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What is the analysis on outstanding vote in Alaska?

is it more dem or GOP heavy at this point? this race is act...
we are definitely claiming fraud trumpmos
  11/06/26
The remaining ballots are heavy Peltola districts. It's...
LathamTouchedMe
  11/06/26
it's gonna cum down to dirte's swing vote
2017 Dunk Contest Champion
  11/06/26
https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner
Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband
  11/06/26


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Date: November 6th, 2026 2:42 PM
Author: we are definitely claiming fraud trumpmos (oppose israel bois)

is it more dem or GOP heavy at this point? this race is actually closer than MS now.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5919566&forum_id=2#50238187)



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Date: November 6th, 2026 3:13 PM
Author: LathamTouchedMe

The remaining ballots are heavy Peltola districts. It's a lot of mail from remote indigenous villages. In the jungle primary this year and in recent years, the dem has gained anywhere from 1-3 points at this point where they wait to get the last 10-20% of the vote. If she gets over 50%, the ranked-choice ballot counting doesn't get activated. She has a good shot at that.

Even assuming she doesn't get over 50, she's very likely to prevail. Current second/third choice counts (they count the additional choices as they come in), show a plurality don't even bother to put in a second choice. And surprisingly, among those putting in a second and third choice, she's done well enough that there's little chance Sullivan can close the gap, which will be 1-2 points after the remaining ballots come in. Sullivan is going to need the remote villages to come in weaker than usual. Very unlikely.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5919566&forum_id=2#50238310)



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Date: November 6th, 2026 3:17 PM
Author: 2017 Dunk Contest Champion

it's gonna cum down to dirte's swing vote

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5919566&forum_id=2#50238318)



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Date: November 6th, 2026 3:19 PM
Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband

https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-election-winner

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5919566&forum_id=2#50238329)