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FYI polymarket has been way off in the past

Recently too. I would take any of their political markets wi...
green lay
  09/16/26
Do people not think about where the inputs for the odds come...
irradiated cobalt school cafeteria
  09/16/26
Right it's not actually Vegas style oddsmaking either but pe...
green lay
  09/16/26
"polymarket has been way off" (guy who doesn't ...
cracking mischievous goal in life
  09/16/26


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Date: September 16th, 2026 10:11 PM
Author: green lay

Recently too. I would take any of their political markets with a big grain of salt

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5904498&forum_id=2#50139205)



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Date: September 16th, 2026 10:13 PM
Author: irradiated cobalt school cafeteria

Do people not think about where the inputs for the odds come from? It's based on idiots making "bets," not divine prophecy

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5904498&forum_id=2#50139211)



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Date: September 16th, 2026 10:14 PM
Author: green lay

Right it's not actually Vegas style oddsmaking either but people post like it is

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5904498&forum_id=2#50139215)



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Date: September 16th, 2026 10:16 PM
Author: cracking mischievous goal in life

"polymarket has been way off"

(guy who doesn't understand probability theory, or even "probability")

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5904498&forum_id=2#50139222)