins NC, AZ, GA, PA, MI, and WI. Kamala retains NV
Popular vote: Trump +0.1
(1)(a) NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.1
NC: TRUMP +1.2
GA: TRUMP +2.5
AZ: TRUMP +2.8
NV: HARRIS +2.2
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: TRUMP +1.5
PA: TRUMP +2.1
(1)(b)√ |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:23 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) why do so few of the politicsmos who spend many hours here predicting the election outcome not want to make a solid prediction for this fun little contest i'm hosting? (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48267528) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 11:27 AM Author: Slippery Ruby Feces NATIONAL: KAMALA +0.2
NC: KAMALA +0.2
GA: TRUMP +3.7
AZ: TRUMP +3.9
NV: TRUMP +1.4
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: KAMALA +1.5
PA: TRUMP +0.4 |
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Z68dLByGQmEEr8DwpEgrxrdLdBpeBsk5SjER34q2Sd5 Date: November 1st, 2024 11:29 AM Author: MASE Kamala winning NC is lolzy but not bad otherwise (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48267564) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:09 PM Author: electric toaster old irish cottage She's not winning NC (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48270145) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 2:28 PM Author: Cyan Whorehouse Tank NATIONAL: Harris +3.0
NC: Trump +0.5
GA: Trump +0.5
AZ: Trump +1.0
NV: Trump +1.5
WI: Harris +1.0
MI: Harris +2.0
PA: Harris +1.0
This is from my heart, because I cannot write what I fear may really come to pass. |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:09 PM Author: electric toaster old irish cottage You're going to the chipper. Tick, tock. (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48270143) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:49 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: LathamTouchedMe Date: November 1st, 2024 2:28 PM Author: LathamTouchedMe
NATIONAL: Harris +3.0
NC: Trump +0.5
GA: Trump +0.5
AZ: Trump +1.0
NV: Trump +1.5
WI: Harris +1.0
MI: Harris +2.0
PA: Harris +1.0
This is from my heart, because I cannot write what I fear may really come to pass.
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:20 PM Author: arousing shimmering cuckold hall Don't want the money but:
NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.5 NC: TRUMP +4.0 GA: TRUMP +1.6 AZ: TRUMP +4.9 NV: TRUMP +3.6 WI: TRUMP +0.3 MI: TRUMP +1.5 PA: TRUMP +1.1 |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:28 PM Author: electric toaster old irish cottage Red Tsunami
You forgot to add Senate R 55 D 45 too |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:31 PM Author: arousing shimmering cuckold hall Obviously I'm nervous. Anything can happen. But the blackpill sentiment on XO makes NO sense to me. At all. (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48270214) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:38 PM Author: electric toaster old irish cottage I've said this before and I will say it again. This may sound incredibly stupid, but here goes. I believe that something has Happened. In other words, I believe the Electorate has broadly made a concrete decision. We just can't detect it yet and may not even know until a week from now. In the era of smart phones we think everything is knowable instantly, but this is just one of those things where it's impossible to predict the individual opinions of 150 million people writing down a secret answer locked in a box not to be opened until Tuesday night. Nobody knows. It's wholly unknowable.
I think the most likely scenario is that Trump wins the Electoral College. Anecdotally I know normies who have already voted for him who aren't right wing people at all. I think Kamala is a bad candidate and enthusiasm is low. But I could be wrong. Maybe all her people turn out and she hangs on to the blue wall states. My point is I think everyone has decided already and there will be a broad trend across the electorate and I think America will get some closure one way or the other. Yes, Kamala could win, but I think too many working class normies are fed up. Just seems like we're going to get a Big Result next week no matter how long it takes. |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:40 PM Author: arousing shimmering cuckold hall (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48270239) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:49 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: askav Date: November 1st, 2024 10:20 PM Author: askav
Don't want the money but:
NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.5
NC: TRUMP +4.0
GA: TRUMP +1.6
AZ: TRUMP +4.9
NV: TRUMP +3.6
WI: TRUMP +0.3
MI: TRUMP +1.5
PA: TRUMP +1.1
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Date: November 6th, 2024 12:09 AM Author: arousing shimmering cuckold hall libs? (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48294565) |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:36 PM Author: Olive box office NATIONAL: Harris +4.1 MI: Harris +2.7 GA: Harris: +1.0 PA: Harris +0.7 NV: Harris +0.5 WI: Harris +0.2 NC: Trump +0.0 AZ: Trump +1.5
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:41 PM Author: electric toaster old irish cottage Choke on one faggit (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48270242) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:49 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: Many Cocks Spewing Gallons of Cum This Very Second Date: November 1st, 2024 10:36 PM Author: Many Cocks Spewing Gallons of Cum This Very Second
NATIONAL: Harris +4.1 MI: Harris +2.7
GA: Harris: +1.0
PA: Harris +0.7
NV: Harris +0.5
WI: Harris +0.2
NC: Trump +0.0
AZ: Trump +1.5 |
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:42 PM Author: harsh location NATIONAL: KAMALA +0.4
NC: TRUMP +1.5
GA: TRUMP +2.9
AZ: TRUMP +3.1
NV: TRUMP +1.8
WI: TRUMP +0.5
MI: TRUMP +1.80
PA: TRUMP +0.3
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:50 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle [TSINAH] Date: November 1st, 2024 10:42 PM Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle (πΊπΈ π΅π±)
NATIONAL: KAMALA +0.4
NC: TRUMP +1.5
GA: TRUMP +2.9
AZ: TRUMP +3.1
NV: TRUMP +1.8
WI: TRUMP +0.5
MI: TRUMP +1.80
PA: TRUMP +0.3 |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 1:21 PM Author: orchid 180 indian lodge french chef National: Kam +3.0 NC Kam .1 AZ Drumpf .1 PA Kam .1 WI Kam .1 MI Kam .1 GA Kam .1 NV Kam .1 |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:50 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband [EPAH] Date: November 4th, 2024 1:21 PM Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband
National: Kam +3.0 NC Kam .1
AZ Drumpf .1
PA Kam .1
WI Kam .1
MI Kam .1
GA Kam .1
NV Kam .1 |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 8:42 PM Author: orchid 180 indian lodge french chef Aren't you supposed to quote-tweet it so that we can't make midstream edits? (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48283233) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 4:22 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) "(3) on the morning of 11/5 i will quote reply to all eligible votes."
11/5 morning (now) so people had up until 11/4 to make edits |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 1:52 PM Author: Diverse Haunting Church NATIONAL: KAMALA +0.8
NC: TRUMP +1
GA: TRUMP +2.5
AZ: TRUMP +3.4
NV: TRUMP +0.5
WI: TRUMP +0.5
MI: KAMALA +1%
PA: TRUMP +0.3 |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:49 PM Author: arousing shimmering cuckold hall good prediction (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282357) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 11:11 AM Author: Diverse Haunting Church i don't think this is right, but it could be! (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48286101) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:51 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: Zurich is Stained Date: November 4th, 2024 1:52 PM Author: butt cutlets and poo poo sauce
NATIONAL: KAMALA +0.8
NC: TRUMP +1
GA: TRUMP +2.5
AZ: TRUMP +3.4
NV: TRUMP +0.5
WI: TRUMP +0.5
MI: KAMALA +1%
PA: TRUMP +0.3
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:11 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282144) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 6:13 PM Author: Vivacious Gaped Mental Disorder NATIONAL: KAMALALA +1.0
NC: KAMALA +0.5
GA: TRUMP +2.3
AZ: TRUMP +4.2
NV: TRUMP +1.5
WI: KAMALA +0.7
MI: KAMALA +1.2
PA: TRUMP +1.2
FINAL SCORE: COMRADE HARRIS - 267 JONALD J TRUMP - 268 DR CORNEL MOTHERFUCKIN WEST - 3 |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 4:23 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: Cornel West Date: November 4th, 2024 6:13 PM Author: Cornel West
NATIONAL: KAMALALA +1.0
NC: KAMALA +0.5
GA: TRUMP +2.3
AZ: TRUMP +4.2
NV: TRUMP +1.5
WI: KAMALA +0.7
MI: KAMALA +1.2
PA: TRUMP +1.2
FINAL SCORE:
COMRADE HARRIS - 267
JONALD J TRUMP - 268
DR CORNEL MOTHERFUCKIN WEST - 3 |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 8:41 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48283226) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 5:03 AM Author: Vibrant school NATIONAL: Harris +1.8
NC: Trump +0.9
GA: Trump +0.6
AZ: Trump +0.5
NV: Harris +0.3
WI: Harris +1.1
MI: Harris +0.9
PA: Trump +0.1 |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 5:56 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: Drunkard NATIONAL: Harris +1.8
NC: Trump +0.9
GA: Trump +0.6
AZ: Trump +0.5
NV: Harris +0.3
WI: Harris +1.1
MI: Harris +0.9
PA: Trump +0.1 |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 5:57 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) allowing this late entry on the strength of the sudo. at my discretion other late entries may be allowed, with 9am EST being the absolute cut off. (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48284674) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 6:24 AM Author: Vibrant school Thx. You did say morning I figured 5am was sufficiently early. (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48284719) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 6:26 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48284721) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 7:05 AM Author: histrionic primrose toilet seat https://ibb.co/3pszb7d
DEMS: 317 REP: 221
NATIONAL: Harris +2.1
NC: Harris +0.3
GA: Harris +1.9
AZ: Harris +0.7
NV: Harris +0.9
WI: Harris +1.6
MI: Harris +2.1
PA: Harris +0.8 |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 7:11 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) monikers? i've seen you poast but don't know what you switched from (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48284812) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 7:12 AM Author: histrionic primrose toilet seat (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48284813) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 7:13 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) Subject: ricky Date: November 5th, 2024 7:05 AM Author: Vote And Die Calcified Dipshit Barn Animal Goyim
DEMS: 317 REP: 221
NATIONAL: Harris +2.1
NC: Harris +0.3
GA: Harris +1.9
AZ: Harris +0.7
NV: Harris +0.9
WI: Harris +1.6
MI: Harris +2.1
PA: Harris +0.8 |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 12:01 PM Author: Translucent roast beef corn cake (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48286466) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 9:24 PM Author: arousing shimmering cuckold hall should have been more aggressive (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48291901) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 10:10 PM Author: arousing shimmering cuckold hall libs? (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48292420) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 10:12 PM Author: Vivacious Gaped Mental Disorder I'm gonna get yo ass (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48292438) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 12:08 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) i went high on my predictions and i think ill even have underestimated they final results
goodnight libs. you're all gonna die. |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 4:22 AM Author: Vibrant school (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48296837) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 6:21 PM Author: arousing shimmering cuckold hall (https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48302532) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 6:25 PM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) i accidentally left in Kamala on NC but it should be clear from my NPV prediction that it was a trump prediction. I'm giving myself trump NC considering it's just for clout with an asterisk am I'm not eligible anyway.
Have an excel spreadsheet ready to plug in everything once votes are in |
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Date: November 13th, 2024 11:29 AM Author: Accurate at predicting vs Measures of probability (gunneratttt) counting and tabulation begins:
https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5633329&mc=1&forum_id=2 |