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Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here ...
Bisexual reading party
  10/05/26
since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-li...
razzle nofapping hall voyeur
  10/05/26
...
Lavender double fault
  10/05/26
...
claret wonderful boltzmann shitlib
  10/06/26
nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September ht...
comical effete round eye temple
  10/05/26
Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nig...
Bisexual reading party
  10/05/26
wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100...
buff forum
  10/05/26
I see you struggle greatly with reading charts Date: Octo...
Bisexual reading party
  10/05/26
You are a fucking retard and he is right
glassy church building sneaky criminal
  10/05/26
🥴🥴🥴 https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/210685886...
Bisexual reading party
  10/05/26
...
comical effete round eye temple
  10/06/26
Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too&h...
comical effete round eye temple
  10/05/26
no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitt...
curious pungent theatre
  10/05/26
Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could bec...
glassy church building sneaky criminal
  10/05/26
...
glassy church building sneaky criminal
  10/05/26
The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite o...
glassy church building sneaky criminal
  10/05/26
They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fuc...
Bisexual reading party
  10/05/26
They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsona...
glassy church building sneaky criminal
  10/05/26
Here king, you dropped this *hands you your prolapsed as...
Bisexual reading party
  10/05/26
Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve
glassy church building sneaky criminal
  10/05/26
OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren&rs...
comical effete round eye temple
  10/05/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM Author: ''"'"''&...
Bisexual reading party
  10/05/26
Polls also way off https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120...
Bisexual reading party
  10/05/26
good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days https://...
comical effete round eye temple
  10/05/26
https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46
Bisexual reading party
  10/05/26
So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the Hous...
comical effete round eye temple
  10/05/26
wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or...
razzle nofapping hall voyeur
  10/05/26
They switched a few hours before the polls closed. It&rsq...
Bisexual reading party
  10/06/26
lol. that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton...
razzle nofapping hall voyeur
  10/06/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: ""''''&q...
Fluffy Flatulent Orchestra Pit Mediation
  10/06/26
It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the...
Bisexual reading party
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
comical effete round eye temple
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
Fluffy Flatulent Orchestra Pit Mediation
  10/06/26
so prediction markets suck shit? Wow
Boyish Aqua Casino Pisswyrm
  10/06/26
Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that w...
Rose racy crotch home
  10/06/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: razzle nofapping hall voyeur

since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-line elections in Latin America, and the "far right" candidate has won all eight.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172051)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: Lavender double fault



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172311)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:36 PM
Author: claret wonderful boltzmann shitlib



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174169)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:46 AM
Author: comical effete round eye temple

nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172067)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:54 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nightmares for months

https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2106847104740343900

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172082)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM
Author: buff forum

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:00 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

I see you struggle greatly with reading charts

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM

Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐)

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro)



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172101)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: glassy church building sneaky criminal

You are a fucking retard and he is right

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172130)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

🥴🥴🥴

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172135)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 7:56 AM
Author: comical effete round eye temple



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173742)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:01 AM
Author: comical effete round eye temple

Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too…idk…upset cons or something

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172103)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:09 AM
Author: curious pungent theatre

no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitter dorks coming up with these "odds".

you seriously need to get a life or a hobby that doesn't involve the internet

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172118)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:16 AM
Author: glassy church building sneaky criminal

Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could become a millionaire in a couple of months.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172136)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: glassy church building sneaky criminal



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172129)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: glassy church building sneaky criminal

The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite on election eve.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172133)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:17 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fucking waste of oxygen.

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172146)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:20 AM
Author: glassy church building sneaky criminal

They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsonaro as the odds on favorite to win it all. Ultimately they were less than two points apart in the first round.

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172152)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:21 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

Here king, you dropped this

*hands you your prolapsed asshole*

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172156)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: glassy church building sneaky criminal

Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172157)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: comical effete round eye temple

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:24 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM

Author: ''"'"''"''''"""'''

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro)



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172162)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:25 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

Polls also way off

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120074834219062

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172167)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: comical effete round eye temple

good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172175)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172181)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:05 PM
Author: comical effete round eye temple

So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the House?

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172291)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 3:18 PM
Author: razzle nofapping hall voyeur

wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or so on the very last day?

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172792)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:23 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

They switched a few hours before the polls closed.

It’s all fraud.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173776)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:26 PM
Author: razzle nofapping hall voyeur

lol.

that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton of money on Trump winning all the swing states, because he thought that Polymarket was infected by groupthink.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174151)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:09 AM
Author: Fluffy Flatulent Orchestra Pit Mediation

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM

Author: ""''''"'

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516

(Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro)



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173752)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM
Author: Bisexual reading party

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: comical effete round eye temple

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173989)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:08 AM
Author: Fluffy Flatulent Orchestra Pit Mediation

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro)

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174037)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:23 AM
Author: Boyish Aqua Casino Pisswyrm

so prediction markets suck shit? Wow

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174067)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:07 PM
Author: Rose racy crotch home

Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that will happen here tbh.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174206)