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poasters who understand Israeli politics, why is Bibi projected to lose?

https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-mini...
Appetizing sienna immigrant new version
  10/26/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
Costumed Locus
  10/28/26
the israeli polls have been repeatedly wrong and he's b...
Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king
  10/26/26
i called it
Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king
  10/27/26
...
Appetizing sienna immigrant new version
  10/27/26
...
Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king
  10/27/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
Costumed Locus
  10/28/26
...
Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king
  10/28/26
...
Cracking state private investor
  10/28/26
I don't think he is, is he?
Cracking state private investor
  10/28/26
he was at the time of this threat why are Israelis dissat...
Appetizing sienna immigrant new version
  10/28/26
he was projected to lose by fake news polls that idiots like...
Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king
  10/28/26
he still lost seats my question is why
Appetizing sienna immigrant new version
  10/28/26
he won a landslide last time. u cant win a landslide every t...
Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king
  10/28/26
how stoked are you that your boy won?
Appetizing sienna immigrant new version
  10/28/26
actually bibi didnt lose any votes. this MFE explains: If...
Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king
  10/28/26
🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨 🚨 this is a WLMAS acco...
Costumed Locus
  10/28/26
because Lieberman knows he can get more out of Eisengot than...
Maroon house-broken weed whacker digit ratio
  10/28/26
Update?
Indecent ticket booth
  10/28/26
...
Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king
  10/28/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: October 26th, 2026 2:56 PM
Author: Appetizing sienna immigrant new version

https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election/will-benjamin-netanyahu-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50203476)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 9:13 AM
Author: Costumed Locus

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(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209093)



Reply

Date: October 26th, 2026 3:23 PM
Author: Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king

the israeli polls have been repeatedly wrong and he's been predicted to lose the last 5 elections

even of the polls are right, the most likely scenario is that neither the bibi bloc nor the anti-bibi bloc gets a majority of 61/120, and it's a stalemate and there's some jewish horsetrading / new elections.

there's really no realistic scenario in which bibi is done here, unless the anti-bibi bloc really overperforms.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50203586)



Reply

Date: October 27th, 2026 5:35 PM
Author: Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king

i called it

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50207065)



Reply

Date: October 27th, 2026 6:04 PM
Author: Appetizing sienna immigrant new version



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50207118)



Reply

Date: October 27th, 2026 7:09 PM
Author: Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50207246)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 9:13 AM
Author: Costumed Locus

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(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209095)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 8:34 AM
Author: Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50208995)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 8:34 AM
Author: Cracking state private investor



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50208997)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 8:34 AM
Author: Cracking state private investor

I don't think he is, is he?

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50208998)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 9:54 AM
Author: Appetizing sienna immigrant new version

he was at the time of this threat

why are Israelis dissatisfied with him? He still lost seats

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209158)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 10:20 AM
Author: Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king

he was projected to lose by fake news polls that idiots like u bought

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209194)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 10:25 AM
Author: Appetizing sienna immigrant new version

he still lost seats

my question is why

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209200)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 10:26 AM
Author: Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king

he won a landslide last time. u cant win a landslide every time

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209204)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 11:41 AM
Author: Appetizing sienna immigrant new version

how stoked are you that your boy won?

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209395)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 3:39 PM
Author: Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king

actually bibi didnt lose any votes. this MFE explains:

If you look at the vote shift itself, almost no seats moved from the Netanyahu bloc to the change bloc. The decline has three causes. First, the Arab vote increased by a dramatic one percentage point. Second, no votes were “wasted” on the Meretz and Balad side, as they were last time. And third, about 2.5 percent of the votes were “wasted” on the Netanyahu bloc’s side: Ofer Winter, a few scattered votes for Noam and Leitner, and the Ethiopian Immigrants Party.

https://x.com/AmitSegal/status/2115392691005444529

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50210065)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 9:13 AM
Author: Costumed Locus

🚨 this is a WLMAS account 🚨

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(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209096)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 9:33 AM
Author: Maroon house-broken weed whacker digit ratio

because Lieberman knows he can get more out of Eisengot than he can out of Bibbi

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209136)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: Indecent ticket booth

Update?

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209225)



Reply

Date: October 28th, 2026 10:55 AM
Author: Clear Vivacious Philosopher-king



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5914517&forum_id=2#50209266)