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Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here ...
chartreuse national
  10/05/26
since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-li...
Lascivious Toaster Newt
  10/05/26
...
peach yarmulke cruise ship
  10/05/26
...
lavender range ceo
  10/06/26
nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September ht...
Flirting base
  10/05/26
Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nig...
chartreuse national
  10/05/26
wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100...
House-broken pocket flask
  10/05/26
I see you struggle greatly with reading charts Date: Octo...
chartreuse national
  10/05/26
You are a fucking retard and he is right
know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap
  10/05/26
🥴🥴🥴 https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/210685886...
chartreuse national
  10/05/26
...
Flirting base
  10/06/26
Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too&h...
Flirting base
  10/05/26
no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitt...
Duck-like field
  10/05/26
Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could bec...
know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap
  10/05/26
...
know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap
  10/05/26
The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite o...
know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap
  10/05/26
They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fuc...
chartreuse national
  10/05/26
They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsona...
know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap
  10/05/26
Here king, you dropped this *hands you your prolapsed as...
chartreuse national
  10/05/26
Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve
know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap
  10/05/26
OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren&rs...
Flirting base
  10/05/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM Author: ''"'"''&...
chartreuse national
  10/05/26
Polls also way off https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120...
chartreuse national
  10/05/26
good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days https://...
Flirting base
  10/05/26
https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516?s=46
chartreuse national
  10/05/26
So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the Hous...
Flirting base
  10/05/26
wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or...
Lascivious Toaster Newt
  10/05/26
They switched a few hours before the polls closed. It&rsq...
chartreuse national
  10/06/26
lol. that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton...
Lascivious Toaster Newt
  10/06/26
Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM Author: ""''''&q...
glassy impressive mad cow disease
  10/06/26
It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the...
chartreuse national
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
Flirting base
  10/06/26
Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM Author: ""''''&qu...
glassy impressive mad cow disease
  10/06/26
so prediction markets suck shit? Wow
Emerald Patrolman
  10/06/26
Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that w...
ruby degenerate
  10/06/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM
Author: chartreuse national

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172002)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: Lascivious Toaster Newt

since USAID was defunded, there have been eight major top-line elections in Latin America, and the "far right" candidate has won all eight.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172051)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:09 PM
Author: peach yarmulke cruise ship



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172311)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:36 PM
Author: lavender range ceo



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174169)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:46 AM
Author: Flirting base

nope Bolsanaro has been leading since mid-September

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-luiz-incio-lula-da-silva-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172067)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:54 AM
Author: chartreuse national

Get used to this shape, it’s going to play in your nightmares for months

https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2106847104740343900

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172082)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM
Author: House-broken pocket flask

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172095)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:00 AM
Author: chartreuse national

I see you struggle greatly with reading charts

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:59 AM

Author: Nude Karlstack (🧐)

wow you mean the odds flip as polls change and then near 100% after the election itself has ballots counted wow this is crazy

(Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro)



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172101)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap

You are a fucking retard and he is right

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172130)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: chartreuse national

🥴🥴🥴

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172135)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 7:56 AM
Author: Flirting base



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173742)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:01 AM
Author: Flirting base

Dems spend big money to manipulate the betting markets too…idk…upset cons or something

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172103)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:09 AM
Author: Duck-like field

no one looks at this shit you fucking loser. it's only twitter dorks coming up with these "odds".

you seriously need to get a life or a hobby that doesn't involve the internet

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172118)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:16 AM
Author: know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap

Not really, this is dumb and if you believe it you could become a millionaire in a couple of months.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172136)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:14 AM
Author: know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172129)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap

The markets were right. Bolsonaro was the odds on favorite on election eve.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172133)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:17 AM
Author: chartreuse national

They had Lula winning at 2PM yesterday. Grow a beard you fucking waste of oxygen.

https://x.com/barracuda2025/status/2106858865270669445

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172146)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:20 AM
Author: know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap

They had him slimly winning the first round, but had Bolsonaro as the odds on favorite to win it all. Ultimately they were less than two points apart in the first round.

https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election/will-flvio-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172152)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:21 AM
Author: chartreuse national

Here king, you dropped this

*hands you your prolapsed asshole*

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172156)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: know-it-all hyperventilating forum jap

Bolsonaro 65% chance of winning it all on election eve

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172157)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM
Author: Flirting base

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172158)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:24 AM
Author: chartreuse national

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:22 AM

Author: ''"'"''"''''"""'''

OP in the fight of his life to convince himself cons aren’t going to get wiped out in four weeks

(Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro)



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172162)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:25 AM
Author: chartreuse national

Polls also way off

https://x.com/sethjlevy/status/2107120074834219062

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172167)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: Flirting base

good news you can 12x your money in just 28 days

https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026/will-the-democratic-party-control-the-house-after-the-2026-midterm-elections

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172175)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: chartreuse national

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172181)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 12:05 PM
Author: Flirting base

So how much you going to get on Republicans keeping the House?

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172291)



Reply

Date: October 5th, 2026 3:18 PM
Author: Lascivious Toaster Newt

wait, so the polymarket trends crossed only in 45 minutes or so on the very last day?

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50172792)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:23 AM
Author: chartreuse national

They switched a few hours before the polls closed.

It’s all fraud.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173776)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 12:26 PM
Author: Lascivious Toaster Newt

lol.

that reminds me of the guy (French guy?) who bet a ton of money on Trump winning all the swing states, because he thought that Polymarket was infected by groupthink.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174151)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:09 AM
Author: glassy impressive mad cow disease

Date: October 5th, 2026 10:18 AM

Author: ""''''"'

Get ready to see the same thing happen in a few weeks here

https://x.com/polymarket/status/2106849965368848516

(Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro)



(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173752)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM
Author: chartreuse national

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173880)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 10:38 AM
Author: Flirting base

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50173989)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:08 AM
Author: glassy impressive mad cow disease

Date: October 6th, 2026 9:38 AM

Author: ""''''"'

It’s going to be 220 House / 55 Senate in favor of the GOP. Be sure to copy-paste that for posterity faggot.

(Looks like polls and prediction markets fucked up royally on Brazil/XO Bolsonaro)

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174037)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:23 AM
Author: Emerald Patrolman

so prediction markets suck shit? Wow

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174067)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:07 PM
Author: ruby degenerate

Weren't the shitlibs in power in brazil? I dont think that will happen here tbh.

(https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5909887&forum_id=2#50174206)